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Forums - Sales Discussion - January 2014 NPD Thread! - PS4: 271k, XBO: 141k, WiiU: 49k

cyberninja45 said:
TheSource said:

Adjusting for the five week month in Jan 07 puts PS3 at about what PS2 did in January 2007, and Wii was doing about 350k if you make Jan 07 four weeks instead of five.

I think the major problem this generation is an upgrade problem. Blu Ray + Better Graphics +Online + Move eventually made PS3 a pretty massive upgrade over PS2, Kinect + Better Online + Better Graphics eventually made X360 a pretty massive upgrade over Xbox, and Motion Controls + Better Online + you know, an extra 1000 retail games in lieu of better graphics eventually made Wii a massive uprgade over GC.

Going from PS3-->PS4, X360-->X1, or Wii-->Wii U is pretty terrible in comparison to upgrading from Xbox, GC, PS2 to 360, Wii, PS3 in their hay day three to six years ago.

I think PS3 / X360 didn't become "better" than their predecessors to any substantial portion of their eventual user base until late 2008. I think for PS3, half the PS2 audience still thinks the PS2 is better than PS3, even seven and a quarter years after launch. For Wii U you have a similar problem, 95% of the Wii audience still doesn't see the point in upgrading to Wii U.


This is the correct answer here.

The sales will most likely start to get worse as the gen goes on also unless something really big happens.

I think MS recognised this and this is why they are trying to turn Xbox into the entertainment box. Trying to appeal to a whole new blue ocean. However I think core gamers are the past, present and future of game consoles and the big 3 need to rededicate themselves to their core market and not be too concerned about gen on gen growth as a whole. But Nintendo failed to recognise that their core market didn't grow last generation, so without reinventing their image, they are stuck in the 20 million range for sales. MS failed to recognise that their core market only grew slightly in the last generation, so by releasing a technologically inferior (to PS4) gaming machine at a higher price (than PS4) their core market has been identified and it's not very big at all. Sony did recognise that their core market is about all that they managed to attract with PS3, and they must be thankful that it's a pretty substantial market. But Sony can't expect PS4 to do any better than PS3 because most of the swing market has left consoles all together. For consoles to be viable in a general sense PS4 really needs to give up a bit of market share to Nintendo and MS, but those companies need to earn that market share. If all 3 consoles could sell in the 50-70 million range then that's viable for everyone, including 3rd party developers. Unfortunately Wii U probably won't get close to that, Xb one might not reach it and PS4 might exceed that range.

Doom thy name is Generation 8.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

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Supply constrained yes, but not as supply constrained as PS4 obviously



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

Aerys said:
Supply constrained yes, but not as supply constrained as PS4 obviously


Whattttt???? Did you forget 2007? You couldn't get a wii anywhere! My friend work at gamestop selling wii's for $350. They couldn't be found, both ps4+wii were/are very impressive. You cant say  wii wasnt as supply restraint cuz they werent onn store shelfs for months! (i mean staying on the shelfs for long!)



vivster said:
ICStats said:
Considering the NPD data, there's a distinct lack of Wii U doom threads today.

The market is saturated with Nintendo doom threads right now so there is not much demand for it. However there seem to be supply issues with X1 doom threads. There could be a lot more but it looks like the PS fans ran out of stock quickly in this thread.

They must be stockpiling X1 doom threads for the Japan launch.




My 8th gen collection

Honestly PS4 sales are pretty good considering any good PS4 game is available on  the PS3/Xbox 360 too. ( PS3 and Xbox360 had a lot more games exclusive to their gen when they first released).

We're going to have to wait until several 8th gen exclusive games are release to be able to fully judge and compare with last gen.

I'm the first to admit I am a Playstation fan and right now I have no reason at all to upgrade to the PS4. Every game I want is on the PS3 too and Playstation+ keeps giving me good free games for my PS3 every month. Once PS+ starts being better on PS4 than PS3  and that 8th gen exclusive games start coming out we will talk again , but that is at least 6 to 8 months away....

heck just check the adds on the site, they are for games that will release on 7th gen consoles too...



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

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tbone51 said:
Aerys said:
Supply constrained yes, but not as supply constrained as PS4 obviously


Whattttt???? Did you forget 2007? You couldn't get a wii anywhere! My friend work at gamestop selling wii's for $350. They couldn't be found, both ps4+wii were/are very impressive. You cant say  wii wasnt as supply restraint cuz they werent onn store shelfs for months! (i mean staying on the shelfs for long!)


PS4 supply : Less than 300k


Wii supply : More than 400k

 

So yes, i can say PS4 is more supply constrained because there is less supply



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

ICStats said:
vivster said:
ICStats said:
Considering the NPD data, there's a distinct lack of Wii U doom threads today.

The market is saturated with Nintendo doom threads right now so there is not much demand for it. However there seem to be supply issues with X1 doom threads. There could be a lot more but it looks like the PS fans ran out of stock quickly in this thread.

They must be stockpiling X1 doom threads for the Japan launch.


Perfect reply. Now I can start this day with a smile on my face^^



If you demand respect or gratitude for your volunteer work, you're doing volunteering wrong.

I've seen posts about the 3ds doing bad, and a post saying it did 70,000(which is horrible), but can anyone tell me what it's sales actually were? Because I'm not seeing the actual npd numbers anywhere. What are the official npd 3ds sales numbers, a link please. Or are these numbers being guessed? Where did 70,000 come from? Seriously, I'm just asking. I'm reading through posts, and it seems like it goes from "we don't know the 3ds numbers", to "it sold bad, 70,000".... Somebody, please explain this to me, I appreciate it!



Buuuut USA luuuuvs WiiU. ;(



Oh, so there is no official numbers.... Ok. Pure guess work. But some here use it as fact. Sure. Here ya go: official sales leaked by me, ps4:1 million, x1: 1 million, 3ds:12.... Now that's about as official as the neogaf leaks.... I need to go take a leak, I'll report those official numbers shortly....