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IcaroRibeiro said:

Assuming good reviews, it will gross 20 to 30% less in USA and Japan. Elsewhere it will gross around the same or slightly worse. 1.1 to 1.2 billion it is

Assuming lukewarm reviews, it will decrease by 40% or more in USA, and 20~30% elsewhere. 800~900 million

Assuming bad reviews, 600~700 million

I dunno. I think a movie like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is review-proof. The original hit 46/100 on Metacritic and went on to gross $1.36 billion.

I don't think there's any way this movie doesn't clear $1 billion.