"No, I highly doubt it - that soft spring quarter has hamstrung them somewhat. They needed to be coming in at around 3 million units or more for each quarter outside of Q3; 1.88 million in Q1 just wasn't good enough. Labo clearly hasn't taken off the way they hoped; the three packs combined have probably sold less than Xenoblade Chronicles. Selling less than a middle-tier JRPG is not what you want for a new game that's meant to bring your hardware to a wider audience.

My guess is they're going to land in the 18-18.5 million range, which would still be strong. As others have noted, PS4 did about 17.7 million in the second fiscal year, so around the 18 million mark would be good for Switch. Nintendo are at ~5.1 million now; I can see 9.5 million for the holiday quarter and 3.5 million in Q4, for a little over 18 million for the financial year."

That was my post on November 2nd - it seems now 18 million is likely the absolute best case scenario. Nintendo must be expecting this Q4 to come in slightly above Q1 of the financial year (1.88m), when Labo launched and which lacked any other significant sales drivers. It still seems conservative, especially given shipments of ~2.5 million would be down year over year.

I'd really hope they have a more consistent line-up planned for the next financial year. It's far from clear when their games are coming, but if they can get one of Luigi's Mansion 3, Animal Crossing and Pokemon out in Q1, Q2 and Q3, and actually have something significant launch in their Q4 for the coming financial year, they'll do better. A price cut or revision (or both) is also likely.

How i am partially wrong???, LOL. I am right or yet to prove right, but defitively not wrong. You haven't proved anything....

Such denial.....good lord. And i deserved an apology back then, not now, not because i'm right or not, but becuase i should not being called those things in the first place. Just because of respect among users here. People felt so convinced i was wrong  they called me whatever they want without any respect. That was my point. I've seen people who i considered vastly wrong and i never used words like fanboy, biased, having an agenda, .... It's very easy to understand.

And that was just an expression. Who cares???. When i'm racing in Gran Turismo Sport, and i start 5th, and see the level of my rivals and i say sometimes to my self: "I'm going to fight for 3rd position" and in others i said "I'm going to fight to keep the 5th place". I call "fight for" as the objective you put yourself on.  But you can call it whatever you want. I've ben saying those things since november, so you won't find any post saying i did not expect this numbers for Switch.

Like we said in spanish, "there is no one more deaf than the one who doesn't want to listen". So i give you that we should stop derailing. Let's stop right here.

I have put my Jackson's Five outfit to sing with you that you are not alone.

Thanks!

Lol, you act like you're the ONLY one who thought Nintendo would miss their target. Many Nintendo fans includung have been predicting around 17-18m the entire time. 

Looks like Pachter was right.

https://www.resetera.com/threads/we-are-confident-we-can-reach-our-goal-of-20-million-units-for-switch-says-reggie-pachter-disagrees-and-says-they-will-fall-slightly-short.86434/

"total number of million-seller titles during this quarter was 20, including the titles of other software publishers, 8 of those 20 million sellers came from third parties"
Dammit, now I am really curious to know the full 3rd party list. Also, this confirms Captain Toad reached the million, right?

If by right you mean, right on his 3rd guess than I guess.

He originally said it was on track to do 8 million then changed it to 13 million before finally getting it right.

Gosh, I hope so! I had wayyyy too much fun with the game!

Actually with Switch this is first time that Nintendo lowered part (dont forget they now raised forecast for software from 100m to 110m) of forecast , last couple of times they raised Switch Switch forecast.