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Forums - Sales - Analyst predicts 127m PS3 sales

megaman79 on 09 March 2010

Im just dissapointed Gamsutra promoted such a bizarre view.



“When we make some new announcement and if there is no positive initial reaction from the market, I try to think of it as a good sign because that can be interpreted as people reacting to something groundbreaking. ...if the employees were always minding themselves to do whatever the market is requiring at any moment, and if they were always focusing on something we can sell right now for the short term, it would be very limiting. We are trying to think outside the box.” - Satoru Iwata - This is why corporate multinationals will never truly understand, or risk doing, what Nintendo does.

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vaio on 09 March 2010
Hus said:
thx1139 said:

Part 3 will see sales at about the same level.

Putting the PS3 at about 13M in sales for 2010.

You forgot

Part 3.1 - GT5 is released, all past sales numbers go out the window.

Part 3.2 - With its release, significant majority of European HD console sales are PS3s.

 

If its released in Oct/Nov GT5 will effectivly kill holiday 360 sales in Europe.  I stand by this and always have. 

 

we all know your pro ps3 agenda and your predictions about the competition:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=14021

March 27 2007: they are alreay outdated. wii is dead in the next year and a half.

Predicting ps 3 pricecut in 2007:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=13713

March 25 2007: 65 nano Cell Br prices droping E engine axed lookin like this year.

Comments on the Wii again

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=20124

APR 11 2007:wii is a kiddy fad, they are right.

Why the Wii wont reach 80 million:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=15921

March 31:Ohhh some one has some time to kill. Pretty optimistic. wiis hardware hdtv penetration future proofed competitiors are working agianst its sales

Predicting PS3 will pass 360 by august 2007:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=20314

APR 11 2007: 360 is only selling well in NA, during the summer and into Xmas Ps3 will fire the big guns and eat 360s potential sales.

 around august 360 will be surpassed.

Thoughts on Nintendo and Wii:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=22262

APR 15 2007: 

its the kiddwii!!!

 NIn has always been kiddy oriented, its just reality.

Predicting Wii too out in 2009:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=23015

no worries, wii 2 will be out in 2009!!!

Some thought about xbox live:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=24569

APR 20:

live is a joke.

 Home will destroy it.

Prediction about the 360:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=132111

AUG 9 2007:

360 is heading down and nothing can stop that. As soon as mid 08 or late xmas 08 360 is in 3rd place.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ot very much of what you say is based in reality and most of it is pro Sony no mutter what.

You have been drinking so much Sony cool aid that nothing you say can be taken seriously.

You have been thinking that Wii, xbox and xbox live would sink since 2007 and that by mid 2008 Sony would rule both in consoles and online and even though reality has shown you a different picture you just keep on speewing Sony propaganda and unrealistic predictions.



Vaio - "Bury me at Milanello"      R.I.P AC Milan

In the 60's, people took acid to make the world weird.
Now the world is weird  and people take Prozac  to make it normal.

If laughing is the best medicine and marijuana makes you laugh

Is marijuana the best medicine?

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enragedorange on 09 March 2010

PS3 will not be a 10 year console. PS1 was a 10 year console because it was the best selling one of the generation. PS2 was a 10 year console because it was the best selling one of the generation. PS3 will lose third party support as soon as PS4 comes out and first party shortly after unless it becomes the most popular console by then.

Wii will probably be a 10 year console if the new nintendo console attempts to innovate controls in a new way or goes back to normal controls, otherwise there won't be any 10 year consoles this generation. Sony can't guarantee its consoles to be 10 year consoles. If games stop selling well, the console will die, whether it is the sony brand or not. Sony has a decent chance of passing 360 though, since it will probably last a year or two longer then it.



Netyaroze on 09 March 2010
RolStoppable said:
@Demotruk

The 360 went into 2009 under very similar circumstances and managed to maintain a growth year over year despite the PS3 picking up steam later on in the year. It's not that we disagree, I don't believe myself that the PS3 will have an outstanding year in 2010, i.e. 15+m. But something like 13-14m is probable.

 

No it didnt. 2008 was the peak year for the 360. It declined in 2009. Btw 3*2=6 Spes



Arius Dion on 09 March 2010
vaio said:
Hus said:
thx1139 said:

Part 3 will see sales at about the same level.

Putting the PS3 at about 13M in sales for 2010.

You forgot

Part 3.1 - GT5 is released, all past sales numbers go out the window.

Part 3.2 - With its release, significant majority of European HD console sales are PS3s.

 

If its released in Oct/Nov GT5 will effectivly kill holiday 360 sales in Europe.  I stand by this and always have. 

 

we all know your pro ps3 agenda and your predictions about the competition:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=14021

March 27 2007: they are alreay outdated. wii is dead in the next year and a half.

Predicting ps 3 pricecut in 2007:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=13713

March 25 2007: 65 nano Cell Br prices droping E engine axed lookin like this year.

Comments on the Wii again

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=20124

APR 11 2007:wii is a kiddy fad, they are right.

Why the Wii wont reach 80 million:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=15921

March 31:Ohhh some one has some time to kill. Pretty optimistic. wiis hardware hdtv penetration future proofed competitiors are working agianst its sales

Predicting PS3 will pass 360 by august 2007:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=20314

APR 11 2007: 360 is only selling well in NA, during the summer and into Xmas Ps3 will fire the big guns and eat 360s potential sales.

 around august 360 will be surpassed.

Thoughts on Nintendo and Wii:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=22262

APR 15 2007: 

its the kiddwii!!!

 NIn has always been kiddy oriented, its just reality.

Predicting Wii too out in 2009:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=23015

no worries, wii 2 will be out in 2009!!!

Some thought about xbox live:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=24569

APR 20:

live is a joke.

 Home will destroy it.

Prediction about the 360:

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/post.php?id=132111

AUG 9 2007:

360 is heading down and nothing can stop that. As soon as mid 08 or late xmas 08 360 is in 3rd place.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ot very much of what you say is based in reality and most of it is pro Sony no mutter what.

You have been drinking so much Sony cool aid that nothing you say can be taken seriously.

You have been thinking that Wii, xbox and xbox live would sink since 2007 and that by mid 2008 Sony would rule both in consoles and online and even though reality has shown you a different picture you just keep on speewing Sony propaganda and unrealistic predictions.


LoL. Check Mate.



Bet between Slimbeast and Arius Dion about Wii sales 2009:


If the Wii sells less than 20 million in 2009 (as defined by VGC sales between week ending 3d Jan 2009 to week ending 4th Jan 2010) Slimebeast wins and get to control Arius Dion's sig for 1 month.

If the Wii sells more than 20 million in 2009 (as defined above) Arius Dion wins and gets to control Slimebeast's sig for 1 month.

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theRepublic on 09 March 2010
Demotruk said:
RolStoppable said:
@Demotruk

I am in agreement with you that the fifth year won't be the PS3's peak year. My only point was that it's very likely that this year, the fourth, will be it. This would fall in line with the 360, the console with the most similar circumstances, which had its best year in 2009 (at least I think that was the case).

Well, as theprof pointed out it's more likely to have a fourth year peak by full years, since it includes November and December of 09.

But I think people are overoptimistic about 2010. So far it's up YoY on a weekly basis, but every week it's up less. GoW3 should give it momentum in March, but it's not going to carry momentum for the five month period following it's release. YoY comparisons will continue to get worse and eventually turn negative, the earlier Microsoft makes a move the moreso.

 

Edit: I look at relative YoY comparisons these days because in retrospect, if we had looked at them for Wii we would have seen the Wii's troubles coming as early as 2008.

I'm curious, what exactly do you mean by relative YoY comparisons?



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Hus on 10 March 2010
vaio said:

3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ot very much of what you say is based in reality and most of it is pro Sony no mutter what.

You have been drinking so much Sony cool aid that nothing you say can be taken seriously.

You have been thinking that Wii, xbox and xbox live would sink since 2007 and that by mid 2008 Sony would rule both in consoles and online and even though reality has shown you a different picture you just keep on speewing Sony propaganda and unrealistic predictions.

Atleast from day one i backed them.

And 99% of this place drinks to much Sony hate to be taken seriously.

You all had been thinking PS3 is to expensive it will be dead right of the bat, the games will never come their is no saving it.   Sony should focus on PS4 blahh blahh and so on.

It goes the other way to.

When reality is the doomed over priced console has out sold the wii before, is out selling the 360 in Europe and is down right on 360s heals in its home market.  And doing all that while still being most expensive.

Only unrealistic predictions have come from sony haters, its has survied and now is kicking ass.  Had Sony got their games out sooner, 360 would have already been sunk.  Hell all they had to do is released GT5 at the time of the Slim/price drop and 360 would be long dead in Europe.  But sadly no.  Once 360 is dealt with, theres only one left. 

My predictions are coming true, taking their god damn time but better late then never.  Unlike most most predictions on here of PS3 death, most have been proven DEAD WRONG.  Mine are still alive to be proven right.  



Viper1 on 10 March 2010
Hus said:
vaio said:

3

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ot very much of what you say is based in reality and most of it is pro Sony no mutter what.

You have been drinking so much Sony cool aid that nothing you say can be taken seriously.

You have been thinking that Wii, xbox and xbox live would sink since 2007 and that by mid 2008 Sony would rule both in consoles and online and even though reality has shown you a different picture you just keep on speewing Sony propaganda and unrealistic predictions.

Atleast from day one i backed them.

And 99% of this place drinks to much Sony hate to be taken seriously.

You all had been thinking PS3 is to expensive it will be dead right of the bat, the games will never come their is no saving it.   Sony should focus on PS4 blahh blahh and so on.

It goes the other way to.

When reality is the doomed over priced console has out sold the wii before, is out selling the 360 in Europe and is down right on 360s heals in its home market.  And doing all that while still being most expensive.

Only unrealistic predictions have come from sony haters, its has survied and now is kicking ass.  Had Sony got their games out sooner, 360 would have already been sunk.  Hell all they had to do is released GT5 at the time of the Slim/price drop and 360 would be long dead in Europe.  But sadly no.  Once 360 is dealt with, theres only one left. 

My predictions are coming true, taking their god damn time but better late then never.  Unlike most most predictions on here of PS3 death, most have been proven DEAD WRONG.  Mine are still alive to be proven right.  

So how many copies of LittleBigPlanet was supposed to sell?  5 million, 10 million, 20 million?  And which game was it again that supposed to crush Wii and X360 and make PS3 dominate?  Lair, MotorStorm, KillZone, Resistance, LittleBigPlanet, MGS 4, Uncharted, etc...?  When X game comes out, it's over for Wii.  Do I need to link to all those threads? 

And of course we've seen nothign but failure from the pro analysts thus far, why give them the benefit fo the doubt now?

 

Vaio, damn good post.



The rEVOLution is not being televised

bazmeistergen on 10 March 2010

Plus 99% of people don't hate Sony. We just laugh at their silly PR team and there disrespect of the competition. This is also why many of us laugh at Rafa Benitez (Liverpool FC).



Yes.

www.spacemag.org - contribute your stuff... satire, comics, ideas, debate, stupidy stupid etc.

Hus on 10 March 2010
Viper1 said:

So how many copies of LittleBigPlanet was supposed to sell?  5 million, 10 million, 20 million?  And which game was it again that supposed to crush Wii and X360 and make PS3 dominate?  Lair, MotorStorm, KillZone, Resistance, LittleBigPlanet, MGS 4, Uncharted, etc...?  When X game comes out, it's over for Wii.  Do I need to link to all those threads? 

And of course we've seen nothign but failure from the pro analysts thus far, why give them the benefit fo the doubt now?

 

Vaio, damn good post.

And i have seen nothing buy mega failures from most of you on here, why give any of you the benefit of the doubt ?

Many of you here backed selnor in his delusional crusade of Forza over GT.  Hell not a single one of you gave the Slim any chance of doing what it actually ended up doing.  Even these days many deny Gran Turismos sales capability, even though its pay for demo did 4.5 million.