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shavenferret said:
Ryuu96 said:

Yeah, I wouldn't say it's impossible even that Trump decides to support Ukraine if Putin hurts his ego but when Russian Media blasted Melania's nudes over State TV as a mockery against her, Trump didn't say anything in response, Lol. He's weak when it comes to Russia and he's too stupid to tackle China, the last trade war with China ended up with an American loss and them bailing out their farmers.

Trump Says Taiwan Should Pay The US For Its Defence As ‘It Doesn’t Give Us Anything’ | Taiwan | The Guardian

When he says shit like this (which btw, is horseshit) it doesn't inspire much confidence he would defend Taiwan even with how much he hates the Chinese, everything has to be a transaction to him, albeit he casually ignores Taiwan supplying most of the worlds semiconductors and spending literally billions upon billions buying American military equipment.

List of US Arms Sales to Taiwan - Wikipedia

And what will convince China even more to have a pop at Taiwan is if America abandons Ukraine to Russia, all it will show to America's enemies is that America is both an unreliable ally and weak, it will show that Trump himself is weak and USA doesn't have the stomach to defend its allies and throws bullshit excuses out like "We're not getting anything in return!" as an excuse to runaway. Want to discourage China from taking Taiwan? Put down Russia, their strongest ally and show China that America can and will defend its allies.

But I get the feeling a lot of people didn't learn about WW2 in history classes and how appeasement and rewarding invading countries doesn't discourage them from taking even more, it only emboldens them. You don't reward bullies by giving them a quarter of your shit, they'll only continue and take the rest of your shit, you put them on their ass and send a message.

That's right.  It's almost like the pre-WW2 era all over again.  First hitler took over one country, then another, then another.  


I feel like Russia is getting the message that they can't just bully others.  We can't give up yet, but they are definitely getting the message.  China may decide that the time is right with the war in ukraine going on and trump in office, so many worried people will be waiting for his term to be over.   

When I see this argument it does raise my concerns which often get lessened and I become complacent that one of our countries has been invaded. 

Man, idk what China is gonna do or when they are gonna do it but fuck, maybe it would just be better for them to get it over with and fail if they are so intent on "reunification" cause there is no way in hell, short of a nuking the island, are they taking that little fortress. Backed by the US or not but surely since Trump dispises China he will back Taiwan. 

That said, I'm secure in my thinking that Xi is scared of Trump or at least apprehensive of his unpredictability and he won't move.