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Forums - Sales - Predict the lifetime sales of Tomodachi Life: Living the Dream

 

How much do you think it will sell lifetime?

0 -2.5m 4 16.67%
 
2.5-5m 0 0%
 
5-7.5m 6 25.00%
 
7.5-10m 4 16.67%
 
10-12.5m 4 16.67%
 
12.5-15m 2 8.33%
 
Over 15m 4 16.67%
 
Total:24
curl-6 on 24 April 2026
tak13 said:

Wow, curl , you put a 15m+ option?
That would be such an exceptionall feat.
Selling so much on a console that is ten years old platform., the game is an outlier though!
It has created a great buzz on YOUTUBE and (meh) tiktok.
It has to sell more than 7m.
Let's say 10m-12.5m. close to double or double to what the 3ds tomodachi achieved.

I wanted to make room for those who shoot for the moon; we've seen a number of games blow way passed expectations in over the years, (Animal Crossing, Ring Fit Adventure, Splatoon 1, Pokopia, etc) so I wanted to allow for the possibility that Tomodachi breaks the ceiling as well.



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tak13 on 24 April 2026

Last known sales break down
Europe 2.64m 46% Last known sell-out breakdown ( when vgchartz was tracking softare sales)
JApan 1.98m 33%
NA 900k 15%
ROW 0.36M 6%
5.88m

Can someone extrapolate the probable final sales based on the precentages? 6.72m total sales
In Europe it had "sky-lengthed" ( greek word) legs, while in the usa it was front-loaded.
With how much more NS has sold in ROW, you never know...

Last edited by tak13 - on 24 April 2026

firebush03 on 24 April 2026
firebush03 said:

7.5 million is my ceiling. (I’m betting on 2.5-5 million.) If KirbyATFL has only hit 7-8 million so far, then I struggle seeing such a late gen NS1 game pulling much higher.

I’m very curious to see how Rhythm Heaven will do, though. Nearly 200k likes on the release date reveal for JP Nintendo is crazy! And at $40USD? I feel like this game could really pull some unexpectedly strong figures… perhaps 2.5-4 million LTD?

Ah it seems I mistyped… luckily my evidence for having “mistyped” can be seen by the fact that nobody voted for 2.5-5 million lol. I meant to say 5-7.5 million.



The_Liquid_Laser on 24 April 2026
tak13 said:

Wow, curl , you put a 15m+ option?
That would be such an exceptionall feat.
Selling so much on a console that is ten years old platform., the game is an outlier though!
It has created a great buzz on YOUTUBE and (meh) tiktok.
It has to sell more than 7m.
Let's say 10m-12.5m. close to double or double to what the 3ds tomodachi achieved.

Keep in mind that Tomodachi Life on the 3DS was in the top 10 selling games for that system.  This means it outsold every Zelda on the 3DS, including A Link Between Worlds and Ocarina of Time.  This game could potentially blow past 15m and keep selling if it gets a good buzz going.  

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 24 April 2026

curl-6 bet me that PS5 + X|S sales would reach 56m before year end 2023 and he was right.
My Bet With curl-6

My Threads:
Master Thread, Game of the Year/Decade
Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
My Bet With Metallox

curl-6 on 25 April 2026
firebush03 said:
firebush03 said:

7.5 million is my ceiling. (I’m betting on 2.5-5 million.) If KirbyATFL has only hit 7-8 million so far, then I struggle seeing such a late gen NS1 game pulling much higher.

I’m very curious to see how Rhythm Heaven will do, though. Nearly 200k likes on the release date reveal for JP Nintendo is crazy! And at $40USD? I feel like this game could really pull some unexpectedly strong figures… perhaps 2.5-4 million LTD?

Ah it seems I mistyped… luckily my evidence for having “mistyped” can be seen by the fact that nobody voted for 2.5-5 million lol. I meant to say 5-7.5 million.

Ah, so it was a typo, I thought that was uncharacteristically downbeat for you; one of the things I like about your contributions to the forum is your positivity.



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firebush03 on 25 April 2026
curl-6 said:

Ah, so it was a typo, I thought that was uncharacteristically downbeat for you; one of the things I like about your contributions to the forum is your positivity.

That’s very nice of you to say. :)



Ashadelo on 25 April 2026

15 + million



我是广州人

curl-6 on 25 April 2026
Granted, Tomodachi Life on 3DS launched much earlier in the system's life compared to Living the Dream on Switch, but still, given the prior game was able to hit nearly 7 million on 3DS, the ceiling for its sequel could indeed be beyond 15 million.
The Switch 1 may have been replaced, but it still has a huge active userbase, and the game is playable on Switch 2 as well via BC, so there's a lot of potential buyers.
firebush03 said:
curl-6 said:

Ah, so it was a typo, I thought that was uncharacteristically downbeat for you; one of the things I like about your contributions to the forum is your positivity.

That’s very nice of you to say. :)

No worries, just being honest. :)



Sogreblute on 25 April 2026

I think this is gonna be a long term seller, so 15+ million.



Sephiran on 15 May 2026

It sold 3,8M after 2 weeks according to Nintendo, they also mentioned the fact that 40 % of Tomodachi Life buyers were Switch 2 owners, so that means its likely a game that will primarily keep on selling to new Switch 2 owners in the future, so 10M+ lifetime sales seems likely.