One of the last major games coming to the Switch 1, Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream releases on the 16th of this month; how much do you predict it will sell lifetime, and what is your reasoning?

10m. The 3DS version was one of it's top 10 selling games, and I think being on Switch will give it a sales boost over the 3DS version.

Two and a half million at most.

That's a very low estimate, could you explain your reasoning?

7.5 million is my ceiling. (I’m betting on 2.5-5 million.) If KirbyATFL has only hit 7-8 million so far, then I struggle seeing such a late gen NS1 game pulling much higher.

I’m very curious to see how Rhythm Heaven will do, though. Nearly 200k likes on the release date reveal for JP Nintendo is crazy! And at $40USD? I feel like this game could really pull some unexpectedly strong figures… perhaps 2.5-4 million LTD?

The game sold 564,405 physical copies in Japan in it's first 4 days:
https://nintendoeverything.com/famitsu-softwaresales-4-13-26-4-19-26-top-30/

Hopefully Nintendo will announce a number soon, possibly at their next quarterly report (even though this one technically falls into the current quarter, not the only reported next)

It is the poster child of games that I find completely uninteresting. So in light of that I guess it will reach almost 12 million units sold.

Hmm, it should have had at least a 2M+ WW launch, maybe even 3M+ depending on how well it did outside Japan which likely had a 1M+ launch. It should surpass the lifetime sales of the 3DS game at least.

Perhaps he bases it on the fact software interest fizzling out post successor!

However, 2m+ was probably it's opening alone ( with digital, because it is  sold out everywhere), similar to pokopia.

The  homologous 3DS title is the 10th best selling at 6.72m, of which  most sales are actually in EUROPE ( especially france).

Wow, curl , you put a 15m+ option?
That would be such an exceptionall feat.
Selling so much on a console that is ten years old platform., the game is an outlier though!
It has created a great buzz on YOUTUBE and (meh) tiktok.
It has to sell more than 7m.
Let's say 10m-12.5m. close to double or double to what the 3ds tomodachi achieved.