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Forums - Sony Discussion - PREDICT : UNCHARTED 4: A Thief's End Sales PREDICTION Thread!!!

 

Uncharted 4: A Thief's End Liftime Sales

around 7 million 144 46.45%
 
around 12million 126 40.65%
 
around 15million 38 12.26%
 
Total:308

So UNCHARTED 4: A THIEF'S END is about to release in MARCH 2016.

Uncharted series is one of the greatest and most critically acclaimed series in gaming history.It has also performed great sales-wise as sales for every sequel have risen higher.It is also very profitable financially for SONY as the development budget has only been around $20million for all the home console games on PS3 and even then Naughty Dog has been able to create a technically ground-breaking and best looking games.Uncharted has also been a fan favorite and helped showcase PS3 hardware power and is very popular even with the casual crowd and as a whole with the gaming community.This helped SONY promote PS3 and making it must-buy to play Uncharted helping propel PS3 hardware sales and promote the PS3 brand resurgence.

UNCHARTED is SONY's 2nd biggest franchise after GRAN TURISMO and was their showcase game last generation for PS3 and looks to be set to become their TOP Franchise beating even GRAN TURISMO both in terms of Significance as a Popular Gaming franchise and also in terms of sales both in Uncharted Software sales and PS4 hardware sales.

 

So,Post your first week and lifetime sales for Uncharted 4 A Thiefs End for various platforms and various regions and total

Also predict PS4 hardware boost

 

 

First Week - 3.5million(cud have been 4-5million if SONY didn't delay and Holiday 2015 release and SONY marketed it well)

Lifetime - 13million(15million if SONY markets it well)

 

PS4 Hardware Boost - 750k in addition to the normal weekly sales(cud have been 1million if SONY didn't delay and Holiday 2015 release and SONY marketed it well)

 

 

Remember UC1 released on PS3 install base - 6million and UC1 liftime sales - 4.8million

Remember UC2 released on PS3 install base - 26million and UC2 liftime sales - 6.5million

Remember UC3 released on PS3 install base - 55million and UC1 liftime sales - 6.6million

 

But,Uncharted 4 will release in March 2016 with a PS4 install base - 35million and a much faster growing install base and overall higher PS4 lifetime sales

 

 

 

You can change your prediction till 10th July,After that a Prediction Table will be made



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To help you predict,I have provided some sales data eblow for the Uncharted Franchise

 

 

Uncharted 1: Drake's Fortune released on 16th November 2007 on the following PS3 install base

Global Hardware by Platform 17th November 2007

Platform Weekly (change) Total
PS3 258,304 (+8%) 6,262,351

Global First Ten Weeks (Units)

Week EndingWeekWeeklyChangeTotal
17th November 2007
1 30,215 N/A 30,215
24th November 2007
2 50,853 68.3% 81,068
01st December 2007
3 39,384 -22.6% 120,452
08th December 2007
4 149,645 280.0% 270,097
15th December 2007
5 171,118 14.3% 441,215
22nd December 2007
6 192,613 12.6% 633,828
29th December 2007
7 127,601 -33.8% 761,429
05th January 2008
8 85,861 -32.7% 847,290
12th January 2008
9 68,638 -20.1% 915,928
19th January 2008
10 57,294 -16.5% 973,222

Global Annual Summary (Units)

YearYearlyChangeTotal
2007 761,429 N/A 761,429
2008 1,564,427 105.5% 2,325,856
2009 705,609 -54.9% 3,031,465
2010 571,298 -19.0% 3,602,763
2011 479,645 -16.0% 4,082,408
2012 419,923 -12.5% 4,502,331
2013 199,181 -52.6% 4,701,512
2014 122,905 -38.3% 4,824,417
2015 20,148 -83.6% 4,844,565

 

Uncharted 2: Among Thieves released on 13th October 2009 on the following PS3 install base

Global Hardware by Platform 17th October 2009

Platform Weekly (change) Total
PS3 279,523 (+8%) 26,345,446

Global First Ten Weeks (Units)

Week EndingWeekWeeklyChangeTotal
17th October 2009
1 876,089 N/A 876,089
24th October 2009
2 351,569 -59.9% 1,227,658
31st October 2009
3 216,111 -38.5% 1,443,769
07th November 2009
4 119,858 -44.5% 1,563,627
14th November 2009
5 115,204 -3.9% 1,678,831
21st November 2009
6 98,633 -14.4% 1,777,464
28th November 2009
7 153,376 55.5% 1,930,840
05th December 2009
8 136,324 -11.1% 2,067,164
12th December 2009
9 165,235 21.2% 2,232,399
19th December 2009
10 189,600 14.7% 2,421,999

Global Annual Summary (Units)

YearYearlyChangeTotal
2009 2,770,319 N/A 2,770,319
2010 1,679,898 -39.4% 4,450,217
2011 908,344 -45.9% 5,358,561
2012 683,793 -24.7% 6,042,354
2013 309,940 -54.7% 6,352,294
2014 194,605 -37.2% 6,546,899
2015 38,001 -80.5% 6,584,900

 

Uncharted 3: Drake's Deception released on 1st November 2011 on the following PS3 install base

Global Hardware by Platform 5th November 2011

Platform Weekly (change) Total
PS3 345,489 (+20%) 55,827,280

Global First Ten Weeks (Units)

Week EndingWeekWeeklyChangeTotal
05th November 2011
1 1,345,920 N/A 1,345,920
12th November 2011
2 347,940 -74.1% 1,693,860
19th November 2011
3 182,490 -47.6% 1,876,350
26th November 2011
4 216,938 18.9% 2,093,288
03rd December 2011
5 225,133 3.8% 2,318,421
10th December 2011
6 304,232 35.1% 2,622,653
17th December 2011
7 316,481 4.0% 2,939,134
24th December 2011
8 344,401 8.8% 3,283,535
31st December 2011
9 127,925 -62.9% 3,411,460
07th January 2012
10 57,353 -55.2% 3,468,813

Global Annual Summary (Units)

YearYearlyChangeTotal
2011 3,411,460 N/A 3,411,460
2012 2,153,546 -36.9% 5,565,006
2013 738,694 -65.7% 6,303,700
2014 311,375 -57.8% 6,615,075
2015 47,711 -84.7% 6,662,786

 

Uncharted: Golden Abyss released on 17th December 2011 on the following PS VITA install base

Global Hardware by Platform 17th December 2011

Platform Weekly (change) Total
PSV 322,488 (N/A) 322,488

Global First Ten Weeks (Units)

Week EndingWeekWeeklyChangeTotal
17th December 2011
1 44,459 N/A 44,459
24th December 2011
2 16,029 -63.9% 60,488
31st December 2011
3 12,391 -22.7% 72,879
07th January 2012
4 9,576 -22.7% 82,455
14th January 2012
5 4,073 -57.5% 86,528
21st January 2012
6 3,182 -21.9% 89,710
28th January 2012
7 2,833 -11.0% 92,543
04th February 2012
8 2,504 -11.6% 95,047
11th February 2012
9 2,061 -17.7% 97,108
18th February 2012
10 30,533 1,381.5% 127,641

Global Annual Summary (Units)

YearYearlyChangeTotal
2011 72,879 N/A 72,879
2012 819,077 1,023.9% 891,956
2013 291,138 -64.5% 1,183,094
2014 215,680 -25.9% 1,398,774
2015 36,709 -83.0% 1,435,483


FW 1.8M
Lifetime 8.5M



LTD 10+ million.



11 million.... yeah i said it!



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11M+ lifetime



10M



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

I think this uncharted will be bigger than the last 3... in terms of sales.

10M+ ?

I voted for the 12m option, because I believe its almost 100% that this goes over 7m.



Roronaa_chan said:
FW 1.8M
Lifetime 8.5M


you first week is too low

Uncharted 2 sold 900k first week on a PS3 install base of 23million

and

Uncharted 3 sold 1.3million first week on a PS3 install base of 55million

 

 

Uncharted 3 will sell much better as by March 2016,PS4 will have an install base of 35million and SONY and UNCHARTED are now much bigger than on PS3.



12 million, it's going to be enormously popular!
I agree hardware boost around the 700K to 800K mark, maybe even 1M the week of launch.

It's currently looking like it could be the best Uncharted game in the series, Naughty Dog have way more prestige than they've ever had and this game is the closest thing to being in an actual action movie that you can get.
That's going to resonate with a lot of people, more so than ever before.