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Forums - Sales Discussion - Declining Wii sales in Japan?

http://kotaku.com/gaming/shifting-units/simple-2000-the-japanese-hardware-chart-285579.php

Read that from Kotaku and checked the ioi's data and it seems to be decreasing.  Is this a matter of supply/demand resolved?  Wii's being shipped more to other regions?  Hold back for holidays?  Or something else?

Wondering if ioi has any input on this, or if anyone else has some added input as to why the numbers are going down.  Also PS3 skyrocketed, so I'm assuming it's software related, but a nice jump indeed from the previous weeks.

 



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Yeah it's a bit lower than normal...what can you expect though...it is a slow gaming season. It'll pick up around holidays of course.



LEFT4DEAD411.COM
Bet with disolitude: Left4Dead will have a higher Metacritic rating than Project Origin, 3 months after the second game's release.  (hasn't been 3 months but it looks like I won :-p )

It's a matter of a couple of things, most notably DQ:S. Kotaku looks back two weeks (when DQ:S was released, although it doesn't mention that). What happens if you look back three weeks? Three weeks ago, the Wii sold 74k, which is less than it did this week. In short, we saw a burst of sales for DQ:S, then back down again.

If you crop the picture like this, you can say that any console is declining. Just follow this formula:

Start your counting in a week when a major game is released.  Then track the two weeks proceeding it.

Ta da! In almost every case, you'll see a sales spike for the week of the game's release, followed by a decline. It doesn't mean Wii sales aren't stabilizing (they probably are), but it's poor evidence of a long-term decline. 



http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a324/Arkives/Disccopy.jpg%5B/IMG%5D">http://i14.photobucket.com/albums/a324/Arkives/Disccopy.jpg%5B/IMG%5D">

Wii sales are in the 70K range on an average week which is pretty good, its higher than the PS2's average weeks were



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Kotaku (and almost any gaming blog) is biased against Nintendo right now.  They are hardcore gamers and not journalist who think that the world will end when Face Training comes out.

That being said, they still cover Wii pretty equally (as far as space) because it gets traffic.

The sales have gone down for ONE week.  If by skyrocket you mean still not selling less than 2/3 of what the Wii sells then they are right.

 

A couple charts

#1 shows the Japanese gaming preference for this generation so far.

#2 shows the  "declining" Wii sales in Japan (BTW, the quotation marks imply sarcasm), notice the upward trend from 5/20, and then the spike for DQ:S and the continuation of the trend this last week.

 Thank you for your time, I am going to go play the Heavenly Sword demo for the 87th time.



I would cite regulation, but I know you will simply ignore it.

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The WII is even selling better than a few months ago when it sales we're even under 70.000. Still odd that MP8 is selling like crazy and then I mean "crazy", but WII sales are dropping.



This profile is no longer in use, see my other profile *~Onna76~*

Sales of anything, cars, BBQ spare ribs, toilet paper...........well maybe not toilet paper........ sales of anything are going to have ebbs and flows. To look at a two week period and get some kind of meaningful trend out of that, is impossible. This only serves to start an impression that the Wii is suffering due to the pricedrop in the PS3. As if anyone bought a PS3 over a Wii due to the pricedrop. Anything I guess for fanboys to try to prop up their prospective system.



Yeah... 3 weeks is a great way to see a trend. Specially when the 3rd week had seen a 50% increase.



Reality has a Nintendo bias.

I guess the reports about bigger Wii supply were false.

They probably got a new shipment at that day and the shelves were full of Wii´s. They usually sell out after 2 days, not after two hours. I could take a photo of a new DS Lite shipment to show there is plenty supply - and come back two days later and the shipment is gone.

There is no possibility of the demand decreasing in a week were such a big game comes out. Even the "Wii bubble myth" doesn´t implement demand would decrease from ten to zero in one week, with plenty supply and a major game out.

Guys, that was one report and Kotaku and the others are copying it over and over.



The usual Wii sales are some 65K ....it is just descending to its normal levels after the DQS release ...