By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sony - GOW3 very much likely to selll 1.5 mn+ first week.

HappySqurriel on 13 February 2010
leo-j said:
HappySqurriel said:

Being that God of War II sold closer to 500,000 first week, I think predictions like this are a good way to be disappointed with the sales God of War III achieves.

Actually, I believe it will be the best selling GOW title by maybe half a million to a million units.

You shouldn't follow trends, I mean you expected LBP to sell along the numbers of the first Ratchet and clank on the ps3, because you didn't think there was a base for platformers on the console.. and the game is well over 3 million now.

Actually, I disagreed with people (like many people on this thread) who predicted that Little Big Planet would sell as well as Super Mario Galaxy; and other people who thought it would be a 5+ Million selling game. I admit that my predictions were probably low on Little Big planet (probably 25% to 50% lower than its sales); but being that it sold to 1/3 the level that the insane people I was arguing against were predicting, I think I did alright.



Around the Network
HappySqurriel on 13 February 2010
--OkeyDokey-- said:
HappySqurriel said:
libellule said:
HappySqurriel said:

Being that God of War II sold closer to 500,000 first week, I think predictions like this are a good way to be disappointed with the sales God of War III achieves.

and looking at past-gen episode that were new IP (god of war1) or end of the PS2 gen release (god of war2) are a good way to be surprised IMO

How many PS3 games have sold dramatically better or faster than their PS2 counterparts?

How many game series in general see a decline in sales from the first game to the second game (with a continued decline on another platform) to suddenly see a massive spike to far beyond 3 times their original popularity?

750,000 sales first week is optimistic ... and I couldn't imagine Sony manufacturing more than 1 Million copies for the initial run.

Metal Gear Solid fits your description perfectly. Saw a decline (of 1.5 million) from the second to third game one PS2 and sold barely a million on PSP. Then the PS3 sequel went on to sell 1.7 million first week. Significatly more than its PS2 prequel.

And MGS4 and God of War 3 are similar in that they're event type games. The last chapters in their respective franchises with a ridiculous amount of hype. Also, ioi has predicted 700-800k first week in America alone.

If you count the multiple releases of earlier Metal Gear Solid games and compare it against the sales of Metal Gear Solid 4 you will notice that Metal Gear Solid 4 is (roughly) in line with the sales of Metal Gear Solid 3. On top of this, if you compare the initial week sales of 2, 3 and 4 in Japan all three games had (roughly) the same initial week sales; and at no point did a Metal Gear Solid game sell at 3 times the rate of previous games.

500,000+ is a safe bet, 750,000+ is optimistic, and there is an outside chance of 1,000,000; but there is no way it will break 1,500,000 first week



elvacano80 on 13 February 2010

i dont c it happening >.>



 

 

GameAnalyser on 13 February 2010
wholikeswood said:
pearLy said:

Let's do some calculations:

God of War - Others' sales = 28% America's Sales
God of War II - Others' sales = 35% America's Sales
[according to VGChartz data where Others sales might be incomplete]

1. God of War III preorders in America for February 6th: 350,000 (+11,000)
2. 6 weeks left until release -> 6x11,000=66,000
3. 66,000+350,000=416,000 preorders on release (not counting in the higher preorder numbers towards release)
4. 416,000 preorders + 150,000 spontaneous sales on release + higher preorder numbers towards release = 600,000 first week in America

40% x 600,000 = 240,000 first week in Others (higher percentage due to increasing popularity of the series in Europe)

America: 600,000
Others:  240,000
Japan:    25,000
Total:     865,000

These are only calculations of course. A million may still be possible. But if you make a prediction please let us know on what kind of presumptions it is based.

Excellent analysis, I reckon.

I'm similarly going to cap it at ~900k FW.

sounds reasonable analysis to me, but numbers would be like atleast 750K or more in Americas alone.



qmoney88 on 13 February 2010
vic_viper said:
qmoney88: I don't give a flying crap if I'm in the minority or not, if more peons like spamming one button combos with some bald, half- naked Spartan dude then more power to them. As for the pre alpha demo, that's Sony's fault for releasing an ancient demo. Based on the demo the game blows, it's the same slop as GoW 1 and 2 but in HD.


I dont understand why youre getting so defensive on a thread where you obviously dont belong.  It makes no sense for you to make posts like this that are wholly inacurate and show your ignorance of the series as a whole.  Spend some time with it, play them on harder difficulties and see if that changes your opinion.  And I wasnt defending sony for releasing a demo that wasnt of the final build, they did that so that fans of the series may try it out.  As far as the story bit goes, just because you dont enjoy it and want to know what happens doesnt mean others dont.  Its people like you that make sites like these unbearable, you cant be tolerable of others preferences and make posts on peoples profiles the way you did mine.  Get over yourself.



 PROUD MEMBER OF THE  PLAYSTATION 3 : RPG FAN CLUB

Around the Network
Joel12345 on 13 February 2010

Well most ps3 owner (Teens)dont have the money to buy games but in the summer when they get jobs(The teens)game sales might boost a bit



gamefreak4ever on 13 February 2010

It would be nice for GOW 3 to break first week records for PS3 1st party games....



http://www.vgchartz.com/sigs/output.php?userid=60726%5B/img%5D%5B/url%5D">

sega4life on 13 February 2010

When GOW2 came out the install base for PS2 was what? 130+ million?

And it only sold 2.6 million to date..


1.5 first week will be more then half of what GOW2 did lifetime on a 130+ install base.



PS4 Preordered - 06/11/2013 @09:30am

XBox One Preordered - 06/19/2013 @07:57pm

"I don't trust #XboxOne & #Kinect 2.0, it's always connected" as you tweet from your smartphone - irony 0_o

--OkeyDokey-- on 13 February 2010
HappySqurriel said:
--OkeyDokey-- said:
HappySqurriel said:
libellule said:
HappySqurriel said:

Being that God of War II sold closer to 500,000 first week, I think predictions like this are a good way to be disappointed with the sales God of War III achieves.

and looking at past-gen episode that were new IP (god of war1) or end of the PS2 gen release (god of war2) are a good way to be surprised IMO

How many PS3 games have sold dramatically better or faster than their PS2 counterparts?

How many game series in general see a decline in sales from the first game to the second game (with a continued decline on another platform) to suddenly see a massive spike to far beyond 3 times their original popularity?

750,000 sales first week is optimistic ... and I couldn't imagine Sony manufacturing more than 1 Million copies for the initial run.

Metal Gear Solid fits your description perfectly. Saw a decline (of 1.5 million) from the second to third game one PS2 and sold barely a million on PSP. Then the PS3 sequel went on to sell 1.7 million first week. Significatly more than its PS2 prequel.

And MGS4 and God of War 3 are similar in that they're event type games. The last chapters in their respective franchises with a ridiculous amount of hype. Also, ioi has predicted 700-800k first week in America alone.

If you count the multiple releases of earlier Metal Gear Solid games and compare it against the sales of Metal Gear Solid 4 you will notice that Metal Gear Solid 4 is (roughly) in line with the sales of Metal Gear Solid 3. On top of this, if you compare the initial week sales of 2, 3 and 4 in Japan all three games had (roughly) the same initial week sales; and at no point did a Metal Gear Solid game sell at 3 times the rate of previous games.

500,000+ is a safe bet, 750,000+ is optimistic, and there is an outside chance of 1,000,000; but there is no way it will break 1,500,000 first week

Why would you count multiple releases? MGS4 hasn't been re-released yet. And why are you singling out Japan?

We're talking about first weeks here anyway. MGS3 sold 1 million first week and MGS4 sold 1.7 million first week. 1.5 million is too high for God of War, but 1 million is all but certain at this point.



Kantor on 13 February 2010
sega4life said:

When GOW2 came out the install base for PS2 was what? 130+ million?

And it only sold 2.6 million to date..


1.5 first week will be more then half of what GOW2 did lifetime on a 130+ install base.

On a 120 million install base after three next-gen consoles had launched, yes.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective