3DS & Vita Can Last For Another Two To Three Years In The West, Says NIS America Boss

[Mnementh]

Conina said:

Mnementh said:

Conina said:

Sure the 3DS can last for a few years... besides the NX handheld. Especially if the NX-handheld ain't backwards compatible to 3DS.

The lack of exclusive announcements for the New 3DS speaks volumes, even Xenoblade Chonicles is now available on Wii U. Why aren't they pushing the new 3DS model with some exclusives? Probably because the preparations for the NX-launch are much more important than broadening the New3DS-hardware-base.

As the new 3DS was announced many people with ... let's say not so friendly feelings about Nintendo claimed, that 3DS-owners now are fucked as any new software is released for new 3DS now. More reasonable people said, that N3DS-software not runnign on 3DS would be the exception. Look how it turned out. And if you're wondering how that can happen, look at the DSi, that as the N3DS had more processing power. How many exclusive games besides the downloads the DSi had?

But if it's a DSi situation (a minor final revision upgrade before the launch of the next generation, not the second coming that postpones the successor of the 3DS-line for at least 4 years), a NX-handheld at the end of next year or early 2017 is highly probable. The 3DS launched 27 month after the DSi and 14 months after the DSi. Outside of Japan the gap was even smaller: 3DS launched 25 month after the DSi and 12 months after the DSi.

Let's just ignore the DS LL for a moment. The NN3DS/LL launched in October 2014... 27 month later would be around January 2017. It launched in November 2014 in US + EU... 25 month later would be also around December 2016 and January 2017. Probably  1 - 2 month earlier to not miss out on the important holiday season, so my guess is November 2016.

Mnementh said:

You say no significant releases for N3Ds are announced, and from that you conclude the NX will replace it. But you omit, that there are a lot of significant releases for 3DS (that also run on N3DS) are announced. That somehow hurts your theory.

Are there significant 3DS releases announced for the time after November 2016? That would hurt my theory. And even the earlier 2016 games aren't a mostly impressive output of 3DS games... Mario & Luigi Paper Jam (I love the M&L RPGs!), Hyrule Warriors Legends (a port), Bravely Second: End Layer (already finished besides translation) , Metroid Prime Federation Force (not the Metroid game the fans were looking for) and the usual Olympic Mario&Sonic sport game.

Yeah, I always assumed the N3DS as comparable to DSi and therefore the 3DS getting a successor at the end of 2016 or the beginnign 2017. Your calculations with January 2017 or December 2016 pretty much match that. And seeing your answer, my criticism that you only looked at N3DS-exclusives was inconclusive, I wasn't critisizing the assumption that NX will replace the 3DS/N3DS (I think the same), but the assumption that the N3DS counts as a console of it's own that replaces the 3DS.

The games you name are the ones I had in mind too mostly, and I think of them as a good final lineup for the machine. Probably we will see some more games into the lifetime of the successor, as Pokemon B/W 2 came out I think even after 3DS.