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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - BOLD PREDICTION: Super Smash Bros Ultimate (Currently 17.68mil) Will Sell over 25mil WW Lifetime, Book IT

Bofferbrauer2 on 27 April 2019
Mnementh said:
Mnementh said:
OK, a TBone-prediction. I think it is bold, but that was true for earlier predictions of him. So I say I wait and see. Personally I think Smash can easily break 15M. Maybe it can reach to 20M. 25M seems so much.

It was wise of me to be reluctant to call T-Bone crazy. I was right about how easy it gets to 15M, should be happen even before the holidays. 20M now seems like a good possibility, and 25M doesn't look completely impossible now.

Speaking of Tbone, it's been a while since I last saw him, hasn't posted in a while now...



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HylianSwordsman on 27 April 2019
Bofferbrauer2 said:
Mnementh said:

It was wise of me to be reluctant to call T-Bone crazy. I was right about how easy it gets to 15M, should be happen even before the holidays. 20M now seems like a good possibility, and 25M doesn't look completely impossible now.

Speaking of Tbone, it's been a while since I last saw him, hasn't posted in a while now...

Yeah, where is he? He used to be so active! His profile says he was on today, but no posts since early March. Tbone, where you at?

And yeah, this prediction is looking much more possible now. 15 million guaranteed, 20 million easy, 25 million very possible.



tbone51 on 10 October 2019

Lets go. Waiting on new quarter results.



The_Liquid_Laser on 10 October 2019

The official tally was 14.73m as of June 30, 2019.  Of course all results we've seen so far suggest this Smash Bros has far better legs than any previous entry.  This will definitely be a thread to watch for the next few years.

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html

Last edited by The_Liquid_Laser - on 10 October 2019

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tbone51 on 10 October 2019

The_Liquid_Laser said:

The official tally was 14.73m as of June 30, 2019.  Of course all results we've seen so far suggest this Smash Bros has far better legs than any previous entry.  This will definitely be a thread to watch for the next few years.

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html

Can we get Its shipments per quarter?



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PAOerfulone on 10 October 2019
tbone51 said:

The_Liquid_Laser said:

The official tally was 14.73m as of June 30, 2019.  Of course all results we've seen so far suggest this Smash Bros has far better legs than any previous entry.  This will definitely be a thread to watch for the next few years.

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html

Can we get Its shipments per quarter?

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/library/earnings/index.html

You can find them by going through the Supplementary Information for the Earnings Releases of each quarter.

Q3 FY 2018 (Ending December 31, 2018)
Quarter shipment: 12.08 million 
Total shipment: 12.08 million 

Q4 FY 2018 (Ending March 31, 2019)
Quarter shipment: +1.73 million 
Total shipment: 13.81 million 

Q1 FY 2019 (Ending June 30, 2019)
Quarter shipment +0.92 million
Total shipment: 14.73 million



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tbone51 on 11 October 2019
PAOerfulone said:
tbone51 said:

Can we get Its shipments per quarter?

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/library/earnings/index.html

You can find them by going through the Supplementary Information for the Earnings Releases of each quarter.

Q3 FY 2018 (Ending December 31, 2018)
Quarter shipment: 12.08 million 
Total shipment: 12.08 million 

Q4 FY 2018 (Ending March 31, 2019)
Quarter shipment: +1.73 million 
Total shipment: 13.81 million 

Q1 FY 2019 (Ending June 30, 2019)
Quarter shipment +0.92 million
Total shipment: 14.73 million



Barkley on 11 October 2019
SpokenTruth said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:

The official tally was 14.73m as of June 30, 2019.  Of course all results we've seen so far suggest this Smash Bros has far better legs than any previous entry.  This will definitely be a thread to watch for the next few years.

https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/index.html

25 million overall is pretty much guaranteed now. 

No it's not. Smash won't have legs like Mario Kart. It will continue to decline. It won't reach 25m.



Wyrdness on 11 October 2019
Barkley said:
SpokenTruth said:

25 million overall is pretty much guaranteed now. 

No it's not. Smash won't have legs like Mario Kart. It will continue to decline. It won't reach 25m.

People said the similar things of BOTW in other predictions though yet it has continued to sell and does so in a similar manner where is has luke warm sales through the year then a boost during the holiday period this is because the flagship titles are continuing to sell alongside the Switch due to new users also coming on board. Zelda wasn't even close to MKs legs either less so than Smash yet is possibly going to hit 20m total with a possible 18m being on Switch alone. It can't really be written off.



abronn627 on 11 October 2019

Tbone is back !!!