What are we thinking? I know next to nothing about box office figures, but I’m thinking it’ll hit $1 billion again. Though that’s literally just me thinking for five seconds and being like, “Hmm that sounds about right” lol.

I think there's a good chance of reaching $1.5 billion, surpassing the original movie. With the likes of Star Fox being included, Nintendo really wants to create a Nintendo Cinematic Universe, which should entice even more people to see it.

Assuming good reviews, it will gross 20 to 30% less in USA and Japan. Elsewhere it will gross around the same or slightly worse. 1.1 to 1.2 billion it is

Assuming lukewarm reviews, it will decrease by 40% or more in USA, and 20~30% elsewhere. 800~900 million

Assuming bad reviews, 600~700 million

I dunno. I think a movie like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is review-proof. The original hit 46/100 on Metacritic and went on to gross $1.36 billion.

I don't think there's any way this movie doesn't clear $1 billion.

Right around the same level as the first movie. Maybe more, maybe less.

The people who didn’t like the first movie won't be encouraged by the incoming reviews that seem to indicate that the flaws and issues they had with the first movie weren’t addressed (pacing, bare bones plot). So they’ll pass on the second film this go round.

It remains to be seen whether the new viewers and/or viewers who passed on seeing the first film in theaters, loved what the saw when it came to streaming, and will now go to the theaters for the second movie, can match or outweigh the aforementioned disgruntled viewers of the first movie.