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Forums - Movies & TV - Black Panther Currently @ $700M+ DBO, $1.34B+ WW

thismeintiel on 10 March 2018
PAOerfulone said:

Well deserved for Black Panther.
I think it will likely finish around $1.4-1.5 billion in the Box Office. Additionally, I think it will pass Avengers 1 in the Domestic Box Office and becoming the highest grossing Superhero movie of all-time in the United States.

I think $1.4B is going to be impossible.  Right now, I think best case scenario in the US is it ending up 10% (it's currently at 9.2%) above Avengers at the DBO, that would be at $685.7M.  For it to reach that high WW, FBO would have to represent 51%.  Right now, FBO represents 44.1%.  Sure, China will help that rise, but it's not going to rise to those levels.

Bristow9091 said:
Well it's exceeding my predictions anyway, expected it to top out at 800-850m WW, lol.

I'm with you there.  That's exactly where I thought it would land.  But, it's become an event movie in the US.  It's also performing pretty well for a standalone Marvel installment at the FBO.  It's not going to pull off Iron Man 3 ($805.8M) or Captain America 3 ($745.2M) numbers in the foreign market, but it'll definitely pass Thor 3 ($540M.) 



 

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Ganoncrotch on 10 March 2018

It's far from my favourite marvel film but it's a damn fine movie and really builds up yet another Marvel character to be someone you could get behind rather than the mess of unlikeable zero direction characters they've got over in DC land.



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thismeintiel on 11 March 2018

Weekend estimates are in and BP has done ~$1.08B WW, so far.



 

Insidb on 12 March 2018
thismeintiel said:
Darc Requiem said:
Hmm....I don't know. It's far exceeded anything I expected. I think it, depending on China, has a shot to catch the TLJ.

I think it's almost guaranteed to pass TLJ at the DBO at this point. FBO is going to be a tall order, though, the DBO might be enough to make up for it. Either way, it's still probably going to end up only ~$100M  or so behind, which is pretty bad for TLJ considering it's part of largest film franchise ever and what it should have done (~$750M+ DBO and ~$1.7B+ WW).

Insidb said:
So...Rian Johnson is getting fired?

Lol. Seriously, he should be.  I mean if BP, a standalone Marvel film, can get within striking distance to it WW, even passing it at the DBO, and Avengers:IW and JW2 end up passing it, obviously he failed to make a movie that pleased fans.  To give him free reign over the future of the franchise would be insanity in my opinion.


-Newcloud- on 12 March 2018
spurgeonryan said:
It helps when, like Jumangi, nearly nothing big has come out in months. In fact I think Jumangi was still in the top 5 when BP released. Could be mistaken though. Good timing for Disney though.

Don't forget Jumangi came out around a week after The Last Jedi and still came out with a strong box office total. Tho you could argue that Star Wars made it easy after that disaster.



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thismeintiel on 12 March 2018
-Newcloud- said:
spurgeonryan said:
It helps when, like Jumangi, nearly nothing big has come out in months. In fact I think Jumangi was still in the top 5 when BP released. Could be mistaken though. Good timing for Disney though.

Don't forget Jumangi came out around a week after The Last Jedi and still came out with a strong box office total. Tho you could argue that Star Wars made it easy after that disaster.

Yea, TLJ should have absolutely crushed that film. It actually did its first weekend, as Jumanji didn't open very big, just $36.2M. But, disappointed fans needed something else to watch and Jumanji filled that void nicely. Jumanji actually did $77.2M more than TLJ in January at the DBO.  I'm actually surprised at how well its legs have been. It's well into March and it just made almost $3M this past weekend. 

Haven't seen Jumanji, yet, but most people say it's pretty good.

Last edited by thismeintiel - on 12 March 2018

 

-Newcloud- on 12 March 2018
thismeintiel said:
-Newcloud- said:

Don't forget Jumangi came out around a week after The Last Jedi and still came out with a strong box office total. Tho you could argue that Star Wars made it easy after that disaster.

Yea, TLJ should have absolutely crushed that film. It actually did its first weekend, as Jumanji didn't open very big, just $36.2M. But, disappointed fans needed something else to watch and Jumanji filled that void nicely. Jumanji actually did $77.2M more than TLJ in January at the DBO.  I'm actually surprised at how well its legs have been. It's well into March and it just made almost $3M this past weekend. 

Haven't seen Jumanji, yet, but most people say it's pretty good.

Jumangis run at the box office is unbelievable coming in at 936M just shy of that Billion, I have seen it and thought it was ok I'd love to know what magic they used to have such great hold, Spiderman Homecoming with a much bigger marking push and the might of Marvel didnt bet it coming in at just 880M with out Star Wars competition. 



thismeintiel on 12 March 2018
-Newcloud- said:
thismeintiel said:

Yea, TLJ should have absolutely crushed that film. It actually did its first weekend, as Jumanji didn't open very big, just $36.2M. But, disappointed fans needed something else to watch and Jumanji filled that void nicely. Jumanji actually did $77.2M more than TLJ in January at the DBO.  I'm actually surprised at how well its legs have been. It's well into March and it just made almost $3M this past weekend. 

Haven't seen Jumanji, yet, but most people say it's pretty good.

Jumangis run at the box office is unbelievable coming in at 936M just shy of that Billion, I have seen it and thought it was ok I'd love to know what magic they used to have such great hold, Spiderman Homecoming with a much bigger marking push and the might of Marvel didnt bet it coming in at just 880M with out Star Wars competition. 

I think it was just a perfect storm.  It had a decent cast.  It was above people's expectations, which were pretty low.  And TLJ didn't offer much of a challenge.



 

Chris Hu on 13 March 2018

It already made more money on it opening weekend in China (almost $65 million) then The Last Jedi made in its entire run in China ($42 million). Its pretty much guaranteed to make over $1.3 billion world wide already.



thismeintiel on 14 March 2018
Chris Hu said:
It already made more money on it opening weekend in China (almost $65 million) then The Last Jedi made in its entire run in China ($42 million). Its pretty much guaranteed to make over $1.3 billion world wide already.

That's a little more than Thor made. So, if sales continue like that film, I'm guessing we should see ~$150M from China.