Pachter : SALES of New Super Mario Bros. Wii will “SHOCK” (in a "good" way)

Avinash_Tyagi

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Avinash_Tyagi on 25 October 2009

So Pachter predicts 50 Million NSMB Wiis sold?

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Pyro as Bill

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Pyro as Bill on 25 October 2009

If NSMB has a simliar attach rate to Mario Kart (+30%) that's 18 million copies @ 60M Wiis.

A attach rate similar to Wii Sports in Japan (~40%) would be 24 million. Wii Fit in Europe, 45% = 27M.

It will hit 20 million.

Nov 2016 - NES outsells PS1 (JP)

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Rath on 25 October 2009

darthdevidem01 said:
@Rath

WHAT!

why even have such high expectations

Thats my dissapointed level =P

I honestly think this has a good shot at 20 million.

Of course, I suck at predictions and may end up eating crow, but anyway.

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psrock on 25 October 2009

This game will be selling well into 2011. I predict 25 million.

Next Gen

11/20/09 04:25

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Paul on 25 October 2009

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Kantor on 25 October 2009

See, Darth, I told you there was news on weekends.

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Mummelmann on 25 October 2009

He thinks a Mario game will sell well? What a prophet.

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Larad on 25 October 2009

Pyro as Bill said:
If NSMB has a simliar attach rate to Mario Kart (+30%) that's 18 million copies @ 60M Wiis.

A attach rate similar to Wii Sports in Japan (~40%) would be 24 million. Wii Fit in Europe, 45% = 27M.

It will hit 20 million.

I think 10%-15% is more realistic to expect from a game like nsmb. 6-9 million. It's a watered down Mario World. The difficulty level, level design are both watered down fom Mario World.