Switch is doing really well, regardless of what ps4 is doing. Ps4 average was 150k-200k a week in the post launch (non holiday) period back in 2014.

Bruh, like I said. I was giving all the possibilities that he or anyone else could believe are the defintion of a generation, I did not say they were all correct, but even if he thought it was correct it still wouldn't support a notion that Switch is part of some theoretical "ninth-generation".

I did also put in my original post "assuming ps5 launches 2020", but anyway. Switch released approximately 3 years and 3 months after PS4, so for it to be closer in release date to PS5, PS5 would have to launch before June 2020, I don't see a PlayStation releasing outside of the holiday period, it could be a holiday 2019 release though.

You're right generations don't matter, and as miguel said earlier in the thread, they're a dated concept, and either used as A. a way to be negative about the Switch or B. A way to conveniently move on from current systems and attempt to avoid comparisons.

I think it will take longer than 3 years for all the big franchises to be out being the successor to 2 platforms.

Maybe, really depends how fast Nintendo can pump out games now it can focus on one system.

Honestly I'd expect Pokemon, Animal Crossing, 2d Mario and Smash Bros out in less than 3 years, and Fire Emblem is next year too, not sure what Big Franchises will be still missing, probably forgot something though.

Though I don't think Switch is going to be particurly front-loaded like Kerotan says.

Make that 4 years then haha 

Yes, I'm saying that if the weekly average on July drops below 200k, I lose. 

Btw, I'm not emotionally invested in it, just making my own predictions based on demand/expectations/software. Also, you're no analyst, and even they get preditions wrong, so don't count on victory based on comparisons of limited data while not taking into account many factors that impact sales. 

And no, I will not "chicken" and say I lost due to supply constraints. If that happens, I lose and that's all. So, wanna take the bet?

PS: What about 1 month avatar control? 

When stock is fully replenished I wouldn't be surprised to see Switch outselling the PS4 2:1 and the Xbox One 4:1 for the next couple of years.

Awesome seeing Nintendo back on top where they belong!

I would quite surprised if they managed to sell 100-200-300% more than they can produce. Outselling the PS4 2:1 would entail 500k regular weeks and likely 2-3 million holiday weeks. That's more than the DS could do back when it shipped about 30 million or more for one fiscal year.

Yeah, outselling the PS4 at all during the first year is already amazing. Even matching it or coming close is still pretty good. But outselling 2:1 is 99% impossible. The only place it can doing that is Japan (it's alreaady doing so).

If you would not be surprised to see the Switch outsell the PS4 2:1 for the next couple of years then your expectations for the Switch must be ASTRONOMICAL lol. Even higher than that of Nintendo themselves. So you Expect to sell around 30 million+ per year for the next couple of years.....something no console has ever done......wow.......you sir......you........are one of a kind.