I think the vita will be at 5.4m for it's first year, and the Wii U will be at around 2.1m for the holiday.
My prediction threads:
Wii U will sell under 40m units (made on 14th September 2012)
PS Vita will sell under 20m units (made on 30th September 2012)
Wii U will sell under 7m in 2013 - I was right