Lifetime sales: yes
End of 2017: no chance
I'm guessing 8.5m. The only way I see it breaking 10m by the end of December is if Nintendo really undershot their projections for the Switch publicly and really anticipated having an 18m+ install base by the end of the calendar year.
Simple Answer: No.
Slightly Better Answer: 6 million by year's end would be phenomenal.
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Not going to happen. Attach rate would have to be close to 100 percent at this time. Impossible now since game library has grown substantially. Install base has to be larger before any Nintendo game sells 10 million copies.
| StuOhQ said: Simple Answer: No. Slightly Better Answer: 6 million by year's end would be phenomenal. |
BotW is at minimum 5.8mil excluding q4. (Switch version 4.7mil)
I believe SMO will be higher even if only if its out for 2months.
UK: SMO>BotW
Japan: SMO>BotW
Depends what is it at now i wonder. Definately see 8 million by end of december.
| Gamer147 said: Not going to happen. Attach rate would have to be close to 100 percent at this time. Impossible now since game library has grown substantially. Install base has to be larger before any Nintendo game sells 10 million copies. |
Thats false. WiiU 13.5mil MK8 8.5mil
Switch by years end *14mil?
MK8D+BotW almost at 5mil each on switch by last quarter. Switch under 8mil.
Nintendo games have crazy attach ratios
i remember when tbone predicted crazy things like this and everybody ate crow :P
i would think 7-8 too... but that is just 2 mil away....
i remember on 3ds peak... it was selling 1 million every week around Christmas time... if switch pull the same numner and if the attach rate would be insane then maybe.
| Munchies said: This is too much even for you, Tbone. |
| Pok87 said: No 5-6 million are more likely. |
| Mar1217 said: If it does 7M, then it would be sensational. Every video game compagny would dream of getting these kind of numbers in such a short spam, especially for a 1st party title on a new released console. |
Zelda had almost sold 5mil with a 7.5mil install base before holiday. That game is also shared with wiiu. Mk8d is around the same sales.
Zelda and mk8d will be over 6mil each at minimum by years end.
SMO will be at least 6mil. 7-8mil is more realistic. 9mil is doable. 10mil is a stretch but its possible. Especially if switch has an install base close to 15mil by years end imo
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