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Forums - Sales Discussion - Official Big 3 Quarterly/Annual Results for shipments to date & projections

Nintendo will report how much money it earned on January 28, 2010..at which time we'll get updated shipment figures for Wii/DS for both hw and sw. We may also get new forecasts for the year ending March 2010 - as it looks like Nintendo can beat its sw forecast for DS and Wii by 20m and 10m respectively.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

Around the Network

Microsoft results come in on January 28, 2010 too.

Ballmer revealed the following at CES:

1) Since Xbox 1 launched, total Xbox-brand games have shipped over 500m+

2) X360 Shipments are at ~39m through December 2009 - up from 33.5m through September 2009. Therefore, Microsoft shipped 5.5m X360s in Oct-Dec 2009.

One Other Note:

I figure with the X360 attach rate at 8.7/system through September 2009 (presumably shipped sw/hw worldwide), X360 has an 8.8 attach rate or so through December. If that is the case: 343m X360 games have been shipped to date, up from 291m through September 2009. A jump to say, 8.9 would put the X360 sw market at ~347m.

Sony's results are coming February 4, 2010 - not sure if that is good or bad. It is a week after Microsoft/Nintendo

Final Edit: Microsoft cited an 8.8 attach rate for X360 through December. I'm working on the assumption that it is worldwide since NPD and other trackers are not cited. If it is just a USA figure from NPD, then X360 sw is at 164m in the USA (18.65 * 8.8), and perhaps 100m-160m elsewhere.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

Here is why I am expecting Sony to miss its SW target of 240m games shipped from April 2009 to March 2010. SW is way down through six months against last year, and PSP/PS2 are declining faster than PS3 is rising it looks like.

  Q1 3/2010 Q2 3/2010 Q3 3/2010 Q4 3/2010 FY 3/2010
PS3 14.8 23.9 55 27 120.7
PSP 8.3 12.9 16 11 48.2
PS2 8.5 11.1 14 7 40.6
PS SW T 31.6 47.9 85 45 209.5
FYTD
79.5 164.5 209.5

 

  Q1 3/2009 Q2 3/2009 Q3 3/2009 Q4 3/2009 FY 3/2009
PS3 22.8 21.2 40.8 18.9 103.7
PSP 11.8 11.8 15.5 11.2 50.3
PS2 19.3 23.2 29.7 11.2 83.5
PS SW T 53.9 56.2 86 41.3 237.5
FYTD
110.1 196.1 237.5


People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

Wii SW Mar Q Jun Q Sept Q Dec Q
2006


17.51
2007 11.29 16.02 20.99 47.38
2008 35.25 40.41 41 82.3
2009 40.8 31.07 45.13 80.5



DS SW Mar Q Jun Q Sept Q Dec Q
2004


5.01
2005 5.48 5.33 7.98 22.60
2006 14.04 18.35 24.81 50.63
2007 29.75 34.26 41.24 71.39
2008 38.74 36.58 48.44 78.75
2009 33.54 29.08 42.07 50.22


People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

Oct-Dec Totals/ LTD as of December 2009

HW

PS2 - ? / ?

DS - 11.65m  / 125.13m

Wii - 11.31m / 67.45m

PSP - ? / ?

X360 ~5.50m / ~39.0m

PS3 - ? / ?


SW

PS2 - ? / ?

DS - 50.22m / 688.29m

Wii - 80.50m / 509.66m

X360 ~ 52m? / 343m?

PS3 - ? / ?

PSP - ? / ?

 

PS3/PSP/PS2 figures through September 2009 can be seen earlier in the thread, data through December 2009 hasn't come in just yet.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

Around the Network

The 5.2 million Xbox 360's shipped in Q2 puts life to date shipment numbers at 38.7 million.



TheSource said:

Oct-Dec Totals/ LTD as of December 2009

HW

PS2 - ? / ?

DS - 11.65m  / 125.13m

Wii - 11.31m / 67.45m

PSP - ? / ?

X360 5.20m / ~38.7m

PS3 - ? / ?


SW

PS2 - ? / ?

DS - 50.22m / 688.29m

Wii - 80.50m / 509.66m

X360 ~ ~49m? / 340m?

PS3 - ? / ?

PSP - ? / ?

 

PS3/PSP/PS2 figures through September 2009 can be seen earlier in the thread, data through December 2009 hasn't come in just yet.

 



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

when is sony publishing its data



Feb 4th.



The rEVOLution is not being televised

We're not going to get this data until late April or early May...but here are some guesses at projections for the year ending March 2011.

Shipments in FY 3/2011  / LTD Estimate on March 31, 2011                

DS: 24m / 154.8m

Wii: 18m / 89.4m

PS3: 11m / 46.7m

PSP: 8m / 69.5m

X360: 8m / 48.2m

PS2: 4m  / 147.6m

 

For the year ending March 2010 I think we'll see:

DS: 27.5m-29.5m

Wii: 20-21m

PS3: 12-13m

PSP: 10m-11m

X360: 9.5m-10.5m

PS2: 6m-7m

 



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu