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Forums - Sales Discussion - Second Edition - Animal Crossing: New Horizons shipped 31.18m by December 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

 

Animal Crossing: New Horizons shipped 31.18m by December 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

Less than 35 million 25 3.77%
 
35.0 - 37.4 million 51 7.68%
 
37.5 - 39.9 million 65 9.79%
 
40.0 - 44.9 million 211 31.78%
 
45.0 - 49.9 million 123 18.52%
 
50.0 - 54.9 million 101 15.21%
 
55.0 - 59.9 million 31 4.67%
 
60.0 - 64.9 million 11 1.66%
 
65.0 - 70.0 million 4 0.60%
 
More than 70 million 42 6.33%
 
Total:664

We've had this same poll nine months ago and these were the results:

Animal Crossing: New Horizons shipped 11.77m by March 31st. Lifetime sales expectations?

Less than 17.5 million 69 6.88%
 
17.5 - 20.0 million 126 12.56%
 
20.1 - 22.5 million 146 14.56%
 
22.6 - 25.0 million 163 16.25%
 
25.1 - 27.5 million 144 14.36%
 
27.6 - 30.0 million 106 10.57%
 
30.1 - 32.5 million 97 9.67%
 
32.6 - 35.0 million 40 3.99%
 
35.1 - 40.0 million 35 3.49%
 
More than 40 million 77 7.68%
 
Total: 1,003

I think it's appropriate to give it another shot when ~75% of predictions have already been proven to be wrong, with another 18% to follow soon. Personally, I had voted 30.1-32.5 million back then, but in my defense, I wasn't aware that Isabelle and Doom Guy were a couple.

Here's how its shipments have progressed over time:

March 2020 - 11.77m/11.77m
June 2020 - 10.63m/20.40m
September 2020 - 3.64m/26.04m
December 2020 - 5.14m/31.18m

So once again, what are your lifetime sales expectations for Animal Crossing: New Horizons?

...

Bonus question: Have you purchased Animal Crossing: New Horizons?



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

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Where did you get the December data?



Nintendo with the Switch:

scottslater said:

Where did you get the December data?

Go back to the home page and look. You'll find out soon.



scottslater said:

Where did you get the December data?

Nintendo published their financial results earlier today.

You can look up all the latest hardware and software figures in this spreadsheet. Alternatively, you can go to Nintendo's corporate website and view their various documents:

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Shipments

pikashoe said:
scottslater said:

Where did you get the December data?

Go back to the home page and look. You'll find out soon.

Yeah, I found it in the Nintendo forum, but there isn't anything on the home page.



Nintendo with the Switch:

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Me think 45M approx. is a fair assessment as of now, but I'm not going against the belief that it might do even better.

Bonus question : No, sims game are not my cup of tea.

Last edited by Mar1217 - on 01 February 2021

Switch Friend Code : 3905-6122-2909 

Put me down for 55 mil.
I also believe MK8DX could manage the same and that the two of them will be neck and neck, if MK9 doesn't release until the next sysytem that is.



Major Switch Titles Launch Aligned

2021 predictions:

  • Switch - 27m
  • PS5 - 15.5m
  • Xbox Series - 10m

I voted for the 55-55.9 range, though I imagine it would be closer to 55 than 60. I also think ACNH will not be the best selling Switch game, even if it briefly overtakes MK8 DX soon. I think ACNH could reach 40 million by the end of 2021 (only 2 Nintendo titles hit 40 million on a single system before Switch!).

This will be interesting to look back on this time next year! I find it hard to imagine how ACNH will sell than 8.82 million in 2021 (the exact number needed to reach 40M), coming off of it selling over 30M in 2020 (less than a year on the market). The game will continue to receive updates, which will keep it in the public eye (even if its small updates...to be fair, MK8 DX hasn't had big updates). The pandemic will still impact us going forward this year (although that does have negative impacts, in addition to the positive impacts of being at home).



I think around 41 million. Not really confident with that because it could easily smash that number, but I'll got with it.

Edit: About the bonus question. Yeah, I bought it day one, played it for thirty hours and then sold it. Got enough out of it. 

Last edited by Metallox - on 01 February 2021

My bet with The_Liquid_Laser: I think the Switch won't surpass the PS2 as the best selling system of all time. If it does, I'll play a game of a list that The_Liquid_Laser will provide, I will have to play it for 50 hours or complete it, whatever comes first. 

I voted "more than 40 million" the last time, and this time I'll go with 55-59.9 million.

Bonus: no, doesn't look like something I'd have that much fun with.