guiduc said:
Seece said:
SaviorX said:
Your reasons don't hold much weight either. Now, this gen has been nuts when it comes to consoles defying trends and history, but do you seriously think, the PS3 or 360 will outsell the Wii in any given years to come? When you say outlast, by how long? By how much? When the successors release, unless the Wii is totally obsolete, history will strike again and it will still sell despite a new console being out. There is nothing pointing to the Wii dropping off the face of the earth except your wishful thinking. Throughout those 11k posts I know there was a LOT of it.
And what if they do outsell the Wii in....2012 or 2013? You think Nintendo will wait until the 3DS has been out for 2 years before dropping a successor? Signs point to Ninty moving on in Japan at the end of 2011 or beginning of 2012 the latest. Getting the early jump on 3rd party support means everything to them right now. The console war is over; any sales after this point is just petty bragging rights, something gaming can use a lot less of.
You think Sony can weather a PS4 around that time (11/11 ; 3/12) after all this investment into Move?
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Rubbish, I don't think Wii will drop off the face of the earth so stop putting words in my mouth, and I suggest you go find a few examples before accusing me of something you have wrong 
My reasoning is right on pitch. It's irrefutable PS3 and 360 sales are fuled by gamers looking for a gaming console, Nitnendo's userbases for each console were consistantly dropping, and I doubt they've garned any new core gamers this gen judging by how the core games sell on the system.
Wii's price cut has already worn off, actually it wore off a while ago, whilst PS3's was seeing rises YOY up until the slims 1st anniversarys.
PS3 and 360 (only with Kinect) have effective price cuts to come, any price cut the Wii receives seems to diminish rather fast. If they do price cut this xmas, they really will have blown their load so to speak, because next xmas 360 and PS3 are going to be fighting their most brutal yet.
Your 2nd paragraph is just irrelevent, and shows you just have beef with me because I'm "attacking something Nintendo", when I'm not. I'm only talking about PS3 and 360 outlasting Wii, so quite what a wii successor and 3DS and the war being over has to do with this I don't know.
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People seem to forget the PS3 sold quite bad before the end of 2009, it's normal it's up YoY because there's so much people out there that didn't buy it because of the 400$ tag. Wii had 3 big years, it's normal the sales dry up at this very time.
And also don't forget the Wii hasn't seen a console redesign like the others two.
This holiday will be very tied this time, not like the Wii outselling the other consoles by a million units. The 360 will be close to the Wii or above it, but I'm not so sure for the PS3. I think it'll finish third, but not by a large margin. Let's see if Nintendo has interesting titles to show for 2011. I bet the Vitality Sensor is somewhere there...
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One thing people fail to understand is that it is VERY EASY to scream growth when you are starting from a low number. The PS3 & 360's best peaks won't match the Wii's worst in a single year. They may have a shot this year but I doubt it.
You've dodged all of my questions but I will answer yours. First problem is you think I care about "core" gamers. I don't. 3rd parties don't release any core games on Wii until the first 3/last 3 months of any given year with nothing in between. Its been that way almost all gen with few exceptions.
How can you say any price cut the Wii has diminishes fast when it has only had ONE? The Wii had no software to support that price cut until NSMB...then it almost sold 7m worldwide in a single month. This holiday, Wii doesn't need a price cut. No one ever expected the Wii to maintain its 2008 sales for another 5 years, so the fact it is dropping year after year like a console usually does isn't surprising, especially with the lack of software.
In my second paragraph, I never even mentioned you, let alone "attacking Nintendo, so now you are putting words in my mouth. I don't have beef with you over Nintendo :P
PS3 and 360 outlasting the Wii would be irrelevant once a successor launches. My allusion to the 3DS only serves to guess at the timing.