I also assumed you're taking data until end of December, as in the first weekend of January is the date the data is limited to.

I loved the thread last year! Thanks for making a 2010 edition :)

You say in the OP Wii won last year, but...

15,914,929 (360) > 15,690,009 (Wii)

Am I missing something?

Edit: Just realised you didn't count the last week of the year and/or any adjustments (eg. the thread says 6.6 million for NSMB while VGChartz 2009 chart says 10 million O_O). Wii most likely did beat the 360.

What is your basis for this? Japan sales indicate it will be smaller than both Wii Sports Resort and Fit Plus and nowhere near as big as NSMB Wii, which were all beaten by Call of Duty on the 360 last year. Speak of the devil, ioi has predicted Black Ops could sell over 10 million in the first week alone. And as stated in the OP, Wii Party's JP sales won't be counted.

So yeah, no. Wii Party isn't going to smash everything.

I actually voted Wii > 360 > PS3 in the poll, but I'm thinking now 360 will definitely come out on top again.

shit i thought it was about exclusives :P

Xbox 360

1. Call of Duty: Black Ops
2. Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood
3. Fable 3
4. Medal  of Honor
5. Fallout: New Vegas

Playstation 3

1. Call of Duty: Black Ops
2. Gran Torismu 5
3. FIFA 11
4. Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood
5. Medal of Honor

Wii

1. Wii Party
2. Donkey Kong Country Return
3. Just Dance 2
4. Epic Mickey
5. Kirby: Epic Yarn

Totals:

Wii: 16.0 million
Xbox 360: 17.5 million
Play Station 3: 18.0 million

Oh geez, I might as well put my forecasting credibility on the line. I am normally not a betting man, but here I go:

Wii: 1. Wii Party, 2. Donkey Kong Country Returns, 3. Just Dance, 4. Kirby's Epic Yarn, 5. Epic Mickey

PS3: 1. Gran Turismo 5, 2. Black Ops, 3.Fifa 11, 4. Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood, 5. Medal of Honor

360: 1. Black Ops, 2. Kinect Adventures, 3. Medal of Honor, 4. Assassin's Creed Brotherhood, 5. Fallout: New Vegas

Totals:

1. 360 - 20 million

2. Wii - 19 million

3. PS3 - 15 million

I haven't put a whole lot of thought into this but here goes :P

Wii

1. Wii Party
2. Just Dance 2
3. Donkey Kong Country Returns
4. Epic Mickey
5. Kirby's Epic Yarn

Total: 14.5 million

360

1. Black Ops
2. Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood
3. Fable III
4. Fallout: New Vegas
5. Kinect Adventures

Total: 18.75 million

PS3

1. Black Ops
2. Gran Turismo 5
3. Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood
4. FIFA 11
5. Medal of Honor

Total: 18 million

Jeez... those look SO off. But w/e.

I think Wii will win in the end. None of its exclusives will set records, but Wii Party and DK combined will likely sell more than 10m. The rest is just Just Dance 2 (LOL) and  Epic Mickey probably...Kirby won't sell that much I think.

The uDraw games could sell a decent amount.