Analyst predicts 127m PS3 sales

[theRepublic]

Demotruk said:

RolStoppable said:
@Demotruk

I am in agreement with you that the fifth year won't be the PS3's peak year. My only point was that it's very likely that this year, the fourth, will be it. This would fall in line with the 360, the console with the most similar circumstances, which had its best year in 2009 (at least I think that was the case).

Well, as theprof pointed out it's more likely to have a fourth year peak by full years, since it includes November and December of 09.

But I think people are overoptimistic about 2010. So far it's up YoY on a weekly basis, but every week it's up less. GoW3 should give it momentum in March, but it's not going to carry momentum for the five month period following it's release. YoY comparisons will continue to get worse and eventually turn negative, the earlier Microsoft makes a move the moreso.

 

Edit: I look at relative YoY comparisons these days because in retrospect, if we had looked at them for Wii we would have seen the Wii's troubles coming as early as 2008.

I'm curious, what exactly do you mean by relative YoY comparisons?