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Forums - Sales Discussion - XOne vs. Wii U vs. Vita in the race to 10m

 

What will hit 10m first?

XOne - Hail to the Chief!!! 255 32.48%
 
Wii U - Its-a me Mario!!! 289 36.82%
 
Vita - already sooo close!!! 173 22.04%
 
I like chicken, I like li... 66 8.41%
 
Total:783
Captain_Tom on 04 October 2014

I honestly don't know. It's gonna be really close. Maybe Vita...



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prinz_valium on 04 October 2014
ICStats said:
Globally, PSV is doing similar numbers to 2013. In 2013 it did around 1.5M between Oct-Dec. Based on that I'd say it has a chance to reach 10M by end of the year so I pick Vita as hitting 10M first.

Another way to look at it is estimate that half of yearly sales are the holidays, so estimates by end of the year:

1st PSV 1.51 * 2 + 7.36 =10.38M
2nd Wii U 1.84 * 2 + 5.42 = 9.10M
3rd XB1 2.44 * 2 + 3.06 = 7.94M

 

historically xbox has the biggest holiday bump if u compare to the whole year sales

 

http://www.vgchartz.com/tools/hw_yoy.php



LordPhil on 05 October 2014

Vita or Wii U > XB1 just cause they're closer.



Vena on 05 October 2014
S.T.A.G.E. said:

I just cannot see the Wii U outselling the Xbone this holiday season or reaching 10 M by this holiday season.


Well, I never said it would outsell the X1.



S.T.A.G.E. on 05 October 2014
benji232 said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:


I just cannot see the Wii U outselling the Xbone this holiday season or reaching 10 M by this holiday season.

It doesn't need to outsell Xb1 to reach 10m units first. And it has more then a fair chance to reach 10m this holiday season. I don't know why so many people have trouble seeing this. It's currently at roughly 2.9m units away from 10m. Last year, it sold 1.5m units in November+December on the back of SM3DW, a much smaller IP (Sales wise) then smash bros. This year, we've got Mario kart 8 and smash bros. . How is it so hard to imagine that it can sell 2.5m-3m units between october-november-december?

It took the Wii U 2 years to sell 7 million (8-8.5 M by years end most likely). It took the Xbox One less than a year to sell over five million. By the year mark they most likely would've sold 6 million consoles. This holiday season the Xbone for sure is going to be around 7-7.5 million consoles sold (or more) and will surpass the Wii U by Q2. Its not going to beat the Xbone to 10 million based on sheer speed and larger audience draw power.



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The_Sony_Girl1 on 05 October 2014

Seriously, I'm pretty sure that anyone who wants a Vita will buy them soon, because no suppport from Sony.



Bet with Xander XT: 

I can beat more games on his 3DS than he can on my PSVita in a month. Loser has to buy the winner a game on his/her handheld Guess who won? http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=193531

Me!

ICStats on 05 October 2014
prinz_valium said:
ICStats said:
Globally, PSV is doing similar numbers to 2013. In 2013 it did around 1.5M between Oct-Dec. Based on that I'd say it has a chance to reach 10M by end of the year so I pick Vita as hitting 10M first.

Another way to look at it is estimate that half of yearly sales are the holidays, so estimates by end of the year:

1st PSV 1.51 * 2 + 7.36 =10.38M
2nd Wii U 1.84 * 2 + 5.42 = 9.10M
3rd XB1 2.44 * 2 + 3.06 = 7.94M

 

historically xbox has the biggest holiday bump if u compare to the whole year sales

 

http://www.vgchartz.com/tools/hw_yoy.php

I calculated these for X360, Oct-Dec as % of whole year:

  2006 - 48% (this would correspond to the current year for XB1)
  2007 - 51%
  2011 - 53%
  2012 - 54%

- So nah, I don't think Santa Clause is going to bring a ton more XB1s than my estimate.
- Wii U was heavily back loaded last year, selling 56% in Oct-Dec but this year is likely more front loaded with MK8.
- Vita last year sold 47% in Oct-Dec.
Here are numbers with +/- 3% ranges:
 Vita 10.2~10.4M
 Wii U 8.9~9.4M
 XB1 7.7~8.3M

I feel fairly good about the rough estimate above.


My 8th gen collection

Namiirei on 05 October 2014
fatslob-:O said:
Vena said:


You mean the holidays which are traditionally very high sales times for Nintendo products? Vita has no precedence of doing anything but flop.

The better question here is how will the WII U do that without any big exclusive software ? 

Smash bros ?



fatslob-:O on 05 October 2014
Namiirei said:

Smash bros ?

Which happens to be on the 3DS ? 



Namiirei on 05 October 2014
fatslob-:O said:
Namiirei said:

Smash bros ?

Which happens to be on the 3DS ? 

Not the same game, it's only a poor version for handheld console.

If we go like that, the only exclusive others consoles got are driveclub and Sunset overdrive;