Source: Link.

Bold if true. That’d blow any record out of the water for a gaming console’s first 9 months on the market.

An ambitious target if so, but so far they have been doing a great job of providing abundant supply, and it will be a hot item for Christmas gifts this year.

It would be insane if they managed to pull it off.

Using other launches to predict switch 2 sales was a huge mistake. It seems to me like Nintendo may have been ready to launch the Switch 2 hardware earlier but needed time for the software.

It's very unusual to be able to produce such a large amount of units for launch, and for them to be able to meet demand so soon. I thought the thing would be sold out the whole year but it's readily available, they're producing a huge number.

Depending on how many of these they can ship, the first fiscal year may be close to it's peak year in sales which is wild. Going to have a much flatter sales curve than normal.

That would be crazy. Console sales usually peak during the third year on the market or so, meaning that Switch 2 peak year could be pushing 28M-30M later down the line.

Remember by the same guy

Times have changed, everything is getting more front loaded. Especially now the expectation is that prices will keep going up!

But yes, Switch 2 is the prefect Christmas gift!

Series is practically gone, Rog Ally X is a joke, and PS5 is both more expensive than Switch 2 and $50 more than at launch, after 5 years on the market.
PS+ essential is also $80 per year now vs $20 for Switch 2.

Launching consoles in the first half of the year is working very well for Nintendo.

It is also a must considering the prices will go up, so being front loaded and making 'bigger' contracts will make more profit or less a loss on each unit.

Skeptical, as that is a lot to manufacture even for the biggest launch in gaming history.
A lot of workers who manufacture electronics get awful pay and conditions, and I feel this would just increase that. But I know clothing and a ton of other industries have bad labor practices too.

Mochizuki has shown himself to be unreliable with these kinds of projections, the Switch 2 is selling well clearly but the only reason to produce that much would be to hedge against tariffs possibly.

Yes, all of that sounds about right.  It'll be interesting to see the sales performance over several years.  

I guess they were actually serious when they said they were gonna try to minimize scalpers.  I thought that was just talk. But, it seems that they actually pulled it off.