Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 VS Switch lifetime sales, which console will sell the most?

What do you expect?

NSW will win by a huge margin 18 6.52%
 
NSW will win by a small margin 62 22.46%
 
PS4 will win by a small margin 73 26.45%
 
PS4 will win by a huge margin 116 42.03%
 
Sorry, no troll XB1 option. :P Oh wait... 7 2.54%
 
Total:276
siebensus4 said:
PS4 seems to lose momentum outside Europe quite fast. If we see a Switch Pro in 2020 or 2021 it could match PS4 sales in long term. If we don't see a Switch Pro and a successor instead, PS4 should sell most.

A Pro model is irrelevant to whether or not Switch passes PS4.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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Still amazes me how much people underestimate Nintendo.
Switch is going to beat PS4 and PS5. Nintendo is going to give new meaning to the term 'legs'. Pokemon and Kinect will look like amateurs compared.
Instead of acting surprised when it happens, just remember it's been written in the stars for years.



Nov 2016 - NES outsells PS1 (JP)

Don't Play Stationary 4 ever. Switch!

I usually bump this thread during the holidays, one year later every times.
Though considering what's happening right now, i can't just ignore the thread.
2020 has been an insane year, and Switch is having by far the biggest year ever.

Not only it seem that Switch is having a similar (if not better) sales curve than PS4, but it's sales in the 4th year are as huge as Nintendo Wii peak year in 2008
Here i made a comparation for USA:



Whoever thought PS4 would have won this battle by a huge margin, hands down, he was wrong. I'm very confident at this point that Switch will win in the end.
But it's not over yet. PS4 can still win this if it's legs are REALLY good after PS5 release.

So what you think? Who is gonna win?



2020 predictions: NSW 25m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 11m, XB1 4m

In December 2019 i predicted 21m Switch, 9m PS4 and 3m XB1, but that was before COVID, obvius increased my predictions.

The charts look good for Switch, but if we consider that PS4 should sell 140M lifetime, I'm still not sure if Switch can do that. It's a bit too far in the future and we don't know anything about Nintendo's hardware plans. 120M for Switch is almost given. Everything above depends on Nintendo's support for the console.



Ryng said:

I usually bump this thread during the holidays, one year later every times.
Though considering what's happening right now, i can't just ignore the thread.
2020 has been an insane year, and Switch is having by far the biggest year ever.

Not only it seem that Switch is having a similar (if not better) sales curve than PS4, but it's sales in the 4th year are as huge as Nintendo Wii peak year in 2008
Here i made a comparation for USA:



Whoever thought PS4 would have won this battle by a huge margin, hands down, he was wrong. I'm very confident at this point that Switch will win in the end.
But it's not over yet. PS4 can still win this if it's legs are REALLY good after PS5 release.

So what you think? Who is gonna win?

Thinking global, whatever ground NSW 2020 loses to Wii 2008 in Europe (if any) it will make up for in Japan.

Wii 08 sold 2.9M in Japan, NSW is at 2.439M through 23 weeks.  It will pass Wii 08 by end of July and the 3M it picks up after that will be gravy.



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Well there were those polls about lifetime expectations recently and I predicted:

PS4: ~130 mil
Switch: 140-150 mil

So yea I expect the Switch to win by a... medium sized margin?
Ofc I would be way off if Nintendo launches their next console early, but I've been expecting 2024 for a while and with how well the Switch is doing now, I see no reason why they would do it earlier.



UnderwaterFunktown said:
Well there were those polls about lifetime expectations recently and I predicted:

PS4: ~130 mil
Switch: 140-150 mil

So yea I expect the Switch to win by a... medium sized margin?
Ofc I would be way off if Nintendo launches their next console early, but I've been expecting 2024 for a while and with how well the Switch is doing now, I see no reason why they would do it earlier.

140 and 150 million actually are quite different if we compare to 130 million. 140 VS 130 is definitively a slighly margin. 150 huuum... that's already a bigger difference, but i would not call it "huge".

I agree with those predictions btw (i expect Switch closer to 140 than 150 tho), so my bet right is Switch by a slighly margin.



2020 predictions: NSW 25m, PS5 6m, XSX 4.5m, PS4 11m, XB1 4m

In December 2019 i predicted 21m Switch, 9m PS4 and 3m XB1, but that was before COVID, obvius increased my predictions.

Still think NSW will win by a large margin. How large? The exact numbers at this point depend on how much these companies are willing to cut the price of these systems. Currently Sony and Nintendo are acting as if price cuts have become passe. Will the PS4 get another price cut, and if so to what level? Will the Switch get a price cut...ever?