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Forums - Gaming Discussion - I'm feeling the Switch will struggle to sell 10 million units.

pokoko said:
After the Zelda surge, I think it's going to struggle until the 3DS is laid to rest (assuming no 3DS successor). After that, it will get stronger and do pretty good numbers. If it's competing with the 3DS, though, it's going to be hard to figure.

You say this without knowing what other games are coming out for it. Nobody really knows what games are actually coming to Switch.



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It's hard to argue with such a sound and logical analysis based on such extensive market research. I am thoroughly convinced.



Nope. I will easily break WiiU and so long as it sees the big portable titles along with the home console titles, it should break 50MM. (assuming starting price of $250 and 3DS goes away by 2018)



zuvuyeay said:

portable "console Mario" will have to go some to get over the N64 numbers,surely most casuals already game on the go these days on pads,pods and what not

what exactly are you saying here?



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

GProgrammer said:
It should sell 10 million but struggle to reach 20 Million. It will do well in Japan but its just the other 100 plus countries that it will struggle in.

I understand people are being cynical but you guys do realize that the 3ds has sold just as many units in the western market share as it has in Japan. yes Japan is more mobile/portable centric, but to say that the Switch would only be popular in Japan because of portability factor is shortsighted! 

If this device gets Pokémon on it everyone will know about this device... I still remember people saying that Pokémon GO would die completely after a month, but it's still one of the top grossing apps and has drawn much attention to the mainline series. 



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Remember, the Switch is (basically) a handheld, and Nintendo's handhelds tend to do really well. 3DS struggled at first but as soon as enticing games came out for it, it picked up steam quite a bit. If the Switch gets good exclusives, the Switch will do fine.



Miguel_Zorro said:
I really think everyone should wait until we know more details. People will pull these threads out for giggles in a few years.

Like this thread?

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=147642



I mean, even with how much I've bashed the Switch for it's rumored space issues, I think that it's guaranteed to sell at least 30m units as long as it has mainline Pokemon.



spemanig said:
I mean, even with how much I've bashed the Switch for it's rumored space issues, I think that it's guaranteed to sell at least 30m units as long as it has mainline Pokemon.

I don't even think it needs Pokemon for that, so long as it has a lot of great games (and Zelda is an excellent start).  It mainly needs a marketing campaign written by someone who isn't either drunk or suffering from a near-fatal head injury.  The Wii U could have been a 4 by 4 inch cube with the power of 3 PS4s and would have struggled for success with the trainwreck of uninformative, clumsy, generic, sometimes even outright embarrassing adds that the Wii U had.  If Nintendo screws that up again the Switch will struggle.  So far looks like they have that going in the right direction, but we'll see.  



Ck1x said:
GProgrammer said:
It should sell 10 million but struggle to reach 20 Million. It will do well in Japan but its just the other 100 plus countries that it will struggle in.

I understand people are being cynical but you guys do realize that the 3ds has sold just as many units in the western market share as it has in Japan. yes Japan is more mobile/portable centric, but to say that the Switch would only be popular in Japan because of portability factor is shortsighted! 

If this device gets Pokémon on it everyone will know about this device... I still remember people saying that Pokémon GO would die completely after a month, but it's still one of the top grossing apps and has drawn much attention to the mainline series. 

ya people seem to ignore that 3DS has sold close to 40 million outside of Japan.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.