This should be a fun topic.

IMO it’s hard to say whether it’ll receive Pokémon spin-off sales figures (e.g. Pokémon Mystery Dungeon, Pokémon Snap, etc.) or if it’ll go on to smash records, uniting both the Animal Crossing and Pokémon fandoms, two franchises which saw near-record launches for their most recent mainline entries.

That said: Call it bold, but I’m predicting 3-4 million. This game is a surefire smash hit in JP… so that’s at least one or two million right there. Add in a few million from US and EU, and you have a solid performance for Pokopia.

Hard to guess, it is probably going to be one with long legs. Especially when they update it frequently.

9 million for a console that moved 16 million units? Not happening

Let's Go Pikachu/Eevee is the absolute ceiling here, it moved 3 million on its first week. I voted for 1~2 million, and even this feels a lot

This is Switch 2 exclusive. Legends ZA moved 610k in first week in Japan on Switch 2 and 870k on Switch 1, there is no way Pokopia is selling 1 million units in Switch 2 alone. If it moves 500k it would be already a smash hit and well beyond Nintendo's expectations 

The installbase is still getting built so it'll not have crazy launch numbers but it definitely have the potential to have really good legs, especially compared to previous Pokémon spinoffs.

I'll say :
Japan - Famitsu numbers for the launch week : 225k
Japan shipments for the launch week : around 350k/400k
WW shipments for the launch week : 1.3 million
WW shipments for the launch quarter (Nintendo's next report) : 2 million

I have no clue on the immediatly sales potential this game have

1.1M just crossed my mind, so be it.

1~2M at best, likely less... game will need some time, some people talking about it. It needs to gain momentum....

First weekend? around 800k units. 1.4 million first week. breaking 2 million first month, then adding around 1,5 million each year the switch 2 is Nintendo's main console for a life time sale of switch 2 current user base, around 16 million.

Then again I see no appeal in this game.

I was absolutely not interested in this until the reviews started to come out. Still not in a rush to get it, bit once i‘m through the 3 RE‘s, i might have a look at it, it sounds like a nice experience after all. Cozy games sell, so i also think it‘ll end up past the 10 million mark after all is said and done.