no. just dan ce 2 will do much better and it is almost the same thing.
Kinect comes out in November. It will rely on heavy advertising because the market it targets is just not that aware of gaming in general.
They will be going up against an already very popular franchise "just dance".
Dance Central is the only real game of its type on the 360, so market confusion isn't really a problem, but the 360 really isn't the kind of platform that casuals are on. If a dance game were big enough to make people buy both a kinect AND the game, and possibly a 360, why wouldn't they buy or already have bought a wii already?
That type of game is in abundance on the wii, and the wii has that image. 360 doesn't. The kinect will be bought mainly by 360 owners who are looking for a new experience. It will not be bought by casuals because wii already has a firm grip on that demographic.
The other group that I think will buy the kinect are people whom were going to buy a wii, but instead went for the new fad in order to "one-up" their neighbors. "LOL CONTROLLERS". That group of people will soon run into a wall when they realize that kinect games suck and they could have bought a wii and just dance 2 for cheaper.