Sharu said:
Final-Fan said:
Thank you. Forgetting for the moment the damage pattern, the DSB report spoke of "the bow-tie shaped fragments found in the cockpit and in the body of one of the crew members", so if I am understanding their report correctly it sounds like they found the actual shrapnel pieces that came out of the missile that are shaped like the 9M38M1 shrapnel pieces.
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Do you know if there's missiles with mixed type? Cause IF there are damage with BOTH kinds of shrapnel that could mean that it was two missiles of diff types or what? Cause I've taken a look on the photos of MH17 in internet and there's very few holes which can be interpreted as 'bow-tie' (?) shrapnel. And if the actual shrapnel pieces are different it only gives us more questions...
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Referring back to the DSB main report PDF, on page 132 they have a picture of the shrapnel configuration of the 9N314M warhead. (The figure on the right of the picture is a computer image of what it looks like inside the actual warhead pictured on the left. Real examples of the shrapnel pieces are in the middle of the picture.)
You will notice that there are three distinct different shapes of shrapnel in the warhead: the butterfly pieces (or bow-tie as the DSB report calls them), small square pieces that fill in the gaps between the butterfly pieces, and square pieces which are bigger than the little filler pieces but smaller than the butterfly pieces. So not all the damage of a 9N314M will be caused by butterfly shaped pieces, since the 9N314M has several different shapes of shrapnel inside it. The reason everyone is mainly talking about the butterfly shaped pieces is that it is a distinctive shape that helps to identify this particular warhead from the damage inflicted. In other words, yes, this warhead uses "mixed type" or multiple shapes of shrapnel.
In addition to the multiple pieces of shrapnel in the 9N314M, not all of which are butterfly shaped, there is another thing to consider. Imagine the shrapnel pieces exploding from the missile. The pieces fly everywhere but some of them hit the plane. Of course they are not particularly aerodynamic, and the explosion was a very rough type of propulsion, so most of the pieces are probably tumbling through the air and hitting the plane in different ways. Some of them will hit the plane "face first" and be in the perfect position to make a butterfly shaped hole. But others will hit "sideways", so they couldn't possibly leave a butterfly shaped hole. Think of throwing a coin at a piece of paper. It might hit with the whole face of the coin, tearing a big hole, or it might hit on the edge, tearing a thin slice. But that's not all! Next, think of what the shrapnel pieces are hitting. What kind of material is it? Some of the pieces will be able to punch through cleanly, leaving a perfect impression of how they entered the plane, "face" or "edge" first. But some of them will hit different material, making a messy hole or some other different kind of damage.
OK, Sharu. First: Does all of the above convince you that the 9N314M warhead would inflict damage with some butterfly shapes, but mostly other shapes? If not, why not? What parts of what I said above do you find unconvincing?
Second: You said that you are convinced that at least some of the holes WERE butterfly shaped, right? Isn't the 9N314M the only warhead in that region which uses that shape? So it would have to be that warhead, which according to Antey only goes in the 9M38M1 missile?