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Forums - Sales - Predictions for MH3, Metroid: Other M and Super Mario Galaxy 2 first week

homer on 01 April 2010

160 k
400 k
970 k
If this is right then you heard it here first. If not.... you didn't hear it at all.



"Everything we hear is an opinion, not a fact. Everything we see is a perspective, not the truth." -My good friend Mark Aurelius

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cmeese47 on 01 April 2010

MH3 80k
Metroid Other M 225k
SMG2 700k



SaviorX on 01 April 2010
cmeese47 said:
MH3 80k
Metroid Other M 225k
SMG2 700k

MH3 = 160k NA+EU

Metroid Other M= 260k NA+EU

SMG2 = 650k NA+EU



Leatherhat on July 6th, 2012 3pm. Vita sales:"3 mil for COD 2 mil for AC. Maybe more. "  thehusbo on July 6th, 2012 5pm. Vita sales:"5 mil for COD 2.2 mil for AC."

Bruno Muñoz on 01 April 2010

Monster Hunter Freedom Unite --- 70,303 / Monster Hunter Tri --- 145,000
Metroid Prime 3 --- 367,288 / Metroid Other M --- 315,000
Super Mario Galaxy --- 1,061,126 / Super Mario Galaxy 2 --- 850,000



kingofwale on 01 April 2010

I'm only predicting US+Others first week number here

MH3 = 80K
Metroid = 300K
SMG= 1.4 million



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
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kingofwale on 01 April 2010
Soriku said:
kingofwale said:
I'm only predicting US+Others first week number here

MH3 = 80K
Metroid = 300K
SMG= 1.4 million
Carl2291 said:
MH3 - 100k

Metroid - 300k

SMG2 - 1.2M

(This is without looking at preorders or previous game sales)

 
You guys do know MH3 was already at 54k preorders since March 27 while increasing 8k+ per week right (though in Carl's case since you said you haven't looked at preorders, just consider this informative...not sure abou kingofwale). And that's without running TV ads yet. MH3 preorders had a little over 3 weeks from that point and that means at least another 24k and this is only assuming preorders remain the same which obviously won't be the case with ads. So that's basically 78k just assuming it does 8k per week. Multiply that by 1.5 (which, according to ioi, gives a similar number to the total first week sales...though Wii owners tend to preorder less) and you're looking at 117k first week and that's just NA only. Not counting Others or ads. It's guaranteed to sell over 100k.

OT: Don't feel like predicting anything yet. MH3 has a good shot at 150-200k though.

Thank you for your explanation, athough interesting enough, you didn't make a prediction yourself?


I stand by my prediction, Pre-order tracking isn't always accurate.



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)
SaviorX on 01 April 2010
kingofwale said:
Soriku said:
kingofwale said:
I'm only predicting US+Others first week number here

MH3 = 80K
Metroid = 300K
SMG= 1.4 million
Carl2291 said:
MH3 - 100k

Metroid - 300k

SMG2 - 1.2M

(This is without looking at preorders or previous game sales)

 
You guys do know MH3 was already at 54k preorders since March 27 while increasing 8k+ per week right (though in Carl's case since you said you haven't looked at preorders, just consider this informative...not sure abou kingofwale). And that's without running TV ads yet. MH3 preorders had a little over 3 weeks from that point and that means at least another 24k and this is only assuming preorders remain the same which obviously won't be the case with ads. So that's basically 78k just assuming it does 8k per week. Multiply that by 1.5 (which, according to ioi, gives a similar number to the total first week sales...though Wii owners tend to preorder less) and you're looking at 117k first week and that's just NA only. Not counting Others or ads. It's guaranteed to sell over 100k.

OT: Don't feel like predicting anything yet. MH3 has a good shot at 150-200k though.

Thank you for your explanation, athough interesting enough, you didn't make a prediction yourself?


I stand by my prediction, Pre-order tracking isn't always accurate.

You're right - look at what happened with MAG.

It had more preorders than first week sales by a large margin (I think ~200k)



Leatherhat on July 6th, 2012 3pm. Vita sales:"3 mil for COD 2 mil for AC. Maybe more. "  thehusbo on July 6th, 2012 5pm. Vita sales:"5 mil for COD 2.2 mil for AC."

Mendoza85 on 01 April 2010

MH3 160.000 (A+O)

METROIDOM 350.000 (A+O)

MARIO GALAXY 2 760.000 (A+O)



09tarheel on 01 April 2010

I'm not sure why people are only guessing America and Others for Metroid and Mario? Anyways my predictions

MH3 (A+O) 180,000
Metroid (WW) - 350,000
Mario Galaxy 2 (WW) - 1.25 million



atma998 on 02 April 2010

Yeah guys, Japan must be included in your predictions.