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Forums - Sales Discussion - 10 Week Countdown 2010

Ok... I have updated my spreadsheet... 21 entrants in total, currently 5 are not doing handhelds and 1 who has not completed yet anyway (just Wii and PS3 so far) but if you wish to add more consoles for tomorrow that's fine.

i'll try get them posted up on the front page now.

EDIT - gah, ok adding Sound of Rain first



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postofficebuddy said:
darthdevidem01 said:
theprof00 said:

wow darth wii down over 55% from last 10 weeks 2009 o.0

Trust me I TRIED to make it higher...in fact I have literally randomly added 100K near the end for 3 weeks....otherwise it was even lower

The problem is I simply don't see a remedy for price cut and NSMB wii this year.

Not to mention we need to consider that MOVE/Kinect MIGHT eat into Wii's potential market

I can't make up imaginary figures for Wii and I can't buy into the "It sells amazing during holidays" thing either because there were legitimate reasons for its last years holiday performance.

I might edit the figure and make it higher tomorrow.....but right now I can't see how I can make it higher.


I have the same conundrum. I really am trying to justify an increase in several weeks. I just keep coming up short, primarily because of how I think things will play out in Japan. I know everyone mocks the whole 'Wii iz doomzed' thing but I really do think things have taken a turn for the worst for the Wii there. I really, really hope I'm wrong.

Yeah I am also trying to "justify" increasing its sales

But I just can't find a justification.....I mean looking at its current sales compared to last year and the year before

Then seeing how increases generally wok out....

Its hard.......

It was harder "assuming" week 7 will be GT5 week though!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

I did this quickly because I didn't realize how late it was. I may edit it. But at least I entered!

 

Wii:

1: 195,000
2: 220,000
3: 230,000
4: 280,000
5: 650,000
6: 600,000
7: 800,000
8: 890,000
9: 1,000,000
10: 500,000
TOTAL: 5,365,000

PS3:

1: 210,000
2: 230,000
3: 250,000
4: 280,000
5: 550,000
6: 500,000
7: 600,000
8: 760,000
9: 850,000
10: 380,000
TOTAL: 4,610,000

360:

1: 220,000
2: 240,000
3: 290,000
4: 320,000
5: 600,000
6: 550,000
7: 650,000
8: 790,000
9: 900,000
10: 400,000
TOTAL: 4,960,000


DS:

1: 300,000
2: 350,000
3: 380,000
4: 470,000
5: 1,100,000
6: 900,000
7: 1,000,000
8: 1,200,000
9: 1,450,000
10: 800,000
7,950,000

PSP:

1: 85,000
2: 95,000
3: 110,000
4: 130,000
5: 200,000
6: 230,000
7: 240,000
8: 260,000
9: 270,000
10: 150,000
TOTAL: 1,770,000



Alright Veggie, you are entered too seeing as it is strictly before midnight GMT, however I am going to bed now (up at 6:50 ) so you are not in the table yet, i'll add you tomorrow after everyone's final edits.

@ Everyone..... tables are up on the front page, 2nd post.... I will also post here.

Please try to get your final edits completed by 10pm GMT tomorrow night, that's 22 hours from now.



Here are the tables from the front page:

Predictions Wii  
Entrant wk1 wk2 wk3 wk4 wk5 wk6 wk7 wk8 wk9 wk10 Total
*Sound Of Rain 209 222 275 320 1000 872 891 1000 1100 485 6374
BHR-3 220 245 350 390 750 630 680 790 1000 490 5545
c0rd 230 290 370 440 720 850 1000 1200 1450 750 7300
Carl2291 195 225 280 360 725 750 900 1100 1350 550 6435
darthdevidem01 213 250 325 373 650 540 737 902 1001 490 5481
Dexorosorous 200 250 400 500 800 850 900 950 900 550 6300
haxxiy 210 250 290 340 620 500 600 710 950 700 5170
jadakiss1217 185 220 240 300 550 700 660 750 1000 380 4985
jonop 210 260 330 370 570 780 830 1020 1150 570 6090
koffieboon 222 247 360 405 890 635 855 1125 1275 515 6529
kopstudent89 200 300 340 380 740 500 600 800 1200 600 5660
Luthor 300 450 550 650 850 750 1800 2200 2000 500 10050
Michael-5 215 245 295 390 650 660 800 1050 1050 535 5890
non-gravity 205 255 370 445 870 825 1010 1220 1325 555 7080
postofficebuddy 200 235 280 310 725 650 825 1000 1120 555 5900
Rainbow Yoshi 190 210 290 310 520 650 680 820 960 640 5270
skeezer 190 250 320 350 650 600 640 770 850 500 5120
smeags 205 220 250 265 550 610 650 800 990 450 4990
snfr 220 230 330 340 680 630 720 900 920 440 5410
Squilliam 230 320 470 570 800 650 600 650 650 270 5210
theprof00 210 235 340 420 760 820 1000 1150 1400 590 6925
TWRoO 195 215 240 290 650 580 660 890 990 450 5160
Mr. Average 212 256 332 387 714.5 683 819.9 990.8 1120 526 6040
Predictions PS3
Entrant wk1 wk2 wk3 wk4 wk5 wk6 wk7 wk8 wk9 wk10 Total
*Sound Of Rain 238 243 251 309 570 540 572 639 681 280 4323
BHR-3 250 280 400 345 680 580 930 800 940 420 5625
c0rd 250 280 340 350 600 520 850 850 950 600 5590
Carl2291 245 260 320 400 700 710 1150 900 1050 550 6285
darthdevidem01 253 290 359 350 620 527 850 790 850 425 5314
Dexorosorous 200 250 325 450 700 750 850 900 900 500 5825
haxxiy 250 300 340 390 630 610 670 810 1050 950 6000
jadakiss1217 220 310 440 380 580 500 520 670 750 310 4680
jonop 260 300 370 410 620 520 600 830 870 435 5215
koffieboon 240 265 345 378 690 585 725 860 975 470 5533
kopstudent89 260 270 330 400 700 700 720 880 1200 620 6080
Luthor 250 300 350 500 800 650 800 1200 1500 450 6800
Michael-5 235 255 325 430 600 615 625 800 790 440 5115
non-gravity 260 305 400 395 800 700 865 990 1080 575 6370
postofficebuddy 255 270 305 320 690 620 1150 925 1025 475 6035
Rainbow Yoshi 250 260 320 350 410 670 720 890 1050 660 5580
skeezer 260 300 370 400 700 600 750 800 900 550 5630
smeags 240 250 255 275 540 540 590 700 750 350 4490
snfr 255 265 380 390 640 640 950 950 850 450 5770
Squilliam 270 350 450 480 720 600 500 640 640 280 4930
theprof00 225 250 305 375 610 600 660 820 910 850 5605
TWRoO 210 220 260 285 570 540 590 710 810 360 4555
Mr. Average 244 276 343 380 644.1 605 756.2 834.3 932.8 500 5516
Predictions X360
Entrant wk1 wk2 wk3 wk4 wk5 wk6 wk7 wk8 wk9 wk10 Total
*Sound Of Rain 194 232 269 308 782 753 760 792 814 355 5259
BHR-3 205 275 435 360 710 590 680 770 900 380 5305
Carl2291 190 300 400 420 800 825 875 950 1050 500 6310
darthdevidem01 220 335 429 400 700 552 652 780 865 401 5334
Dexorosorous 225 300 325 450 700 750 800 900 850 550 5850
haxxiy 190 220 420 350 650 580 620 690 900 780 5400
jadakiss1217 230 350 500 420 620 520 550 730 800 330 5050
jonop 230 330 420 400 750 630 760 950 1000 505 5975
koffieboon 227 297 427 388 728 528 630 785 832 330 5172
kopstudent89 230 400 400 480 880 600 700 920 1400 500 6510
Luthor 210 350 500 600 750 600 800 1000 1200 350 6360
Michael-5 210 295 420 500 740 685 670 850 820 400 5590
non-gravity 210 420 480 390 720 600 735 895 975 415 5840
postofficebuddy 230 280 330 340 700 600 775 875 920 400 5450
Rainbow Yoshi 180 220 340 380 470 510 560 810 950 630 5050
skeezer 200 350 420 400 700 570 600 750 850 550 5390
smeags 200 300 310 325 560 570 600 700 800 380 4745
snfr 195 255 390 390 820 620 740 940 940 380 5670
Squilliam 230 700 600 550 1100 700 720 800 800 360 6560
theprof00 210 320 380 350 620 650 715 790 950 320 5305
TWRoO 230 250 330 310 640 550 630 800 890 300 4930
Mr. Average 212 323 406 405 721 618 693.9 832.2 928.9 434 5574
Predictions DS
Entrant wk1 wk2 wk3 wk4 wk5 wk6 wk7 wk8 wk9 wk10 Total
BHR-3 300 350 415 510 1150 930 1080 1280 1400 670 8085
Carl2291 290 340 400 550 960 865 1050 1200 1350 650 7655
darthdevidem01 288 325 391 500 1000 800 944 1113 1290 645 7296
haxxiy 250 320 370 650 600 700 780 900 1050 900 6520
jonop 330 380 450 660 1200 1020 1200 1360 1450 750 8800
koffieboon 270 315 440 520 1130 960 1140 1385 1525 685 8370
kopstudent89 250 290 350 550 1150 720 820 1200 1600 800 7730
Luthor 250 330 450 650 750 800 1300 1600 1200 600 7930
Michael-5 310 345 395 525 910 870 1050 1280 1350 675 7710
non-gravity 320 355 435 585 1200 1030 1320 1600 1740 800 9385
postofficebuddy 305 345 400 525 1100 850 1175 1300 1350 700 8050
Rainbow Yoshi 280 320 430 620 940 850 820 1020 1150 760 7190
smeags 250 280 380 460 700 750 850 1000 1200 600 6470
snfr 300 360 430 520 880 740 850 1100 1300 550 7030
theprof00 320 340 450 610 1100 900 1100 1320 1500 690 8330
TWRoO 310 340 400 490 1100 890 1050 1350 1500 650 8080
Mr. Average 289 333 412 558 991.9 855 1033 1251 1372 695 7789
Predictions PSP
Entrant wk1 wk2 wk3 wk4 wk5 wk6 wk7 wk8 wk9 wk10 Total
BHR-3 120 150 160 175 280 400 320 380 420 240 2645
Carl2291 100 130 140 200 500 700 520 540 700 300 3830
darthdevidem01 98 120 130 142 214 342 313 344 410 205 2318
haxxiy 110 125 140 160 255 250 250 280 350 360 2280
jonop 100 140 150 175 260 300 320 380 420 210 2455
koffieboon 90 98 113 140 235 235 295 375 385 250 2216
kopstudent89 120 120 130 150 250 420 320 330 400 270 2510
Luthor 100 120 150 200 250 400 300 400 700 350 2970
Michael-5 105 130 130 155 220 295 280 345 395 205 2260
non-gravity 90 110 100 110 195 250 265 360 400 260 2140
postofficebuddy 110 170 160 190 275 450 350 400 400 275 2780
Rainbow Yoshi 102 115 120 140 160 270 220 280 370 185 1962
smeags 90 120 125 140 220 270 240 310 360 150 2025
snfr 90 120 140 170 300 260 310 450 390 220 2450
theprof00 105 165 120 140 220 335 290 310 450 240 2375
TWRoO 95 105 105 110 210 230 230 290 340 190 1905
Mr. Average 102 127 132 156 252.8 338 301.4 360.9 430.6 244 2445

 



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Fingers crossed that Sony announce the GT5 release date (And PSP Pricecut! :P) VERY soon!



                            

Carl2291 said:

Fingers crossed that Sony announce the GT5 release date (And PSP Pricecut! :P) VERY soon!

Finger's and seductive signatures crossed!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

darthdevidem01 said:
postofficebuddy said:
darthdevidem01 said:
theprof00 said:

wow darth wii down over 55% from last 10 weeks 2009 o.0

Trust me I TRIED to make it higher...in fact I have literally randomly added 100K near the end for 3 weeks....otherwise it was even lower

The problem is I simply don't see a remedy for price cut and NSMB wii this year.

Not to mention we need to consider that MOVE/Kinect MIGHT eat into Wii's potential market

I can't make up imaginary figures for Wii and I can't buy into the "It sells amazing during holidays" thing either because there were legitimate reasons for its last years holiday performance.

I might edit the figure and make it higher tomorrow.....but right now I can't see how I can make it higher.


I have the same conundrum. I really am trying to justify an increase in several weeks. I just keep coming up short, primarily because of how I think things will play out in Japan. I know everyone mocks the whole 'Wii iz doomzed' thing but I really do think things have taken a turn for the worst for the Wii there. I really, really hope I'm wrong.

Yeah I am also trying to "justify" increasing its sales

But I just can't find a justification.....I mean looking at its current sales compared to last year and the year before

Then seeing how increases generally wok out....

Its hard.......

It was harder "assuming" week 7 will be GT5 week though!

howabout the fact that it's still the cheapest console, and will be bouyed by things like metroid, kirby, and dkc and typical walmart deals.

Keep in mind that this is a recession year in the US, and there are going to be a hell of a lot of sales.



Sorry, I didnt have time to sit down and think about my predictions but good luck to everyone



PS3:  265 - 305 - 400 - 395 - 800 - 700 - 865 - 990 - 1080 - 575 total: 6375

360:  210 - 420 - 480 - 390 - 720 - 600 - 735 - 895 - 975 - 415 total: 5840

Wii:  205 - 255 - 370 - 445 - 870 - 825 - 1010 - 1220 - 1325 - 555 total: 7080

DS:    280 - 340 - 430 - 570 - 1180 - 1010 - 1300 - 1560 - 1680 - 780  total: 9130

PSP:  90 - 110 - 100 - 110 - 195 - 250 - 265 - 360 - 400 - 260  total: 2140

 

I adjusted the bolded numbers. My entire DS line and PS3 first week.