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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 Japan launch CELEBRATION (It's here!) - Predictions closed!

NewGuy on 20 February 2014

It's really difficult to say without knowing how many they shipped. I mean, people that live in a small town in Japan were saying in another thread that they'll be able to easily buy it without having the system preordered and you can still buy it on amazon.co.jp now. That tells me that either sony is supplying a rather large shipment (700-800K+) or demand is not that high. I do not want to guess because I simply do not know what the shipment number is. I'll say that 300-350K would be in line with PSV, WiiU, and 3DS though. What I hope Sony does is get DQ and MH on PS4 soonish. Rumor has it no mainline MH outside of Nintendo systems until after this Fall, but if they make a deal with SE and announce a port of DQX and an HD port of DQVIIR (even if only on PSN) with the promise of DQVIIIR next year, the outlook post launch for PS4 would look better and healthier as other companies with jump on it too.

Also, where are the pics of people lining up in Japan? That's half the fun of seeing a system launch over there.



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celador on 20 February 2014

Don't expect amazing numbers.

I'll go for 384k first week.



episteme on 20 February 2014

350K



michael_stutzer on 20 February 2014

398421.



outlawauron on 20 February 2014

My prediction is at 436k FW. Yakuza Ishin top selling game at 90-100k.



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chapset on 20 February 2014

800k or whatever is available at launch



Bet reminder: I bet with Tboned51 that Splatoon won't reach the 1 million shipped mark by the end of 2015. I win if he loses and I lose if I lost.

jacks81x on 20 February 2014
NewGuy said:


Also, where are the pics of people lining up in Japan? That's half the fun of seeing a system launch over there.

Saw one pic on Kotaku earlier today.

http://kotaku.com/japanese-fans-line-up-for-a-chance-to-be-first-to-buy-a-1526755841



Meatloaf on 20 February 2014

491,325



colafitte on 20 February 2014

Uffff, I don't understand how people can be VP of a great company like Bandai-Namco and make this forecast...

"Bandai Namco Vice President Shin Unozawa shared his prediction with the prominent financial newspaper Sankei Shinbun today, mentioning that he thinks that the console will sell between 300,000 and 500,000 units in Japan before the end of the fiscal year on March 31st.

Unozawa-san also expects it to move 6 million units worldwide by the same deadline."

http://www.dualshockers.com/2014/02/20/bandai-namco-vp-expects-ps4-to-sell-300000-500000-units-in-japan-by-end-of-march-6-million-worldwide/

The numbers don't make any sense. He expects only 700k units sold in 42 days, being 300-500k only in Japan??? Seriously, i don't understand anything...



jacks81x on 20 February 2014
colafitte said:
Uffff, I don't understand how people can be VP of a great company like Bandai-Namco and make this forecast...

"Bandai Namco Vice President Shin Unozawa shared his prediction with the prominent financial newspaper Sankei Shinbun today, mentioning that he thinks that the console will sell between 300,000 and 500,000 units in Japan before the end of the fiscal year on March 31st.

Unozawa-san also expects it to move 6 million units worldwide by the same deadline."

http://www.dualshockers.com/2014/02/20/bandai-namco-vp-expects-ps4-to-sell-300000-500000-units-in-japan-by-end-of-march-6-million-worldwide/

The numbers don't make any sense. He expects only 700k units sold in 42 days, being 300-500k only in Japan??? Seriously, i don't understand anything...

Wouldn't shock me that the VP of Bandai-Namco knows something that the average Joe does not.  I was surprised to see that the PS4 is still readily available on Amazon JP and that there haven't been many reports of throngs of people lining up for the PS4 in Japan yet when it's now only 15 hours away from the JP launch.