*Sound Of Rain said:
Metroid Other M
Samurai Warriors 3
Poke Park Wii P.A
Fling Smash
Kirby's Epic Yarn
Donkey Kong Country Returns
Wii Party
Disney Epic Mickey
Sonic Colors
Conduit 2
Golden Eye 007
...Oh No Nintendo has NOTHING left the Wii is dead for sure!
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Hmm, Metroid Prime 3: Corruption sold 1.57 million, Other M is a Contra 3D/2D shooter with none of the same appeal, hardly a recipe for massive success if you ask me.
Samurai Warriors 3 has moved around 280k in Japan in roughly six months and is generally a type of game that doesn't sell at all in EMEAA and Americas (in fact, the previous ones weren't even released there).
Poke Park has moved around 370k in half a year Pokemon crazed Japan and managed first week sales of rouhgly one fourth of that in EMEAA with third and fourth weeks being even lower in comparison (nearly one fifth and one to six and-a half respectively).
Fling Smash is a complete dud (and a quirky concept) that no one has even heard about that might manage to move a couple of hundred thousand if its lucky.
Kirby could certainly help but is largely recognized as a handheld franchise now and this is a complete wildcard with no guaranteed impact.
Donkey Kong has diminshed and sold less and less with the previous two DK games on Wii selling 590k and 520k, a lot less than the last GC game, hardly a sign of a massive system seller if you ask me.
Wii Party seems to have little to no hardware moving capabilites as it hasn't even managed to spurr the Wii over the PS3 in hw sales and it has sold only a fraction of the other Wii games and will likely end up like Wii Music; more or less forgettable and a mere shadow of Fit and Sports.
Epic Mickey is the very definition of a joker, could go both ways, there is no indication (other than forum members wishing it) that this will be huge, or even mediocre in sales. It could sell millions and it could sell poorly. A complete gamble if I ever saw one.
Sonic Colors; are you kidding me? What will this game accomplish other than drive away a whole lot of Sonic fans? The last Sonic Wii game barely managed to scrape past 500k worldwide.
Conduit 2; ah yes, the sequel to the most hyped up third party game on the Wii so far this generation. That sold 420k.
Goldeneye 007; the remake of the famous N64 game that might actually be the one thing on this list to have an impact. It sold great in NA, good in EMEAA but flopped in Japan. This could very well drive sales a bit but can hardly do the job alone.
The fact that this is the best list you can come up with should in and on itself be a clear indication of the kind of trouble Nintendo might be setting themselves up for. Yes, they will win the holidays despite meager showings (in the way of true system sellers) but there's the issue of the rest of the year after that which will truly be make or break for the Wii's lifecycle. To think, only a little over a year ago, a lot of people (respected ones even) were talking about zooming past 50% marketshare, selling 200 million units lifetime, outliving the HD consoles by years, getting all the best 3rd party support, breaking all records available to break and in general be the most sold and popular console in history. Now look where it is, after the magic color that was supposed to work wonders for some reason, two huge Mario games in six months, Wii Sports Resort, Wii party, Wii Motion Pluss, Wii Fit Pluss, a price cut and it still manages to have historical yoy drops in hardware sales in its fourth year (yes, all consoles drop but 25-30% or perhaps even more in its fourth year in crazy, especially considering that it was actually up yoy in the first couple of months this year).
Before anyone jumps down my throat and tugs at my lungs to kill me; no, the Wii is not "domed", but it will never ever do any of the marvelous things it was only a short while ago destined to do and that alone speaks volumes.