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Forums - Sales - Predict the Japanese Top 10 for this year. (12-28-09 / 12-26-10)

jarrod on 05 August 2010
tonio_13 said:
jarrod said:
tonio_13 said:

Versus 13 will launch after March 2011. No way Square Enix can release FF 13 (in the west), FF 14 and FF Versus in the same fiscal year.

FFXIII was last fiscal year worldwide.  I agree though that Versus won't be this fiscal year, if it was we'd likely know about it by now.  I don't think Agito makes this year either.

True but FF 13 launched in March in the west, and we all know legs are very important in the west.

Evidently not according to the massive NPD drop it saw in April.



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hiska-kun on 17 September 2010

Any guesses now?

I think we have to wait until Nintendo Press conference on the september 29th to make our predictions



Media Create Annual Archive (Spanish version)

http://zonaforo.meristation.com/topic/2246651/

Beuli2 on 17 September 2010

DCKR and maybe Kirby will make it too.



Above: still the best game of the year.

Carl on 17 September 2010
jarrod said:
tonio_13 said:
jarrod said:
tonio_13 said:

Versus 13 will launch after March 2011. No way Square Enix can release FF 13 (in the west), FF 14 and FF Versus in the same fiscal year.

FFXIII was last fiscal year worldwide.  I agree though that Versus won't be this fiscal year, if it was we'd likely know about it by now.  I don't think Agito makes this year either.

True but FF 13 launched in March in the west, and we all know legs are very important in the west.

Evidently not according to the massive NPD drop it saw in April.

And the great legs it's showing right now on VGC...



                            

jarrod on 17 September 2010
Carl2291 said:
jarrod said:
tonio_13 said:
jarrod said:
tonio_13 said:

Versus 13 will launch after March 2011. No way Square Enix can release FF 13 (in the west), FF 14 and FF Versus in the same fiscal year.

FFXIII was last fiscal year worldwide.  I agree though that Versus won't be this fiscal year, if it was we'd likely know about it by now.  I don't think Agito makes this year either.

True but FF 13 launched in March in the west, and we all know legs are very important in the west.

Evidently not according to the massive NPD drop it saw in April.

And the great legs it's showing right now on VGC...

20k-ish combined weekly six months out isn't exactly stellar.  Especially considering the massive pricedrops about everywhere, it's selling for 50% or less of MSRP most places.  FFX/XII didn't price collapse nearly as fast...

Not even making NPD's top 20 in April was pretty telling for FFXIII, it was massively overshipped which is why they've been pricedropping the stock to move out.  Even DQIX managed top 20 it's second NPD, and it's an incomparably less popular series (and will probably hold it's MSRP for the rest of the year, at the very least).



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jarrod on 17 September 2010

Anyway, on topic, I'm going to guess Japan's top 10 this year will look like (no numbers, no 3DS included, sorry)... all will be million plus sellers though...

  • 01. Pokemon Black / White (DS) Pokemon
  • 02. Monster Hunter Portable 3rd (PSP) Capcom
  • 03. Wii Party (Wii) Nintendo
  • 04. New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Wii) Nintendo
  • 05. Ninokuni: The Jet-Black Mage (DS) Level-5
  • 06. Super Mario Collection Special Pack (Wii) Nintendo
  • 07. Tomodachi Collection (DS) Nintendo
  • 08. Dragon Quest VI: The Realms of Reverie (DS) Square Enix
  • 09. Dragon Quest Monsters JOKER 2 (DS) Square Enix
  • 10. Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Wii) Nintendo


Carl on 17 September 2010
jarrod said:
Carl2291 said:
jarrod said:
tonio_13 said:
jarrod said:
tonio_13 said:

Versus 13 will launch after March 2011. No way Square Enix can release FF 13 (in the west), FF 14 and FF Versus in the same fiscal year.

FFXIII was last fiscal year worldwide.  I agree though that Versus won't be this fiscal year, if it was we'd likely know about it by now.  I don't think Agito makes this year either.

True but FF 13 launched in March in the west, and we all know legs are very important in the west.

Evidently not according to the massive NPD drop it saw in April.

And the great legs it's showing right now on VGC...

20k-ish combined weekly six months out isn't exactly stellar.  Especially considering the massive pricedrops about everywhere, it's selling for 50% or less of MSRP most places.  FFX/XII didn't price collapse nearly as fast...

Not even making NPD's top 20 in April was pretty telling for FFXIII, it was massively overshipped which is why they've been pricedropping the stock to move out.  Even DQIX managed top 20 it's second NPD, and it's an incomparably less popular series (and will probably hold it's MSRP for the rest of the year, at the very least).

Yet it's still selling 20k a week 6 Months after it's WW launch.

Which are good legs. No matter how much you try spin it with NPD or a game on the DS.



                            

kopstudent89 on 17 September 2010
jarrod said:

Anyway, on topic, I'm going to guess Japan's top 10 this year will look like (no numbers, no 3DS included, sorry)... all will be million plus sellers though...

 

  • 01. Pokemon Black / White (DS) Pokemon
  • 02. Monster Hunter Portable 3rd (PSP) Capcom
  • 03. Wii Party (Wii) Nintendo
  • 04. New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Wii) Nintendo
  • 05. Ninokuni: The Jet-Black Mage (DS) Level-5
  • 06. Super Mario Collection Special Pack (Wii) Nintendo
  • 07. Tomodachi Collection (DS) Nintendo
  • 08. Dragon Quest VI: The Realms of Reverie (DS) Square Enix
  • 09. Dragon Quest Monsters JOKER 2 (DS) Square Enix
  • 10. Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Wii) Nintendo

 


Mario pack 1mil ?? I doubt it jarrod :/



jarrod on 17 September 2010
Carl2291 said:
jarrod said:
Carl2291 said:
jarrod said:
tonio_13 said:
jarrod said:
tonio_13 said:

Versus 13 will launch after March 2011. No way Square Enix can release FF 13 (in the west), FF 14 and FF Versus in the same fiscal year.

FFXIII was last fiscal year worldwide.  I agree though that Versus won't be this fiscal year, if it was we'd likely know about it by now.  I don't think Agito makes this year either.

True but FF 13 launched in March in the west, and we all know legs are very important in the west.

Evidently not according to the massive NPD drop it saw in April.

And the great legs it's showing right now on VGC...

20k-ish combined weekly six months out isn't exactly stellar.  Especially considering the massive pricedrops about everywhere, it's selling for 50% or less of MSRP most places.  FFX/XII didn't price collapse nearly as fast...

Not even making NPD's top 20 in April was pretty telling for FFXIII, it was massively overshipped which is why they've been pricedropping the stock to move out.  Even DQIX managed top 20 it's second NPD, and it's an incomparably less popular series (and will probably hold it's MSRP for the rest of the year, at the very least).

Yet it's still selling 20k a week 6 Months after it's WW launch.

Which are good legs. No matter how much you try spin it with NPD or a game on the DS.

"Good" legs wouldn't be in the bargain bin.  Budget legs are indeed better than no legs at all though, gotta clear that stock somehow...



jarrod on 17 September 2010
kopstudent89 said:
jarrod said:

Anyway, on topic, I'm going to guess Japan's top 10 this year will look like (no numbers, no 3DS included, sorry)... all will be million plus sellers though...

 

  • 01. Pokemon Black / White (DS) Pokemon
  • 02. Monster Hunter Portable 3rd (PSP) Capcom
  • 03. Wii Party (Wii) Nintendo
  • 04. New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Wii) Nintendo
  • 05. Ninokuni: The Jet-Black Mage (DS) Level-5
  • 06. Super Mario Collection Special Pack (Wii) Nintendo
  • 07. Tomodachi Collection (DS) Nintendo
  • 08. Dragon Quest VI: The Realms of Reverie (DS) Square Enix
  • 09. Dragon Quest Monsters JOKER 2 (DS) Square Enix
  • 10. Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Wii) Nintendo

 


Mario pack 1mil ?? I doubt it jarrod :/


1.5m!  I am going for broke with this prediction! :D

But seriously, 25th anniversary, limited time release.  It's going to be HUGE.  At least 1m is guaranteed imo.