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IcaroRibeiro said:

ROW and Americas growth is enough to offset the lack of japanese sales

The constraint here is pricing. PS2 was bargain bin price, low enough to people buy it without second thoughts which granted it anormally long end life

We are talking about Switch 1 level of pricing here, 250~300 USD enough to be considered a low cost gaming machine

And this of course considering no PS6 until 2030



Unless Sony is willing to suffer severe losses like during PS2 era I don't see this happening

You said it better than I, this is exactly what I wanted to communicate in the OP. The pricing is the issue. Also, people were buying PS2's just for separate rooms or to have a good quality DVD player for cheaper than a normal one. The PS2 was an anomaly of circumstances that combined. I can't see PS5 eclipsing 140m even if it's a ten year cycle with no price increases and the economies of the world suddenly healed nor any of this trade deals shenanigans. 130m is a fairly safe number, I would reckon for an extended cycle, that's where the limit feels like it would be reached. I do believe Sony have 120m users and there could be some Xbox and PC refugees or potential PC gamers buying PS5 for the value. Amongst other small things like GTA6 releasing and pushing people into the poor house but increasing hardware sales while doing it but I don't think that all these combined would be of too much note. 

Regardless of what happens, the PS5's sales are impressive at the moment. It's gonna do at least as well as the PS4 even if PS6 releases on time.