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Forums - Sales Discussion - FINAL: Predict God of War III First Week/LTD

PS2 was heavily pirated so GOW2 sales were affected heavily. xD
God Of War 3 will sell 4 million min WW

First week
Americas : 900k
Others : 300k
Japan : 40k

Total 1.24 mil

LTD
Americas : 2.7 mil
Others 1.3 mil
Japan : 0.1 mil

Total : 4.1 mil



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first week:
Americas-1.0m
others-400k
Japan: 35k

total:1.435m

LTD:
Americas-2.3m
others-1.3
Japan:80k

Total: 3.68



1.5 million in total for the first week

then 4 million LTD, possibly reaching 5 million if good marketing.



                                  

                                       That's Gordon Freeman in "Real-Life"
 

 

Is there a reason why Others is so low?
Usually the games sell much better there...

Americas: 750k
Others: 500k
Japan 75K
FW: 1.325

LTD: 4mio.



Heavy Rain shocked me so..

America first week 875k
Others first week 450k
America lifetime 3.4 million
Others Lifetime 1.2 million

Overall
5.925 million



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LOL at everyone thinking its LTD sales will be below 4m. Hell, even 5m.

LTD is hard to capture though, a game can sell for years so you have to consider how many will be sold copies after 2 or 3 years.

First Week:

America: 1.1m
Others: 600k+
Japan: 70k (Uncharted 2 sold 47k on day one)

Total week one sales: 1.8m

LTD:

America: 3.6m
Others: 2.8m
Japan: 200k

Total LTD sales: 7m (after 2-3 years).

Prediction:

GoW III will reach 5m sold by the end of the year.

I say this because Uncharted 2 managed to push 3.5m within four months. With the same level of advertising GoW III can surpass this figure BUT I think Sony will be putting a lot more into marketing for GoW, hence the higher prediction.



first week :

Na 600,000 - 700,000
other 280,000 - 320.000
japan 28,000 - 50,000

WW 900,000 - 1000,000



First Week: 1.1-1.3 million
Total Sales: 3.5-4.2 million

Those are my predictions, but I don't really know much about the predecessors.



I think you guys are rather low. I think it'll be quite a bit higher. Like 1.25-1.75m in the first week in America. This game is majorly hyped, and not just by people on the internet.

And in Europe, it may also push up there close to 500-750K.

Lifetime however, that's questionable. Considering the fact its on PS3 and the fact that it does appeal to a certain audience, it may do better or worse than the previous games. I'm going to say it does about 3-3.25 million lifetime.



Six upcoming games you should look into:

 

  

1.2-1.3m 1st week

4-5m lifetime

3m b4 2010s up



                                                             

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