Quantcast
PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

What do you expect?

NSW will win by a huge margin 18 6.69%
 
NSW will win by a small margin 59 21.93%
 
PS4 will win by a small margin 70 26.02%
 
PS4 will win by a huge margin 115 42.75%
 
Sorry, no troll XB1 option. :P Oh wait... 7 2.60%
 
Total:269
Teeqoz said:
Of the options in the poll, PS4 winning by a small margin (under 15 million counts as a small margin in my head) currently seems the most likely.

I don't think the Switch will be able to match the longevity the PS4 has demonstrated. It'll sell faster than the PS4 in its first three years, but its decline after that will be faster. In the end, both systems will end up above 100 million, with the PS4 probably ending up around 120, and the Switch ending up between 105 and 120.

That's exactly how i see it!



DON'T WIN ME CHIBI BUDDY DON'T WIN ME.

ANIMAL CROSSING NEW LEAF FRIEND CODE:- 5129 1175 1029. MESSAGE ME.
ANDY MURRAY:- GRAND SLAM WINNER!

In my opinion the N64 was not just the best console of the 5th gen but, to this day the best console ever created!

Around the Network
Kyuu said:
RolStoppable said:
Switch is going to take this.

People still make the mistake to consider Switch either a home console or a handheld depending on what best suits their argument at any given time. But since the market reception clearly points towards the best of both worlds, sales projections should be made in accordance to that. The home console and handheld market combined are bigger than the home console market alone.

What if Sony makes a portable version of PS4 by 2019/2020? (assuming PS4/Xbox4 are launching in 2021.. and Switch 2 in 2022/23) How much impact can we expect that to have?

I don't think there will be much demand to play old games on a handheld and at the same time it's hard to imagine that Sony or third parties would make new games for a portable PS4. Being more powerful than Switch isn't going to be a real selling point either, because that's what every competitor of Nintendo has done in the handheld market. So a portable PS4 is unlikely to have a significant impact on Switch sales.

Assuming that Nintendo goes bonkers and cuts the Switch's life short, then sure, that will have a significant impact on lifetime sales. Placing a bet on the timing of stupidity is very random though. Stupidity on Nintendo's part can't be ruled out, I'll give you that.

Intrinsic said:
RolStoppable said:

People who say things like "at least wait until..." do so because the present doesn't show their desired result. That goes for both success and failure.

If I followed your advice, I couldn't have told people before Switch launch that all lifetime predictions of 50m or less are laughably low.

You have this knack of generalizing. And always talking like everyone has some sort of anti nintendo agenda.

I think what I said is clear.... less than a year into the launch of any new hardware is too short a time to be making generation defining predictions as fact. Its ok to make a prediction and no one will argue with that. But its foolhardy to state said prediction like its a fact or to talk like you have some sort of inside knowledge on what everyone else thinks. 

Take note, I am not one of those that feel the switch will not sell well... I won't be surprised if it even outsells the PS4 at the end of its lifetime. Makes no difference to me to be honest.

Lets just end this here.... and agree to disagree as always.

You certainly have an anti-Nintendo agenda, so playing innocent isn't going to matter.

If it doesn't bother you if Switch sells more than the PS4 lifetime, then let me make my prediction.



Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV (360+PS3) would outsell SSBB. I was wrong.

A Biased Review Reloaded / Open Your Eyes / Switch Gamers Club

RolStoppable said:

You certainly have an anti-Nintendo agenda, so playing innocent isn't going to matter.



Watch me stream games and hunt trophies on my Twitch channel!

Check out my Twitch Channel!:

www.twitch.tv/AzurenGames

I feel like this thread will be very fun to look back on. I myself give a leaning to Switch victory but close to a toss up.

I also feel that people are underestimating Nintendo's ability to sell consoles. It seems to me that many people think that 3DS and Wii U sales are the norm while the DS and Wii sales are anomalies and one and done deal. To me it is the other way around but most people do not see that. Nintendo has made more successful systems than they did failures. Nintendo is the only publisher in the world that can have a console that sells on their own games alone. The power is all in Nintendo's hands and right now Nintendo is doing everything right. The sales of the Switch reflect this.

Also for those who predict that the Switch will do less than 100 million I have nothing to say to you other then that you really have no idea what is going on. Nintendo would have to sabotage their own product for that to happen. I hope you change your prediction because by the end of the Switch's 2nd year that prediction is going to look very wrong.



Tag:I'm not bias towards Nintendo. You just think that way (Admin note - it's "biased".  Not "bias")
(killeryoshis note - Who put that there ?)
Switch is 9th generation. Everyone else is playing on last gen systems!

Biggest pikmin fan on VGchartz I won from a voting poll
I am not a nerd. I am enthusiast.  EN-THU-SI-AST!
Do Not Click here or else I will call on the eye of shinning justice on you. 

killeryoshis said:
I feel like this thread will be very fun to look back on. I myself give a leaning to Switch victory but close to a toss up.

I also feel that people are underestimating Nintendo's ability to sell consoles. It seems to me that many people think that 3DS and Wii U sales are the norm while the DS and Wii sales are anomalies and one and done deal. To me it is the other way around but most people do not see that. Nintendo has made more successful systems than they did failures. Nintendo is the only publisher in the world that can have a console that sells on their own games alone. The power is all in Nintendo's hands and right now Nintendo is doing everything right. The sales of the Switch reflect this.

Also for those who predict that the Switch will do less than 100 million I have nothing to say to you other then that you really have no idea what is going on. Nintendo would have to sabotage their own product for that to happen. I hope you change your prediction because by the end of the Switch's 2nd year that prediction is going to look very wrong.

The Switch hitting 100m has everything to do with how long Nintendo supports it. If we have a Switch 2 around the launch of the PS5 and Whatever-the-fuck-Xbox-is-next, I don't think it will have enough time.



Watch me stream games and hunt trophies on my Twitch channel!

Check out my Twitch Channel!:

www.twitch.tv/AzurenGames

Around the Network

Considering Switch rarely if ever outsells the ps4 despite launching just 8 months ago iand having its heaviest hitters bar pokemon released for the system already i'd say PS4 outsells the switch by about 2:1 (Switch 70-80m, PS4 140-160m)



1. I am bookmarking this.
2. PS4 by a landslide. I still don't think the Switch will crack 100 million LT, and the PS4 will easily doo 120million+. Its simply a more atractive offering for the average joe, when you take into consideration the price and multimedia capabilities.

The Switch could do more than the 3DS, but I doubt it will blow past it. IMO we need at leats the next full year to have a somewhat clearer picture, but right now the PS4 is the likely winner.



Azuren said:

The Switch hitting 100m has everything to do with how long Nintendo supports it. If we have a Switch 2 around the launch of the PS5 and Whatever-the-fuck-Xbox-is-next, I don't think it will have enough time.

So in your world a PS5 will release at latest 2020 so that will mean the Switch 2 will release  around the same time. This will give the Switch a 3-4 lifespan at the biggest. The only way I see that happening is if Nintendo is stupid. There would be no advantage of releasing at such a time. If the PS5 releases in 2019 then this is even more absurd. 

bluedawgs said:

Considering Switch rarely if ever outsells the ps4 despite launching just 8 months ago iand having its heaviest hitters bar pokemon released for the system already i'd say PS4 outsells the switch by about 2:1 (Switch 70-80m, PS4 140-160m)

oh boy. Ok try to separate the predictions you think will happen from predictions you want to happen. Your predictions will be a lot more accurate that way.



Tag:I'm not bias towards Nintendo. You just think that way (Admin note - it's "biased".  Not "bias")
(killeryoshis note - Who put that there ?)
Switch is 9th generation. Everyone else is playing on last gen systems!

Biggest pikmin fan on VGchartz I won from a voting poll
I am not a nerd. I am enthusiast.  EN-THU-SI-AST!
Do Not Click here or else I will call on the eye of shinning justice on you. 

Easily PS4 unless Nintendo has some MAJOR tricks up their sleeves, but I think they played most of their cards up front



(Formerly RCTjunkie)

bluedawgs said:

Considering Switch rarely if ever outsells the ps4 despite launching just 8 months ago iand having its heaviest hitters bar pokemon released for the system already i'd say PS4 outsells the switch by about 2:1 (Switch 70-80m, PS4 140-160m)

Rarely? ... It's outsold the PS4 almost every month in NPD and Japan. Like, what? How is that rarely?

Also, it's so weird to me that people think a first year console with huge supply issues up until recently should be outselling a console in it's best year. Why do so many people think new consoles automatically outsell old ones, or that it's expected for new consoles to do so? 

For christ's sakes, there are some people in this thread who have gone as far as to say that the Switch will decrease from now on because it's "biggest exclusives" have already released. Really? Consoles don't work like that. Odyssey isn't the Switch's biggest exclusive either, neither is Zelda. 

Say PS4 will outsell Switch all ya want, I voted that in the pole. But please people, have some common sense.