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Here is why I am expecting Sony to miss its SW target of 240m games shipped from April 2009 to March 2010. SW is way down through six months against last year, and PSP/PS2 are declining faster than PS3 is rising it looks like.

  Q1 3/2010 Q2 3/2010 Q3 3/2010 Q4 3/2010 FY 3/2010
PS3 14.8 23.9 55 27 120.7
PSP 8.3 12.9 16 11 48.2
PS2 8.5 11.1 14 7 40.6
PS SW T 31.6 47.9 85 45 209.5
FYTD
79.5 164.5 209.5

 

  Q1 3/2009 Q2 3/2009 Q3 3/2009 Q4 3/2009 FY 3/2009
PS3 22.8 21.2 40.8 18.9 103.7
PSP 11.8 11.8 15.5 11.2 50.3
PS2 19.3 23.2 29.7 11.2 83.5
PS SW T 53.9 56.2 86 41.3 237.5
FYTD
110.1 196.1 237.5


People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu