sundin13 said:
KLAMarine said:
It's odd. I don't understand why you claim Trump is doubling down, tripling down, and so on. His original claim was Alabama being hit. A great number of subsequent comments by Trump acknowledge or at least suggest Alabama may no longer be hit.
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But it wasn't.
We just went over this.
His original claim was that Alabama was one of the states which had a high likelihood of being hit much harder than expected by one of the largest hurricanes ever.
We just went over this.
We just went over this.
Literally.
We just went over this.
PS: We just went over this.
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"His original claim was that Alabama was one of the states which had a high likelihood of being hit much harder than expected by one of the largest hurricanes ever."
>I completely agree.
SpokenTruth said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Damn, went through all 9 circles of hell for that one.
Btw, read below the map he posted on the 4th one (where he says that the "fake news" could apologize) :It says that maps from weather agencies supersedes that map. And even more funny: If anything on this graphic causes confusion, ignore the entire product. Think El Prez got confused by the map and thought Alabama (which is one of his most supportive states btw) could be scratched.
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Indeed. I brought that up back on the 6th and KLAMarine completely ignored it.
Baalzamon said:
Yea health insurance is not cheap here. Granted, with a $50k income the max you will pay for a Silver plan under Obama Care is $4700/year (total), or $400/mo (so we just generated an additional $200/mo). There are further potential subsidies for some states as well.
But the point of minimum wage is kind of what you mentioned. Not a ton left, but it is absolutely livable.
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Is that $400 for an individual or with a spouse? Mine includes a spouse. If it were just 1 person, it would be $404 on average based on my source.
KLAMarine said:
1). It's odd. I don't understand why you claim Trump is doubling down, tripling down, and so on. His original claim was Alabama being hit. A great number of subsequent comments by Trump acknowledge or at least suggest Alabama may no longer be hit.
"I suggested yesterday at FEMA that, along with Florida, Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina, even Alabama could possibly come into play, which WAS true,” Trump wrote. “They made a big deal about this when in fact, under certain original scenarios, it was in fact correct that Alabama could have received some ‘hurt.’"
"This is the original path that we thought -- and everybody thought that this was about a 95% probability," he said. "And it turned out to be not that path. It turned out to be a path going up the coast."
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Certain models strongly suggested that Alabama & Georgia would be hit as it made its way through Florida & to the Gulf....Instead it turned North and went up the coast, where it continues now. In the one model through Florida, the Great State of Alabama would have been hit or grazed. In the path it took, no.
2). Alabama was going to be hit or grazed, and then Hurricane Dorian took a different path (up along the East Coast).
3). To comment on the weather, I don't believe it's appropriate to speak of it in certain terms which Trump's 9/1 tweet arguably did. Subsequent output from the president seems to recognize that nothing is ever set in stone which I find to be appropriate language... Not sure the same can be said for the NWSBirmingham tweet, later to be contradicted by the NOAA itself.
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One of the maps identified that parts of Alabama had a 5 to 20% chance of receiving 39 mph winds; the other map said parts of Alabama had a 5 to 30% chance of 39 mph winds.
You know, 5-20% or 5-30% of tropical storm winds are certainly not 95%. So where the hell did he get the 95% figure from?
4). >To answer your question on the 95% figure, Trump per your post said "This is the original path that we thought -- and everybody thought that this was about a 95% probability," he said. "And it turned out to be not that path. It turned out to be a path going up the coast,"
5). It sounds to me like the 95% figure attests to what path the hurricane was likely to go, NOT a probability with regards to the likelihood of Alabama being hit.
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Wow. You're really digging your own grave for Trump.
1). It's doubling/tripling/quadrupling down because he was already corrected by the NWS, told if was old data to start with and continued to defend his initial lie.
Had he stated after being corrected that he had old information, this would be done and over. But, the ego in chief stood by his original statement WHICH WAS WRONG.
2). Was Alabama ever projected in Dorian's path? Yes....3-4 frikkin days BEFORE Trump mentioned Alabama. Why is this so hard for you (and Trump) to understand? It took a different path that no longer included Alabama DAYS before Trump made his Alabama claim.
3). Really? I guess all 50 states were possibly going to be hit then. I mean, why claim with absolute certainty that Alaska won't be hit by Dorian then? I guess Poland was could have been hit too, eh? Maybe it would do a 180 and hit Morocco. Or perhaps it would fallow Magellan's path, swoop under South America and slam into the Philippines. Only a sith deals in absolutes, right?
4). No, nobody thought 95%. Look at the damn maps themselves. Not a single one shows a 95% probability of even Tropical force winds...much less hurricane force winds.
5). Are we forgetting that when Trump first said Alabama that the weather information he was using was 4 DAYS OLD? Or that the current weather information on that day had Alabama completely in the clear for any chance of Dorian hitting Alabama? Or that the NWS in Alabama said 20 minutes later that Alabama was in the clear?
The only 95% of anything we have here is you failing to recognize reality.
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1. "It's doubling/tripling/quadrupling down because he was already corrected by the NWS, told if was old data to start with and continued to defend his initial lie."
>Are we sure Trump saw NWSBirmingham's tweet? The guy gets tons and tons of tweets, have we a guarantee Trump saw their tweet shortly after it was made?
2. "Was Alabama ever projected in Dorian's path? Yes....3-4 frikkin days BEFORE Trump mentioned Alabama. Why is this so hard for you (and Trump) to understand? It took a different path that no longer included Alabama DAYS before Trump made his Alabama claim."
>NOAA is telling me the information they and the NHC were giving to Trump at the time did very much include Alabama being at risk: "From Wednesday, August 28, through Monday, September 2, the information provided by NOAA and the National Hurricane Center to President Trump and the wider public demonstrated that tropical-storm-force winds from Hurricane Dorian could impact Alabama."
https://www.noaa.gov/news/statement-from-noaa
I now have to wonder how fast does NOAA/NHC's information gets to Trump.
3. "Really? I guess all 50 states were possibly going to be hit then. I mean, why claim with absolute certainty that Alaska won't be hit by Dorian then? I guess Poland was could have been hit too, eh? Maybe it would do a 180 and hit Morocco. Or perhaps it would fallow Magellan's path, swoop under South America and slam into the Philippines. Only a sith deals in absolutes, right?"
>No, let's focus on the states that are closer. That would include Alabama, certainly not Alaska.
4. "No, nobody thought 95%. Look at the damn maps themselves. Not a single one shows a 95% probability of even Tropical force winds...much less hurricane force winds."
>Again, the 95% figure did not sound like it was about wind strength but rather the suspected trajectory of the hurricane.
By the way, I gotta take umbrage with your declaration that I "will no longer be able to hide behind the disguise of skepticism as a veil for your dogmatic Trump sycophancy."
Let me let you in on a little secret:
Spoiler!
I voted for Hillary.
So for you to call me a Trump sycophant I'm finding incredibly rich. That said, let's tone it down on the insults please. Thank you.