ninetailschris said: 700,000 to 900,000. At launch? So, it will be the biggest launch ever to even handhelds in Japan? What is based on? Or do you mean something else. |
PS2 sold 980k in launch week in Japan
Day 1: 600k
Day 2: 380k
PS4/Xbone GAP After Japan Launch? | |||
4.0m | 229 | 30.90% | |
3.5m | 47 | 6.34% | |
3.0m | 120 | 16.19% | |
2.5m | 197 | 26.59% | |
2.0m | 85 | 11.47% | |
1.5m | 12 | 1.62% | |
1.0m | 15 | 2.02% | |
None | 33 | 4.45% | |
Total: | 738 |
ninetailschris said: 700,000 to 900,000. At launch? So, it will be the biggest launch ever to even handhelds in Japan? What is based on? Or do you mean something else. |
PS2 sold 980k in launch week in Japan
Day 1: 600k
Day 2: 380k
Ethomaz, until when exactly is this prediction set for, week after japan launch? end of feb? end of march?
bananaking21 said: Ethomaz, until when exactly is this prediction set for, week after japan launch? end of feb? end of march? |
The week that VGC shows the Japan numbers for PS4.
ethomaz said:
The week that VGC shows the Japan numbers for PS4. |
the Gap now is 1.4 million. we are what, 6 weeks away from japan launch? averging out a 50k-80k difference between PS4 and XB1 until jp launch that would add up to 300k-480k. add to that a 290-350k or so from japan launch. that would add up to minimum a 590k or a maximum of 830. so the number should be between 2 or 2.2 million difference. thats the way i see it atleast.
shikamaru317 said: I don't think the PS4 will pull those kind of numbers in Japan. Maybe if there was some major exclusive available at launch but right now the biggest PS4 title available on launch day is Yakuza Ishin, which is also releasing on PS3 and it's predecessor, Yakuza Kenzan, only sold 360k copies total in Japan. Now 900k PS4's sold by the end of March is possible. |
The lowest I'm expecting for Japan is 500k... FF Beta and Deep Down will move consoles there.
bananaking21 said: the Gap now is 1.4 million. we are what, 6 weeks away from japan launch? averging out a 50k-80k difference between PS4 and XB1 until jp launch that would add up to 300k-480k. add to that a 290-350k or so from japan launch. that would add up to minimum a 590k or a maximum of 830. so the number should be between 2 or 2.2 million difference. thats the way i see it atleast. |
There is no fun if I make a prediction without push PS4 to extreme
ethomaz said:
The lowest I'm expecting for Japan is 500k... FF Beta and Deep Down will move consoles there. |
deep down isnt at launch, even if it were, its still not that big of a game.
bananaking21 said: deep down isnt at launch, even if it were, its still not that big of a game. |
Deep down is for Japan launch... at least the Beta is.
ethomaz said:
Deep down is for Japan launch... at least the Beta is. |
a beta wont move consoles. even though, lets say that 500k figure happens. you would need the PS4 to outsell the XB1 by 1.1 million in the rest of the world in 6 weeks. basically the PS4 would need to outsell the XB1 by an average of 183k every week. it simply wont happen. PS4 sold 180k this week, let alone outselling the XB1 by that much. you would basiclly need japan to do 1 million in its first week, with PS4 outselling XB1 on an average of 80k per week, those japan numbers simply wont happen.
2M before Japan launch, then 3M, when sony will announce the 1M sales in Japan ( we should wait for an official announcement before making Ethomaz eat crows or not ) , they could wait for fiscal year end to announce it
I'm expecting bigger PS4 shipments next week, i see +200k, maybe 250k one week , and X1 will reach 80k at the best next week.
Predictions for end of 2014 HW sales:
PS4: 17m XB1: 10m WiiU: 10m Vita: 10m