JRPGfan said:
(1) 64m 3DS owners, most of which are probably also Wii U owners. (2) Plenty of people collected mulitple versions of 3DS's because of differnt skins/special editions ect, (3) which is unlikely to happend for switch (imo)(price). (4) If Nintendo's market doesnt shrink, they should atleast go over 65m with the Switch.
I think PS4 is going over 100m though, and Im not sure the switch will (yet). We need to wait and see what sales are like in 2018 for it. |
(1) True for me, and I think at least half of the WiiU-owners also had a 3DS.
(2) True for me and as I see it I'm not alone.
(3) Hmm. Currently I don't see me buy another Switch. BUT, with the 3DS it was different models which brought me to buy it. If there is a model in say two years, which offers more value in my eyes I might pick up another one.
(4) I was more conservative with my 50M predition, but frankly this is the lower bound, I don't think Switch will sell below this. If it get's hot for some reason (games, add-ons, whatever) it might sell a lot more.
If it can beat the PS4 is a difficult question. At this point I say no, but as I said with (4), many can change. At the moment Switch has the basics right and initial momentum. Now is it up to Nintendo to keep and even increase this momentum.
