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Forums - Sales Discussion - I Believe PS4/Xbone GAP After Japan Release Will Be Over 3 Million. And You? (Over 500k in US before Titanfall Launch) - Results Out

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PS4/Xbone GAP After Japan Launch?

4.0m 229 30.90%
 
3.5m 47 6.34%
 
3.0m 120 16.19%
 
2.5m 197 26.59%
 
2.0m 85 11.47%
 
1.5m 12 1.62%
 
1.0m 15 2.02%
 
None 33 4.45%
 
Total:738

I don't see PS4 selling over 600k for the Japanese launch in February since Europe sold 700k during the holidays.

Edit: Talking about launch weeks.



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I say 2.5 million. I would love to see such a large margin but a 100k+ gap between the two consoles seems unlikely to me.



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Well even without japan the gap will be close to 2m so I think that is a sure bet. 2.5m would be great but 3m sounds like a stretch.



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shikamaru317 said:
I don't think the Japanese PS4 release is going to be as big as some are expecting. And Titanfall hits the Xbox One just a couple of weeks after the PS4's Japanese release, it will help close the gap back up. I don't see the gap between the two being larger than 2.5 million until later this year.


Ah yes, TF = Japan.



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PS4 is most wanted console in Japan at the moment.

PS4 games are the most wanted, above PS3 and 3DS games ( http://www.gamekyo.com/newsfr56098_most-wanted-famitsu-21-01-2014.html ) and yet, you think it's not going to be as big as some are expecting ? yeah, if some are expecting 2M in one month in Japon, obviously, but in this situation, it's absolutely not insane to think it could reach PS2 level of sales at japan launch ( 1M in 2 weeks )



Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:

 PS4: 17m   XB1: 10m    WiiU: 10m   Vita: 10m

 

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GdaTyler said:

Microsoft shouldn't even bother releasing Xbone in Japan. They will fail miserably. I feel the gap will be over 2 million though since PS4 has yet to get a good Japanese lineup.

Xbox 360 sold roughly 10 times the number of inhabitants in your country in Japan. Yes, it's not PS or Nintendo numbers, but it's still much more than they sell in most countries. If they drop Japan, why not drop Norway, Sweden, Iceland, Denmark, most of Africa so on and so forth?

 

You're not going to tell me that Xbox One, and PS4 for that matter, is going to be sold to 1/5 of the population in my country are you? Maybe they should drop the PS4 over here.



I'll go with 2.5.

Lot of unknowns. How big will PS4 launch in Japan? How will Titanfall affect XB1 sales?



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It will depend on supply, if enough is available 3M is certain (even if ethomaz need to buy all of them and resell cheaper in Brazil just to make his prediction happen)



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

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Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

shikamaru317 said:
I don't think the Japanese PS4 release is going to be as big as some are expecting. And Titanfall hits the Xbox One just a couple of weeks after the PS4's Japanese release, it will help close the gap back up. I don't see the gap between the two being larger than 2.5 million until later this year.


What's Titanic fall? :/



ethomaz said:
ninetailschris said:
700,000 to 900,000. At launch? So, it will be the biggest launch ever to even handhelds in Japan? What is based on? Or do you mean something else.

PS2 sold 980k in launch week in Japan

Day 1: 600k
Day 2: 380k


MIcrosoft and Bill Gates were crying about it apparently