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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the PS4 outsell the XBox One and WiiU?

ChristianSoldier said:
PS4 -50 million
Wii U- 55 million
NextBox-60 million

I really hope that's your totals till Wii U2 comes out and you expect another 70mil amongst the three



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maxnyc said:
Max King of the Wild said:
maxnyc said:
Max King of the Wild said:
maxnyc said:
Max King of the Wild said:

You need to identify what fail people are talking about. For marketshare wise it's less likely Sony will fail.

As for how they can pull it off? I think you are underestimating Sony's engineering and overestimating specs.

Sony is already failing "marketshare wise" with the Vita. And you think Sony's engineering genius will be able to make 8gb ram really cheap all of a sudden? How exactly does that work?

my head is dizzy from the spin. The Vita? come on.

Really cheap? Does it need to be really cheap? No, I don't think I claimed it does.

If your head is dizzy from the spin, then it's your own brainwashed spin that's doing it. Simple fact- Sony is failing badly with the Vita "marketshare wise". Another simple fact- 8gb DDR5 Ram is not cheap, no matter how great Sony's PS4 engineering is. Sorry to burst your bubble. And, if Sony expects to sell the ps4 for over $400, which seems likely, then i'm smelling massive failure. Pull off your blinders and tinfoil hat, and just own up to reality.

Im brainwashed beacuse we are talking about the Ps4 and Wii U and you bring up the Vita which is the same price as the Ps3 and is in a market along with a company that had a monopoly before its predecessor came out for nearly 20 years?

No, my head is spinning because of the nonsense spewing from that notion.

Now your speculation is fact and since I don't agree with it I have a tinfoil hat on?

I can see we are done here

You're obviously done here, because you don't have 1 legitimate counter-point or argument.

You want one good counterpoint? I want one good point to start with.

But, I guess... if I have to counter the argument that I've been present with then...

MY HATS MADE OUT OF CLOTH! Take that!

BURNED!

 



JakDaSnack said:
platformmaster918 said:
JakDaSnack said:
Daisuke72 said:
Zero999 said:
Lawlight said:
Zero999 said:
Lawlight said:
Nintendo fans are eager for this gen to end because the only way they can claim that Nintendo won. Of course, when you look for a winner, you look for the one which sold the most - not the one who sold the most in an arbitrary period of time.

it's actually the other way around, sony fans are eager for the generation to last as long as possible because that's the only way they have a slight chance to say that sony "won".


I'll spell it for you - it doesn't matter how long a gen lasts. The winner is the one who ends up selling the most. And you and me know that it's not going to be the Nintendo Wii.

neither me nor you know that. but so far wii is 25M ahead, and the only way for ps3 to have a slight chance to close that gap is selling well for a long time. ps3 is selling moderately now, it will sell little next year and nearly nothing the 1 or 2 years after if it isn't discontinued before. ps2 is still on the market because it was still selling well, it got 7M on 2009, it's 9th year. ps3 is gonna sell 8M on it's 7th year (2013) so considering the decline it should have a smaller life than ps2 so i'm guessing 10 years. it won't be enough to pass the wii.


But the PS3 is selling at a $249 price point, where as the PS2 was selling at $149 or something close to the figure. Can't crunch numbers like that until the PS3 gets an overdue price cut, which will drastically effect its sales.

Here is the issue with that, when the ps2 was selling at 150 whichwas half of it's initial launch price, the ps3 is currently selling at 250 which is less than half of it's launch price, do you really expect Sony to bring the ps3's price down to 150?

But honestly, I really don't care if the ps3 sells more than the wii, sure sony fans may start bragging about how the ps3 sold more, but all you have to do is point out how much more money the wii made than the ps3.

So you'd completely change the subject?  Seems like a good strategy I guess.  Funny how sales mattered when Wii was dominating.

Change the subject, yes, completely change it no.

I argued your point, then gave a new point.  That is how debating works, and i never said that sales mattered when the wii was dominating, don't put words in my mouth.  

I didn't say you specifically.  Don't be a hypocrite.  Just a generalization.  Most people (especially Xbox fans) wanted to talk straight sales until PS3 started getting so close that it became inevitable that it would pass 360.  Now that it looks like it may pass Wii I see man Nintendo fans (which I am) people are starting to talk profitability.  People should at least stay consistant.  If sales is what we're talking about then we're not talking about profit.  Nintendo wins in profit that's obvious.  Hell even when their home consoles aren't going so well their handhelds make a killing (see GC and GBA).  There's no debate there so no reason to talk about it other than to pat Nintendo on the back.




Get Your Portable ID!Lord of Ratchet and Clank

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Max King of the Wild said:
Zero999 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
Zero999 said:
Lawlight said:
Zero999 said:
Lawlight said:
Nintendo fans are eager for this gen to end because the only way they can claim that Nintendo won. Of course, when you look for a winner, you look for the one which sold the most - not the one who sold the most in an arbitrary period of time.

it's actually the other way around, sony fans are eager for the generation to last as long as possible because that's the only way they have a slight chance to say that sony "won".


I'll spell it for you - it doesn't matter how long a gen lasts. The winner is the one who ends up selling the most. And you and me know that it's not going to be the Nintendo Wii.

neither me nor you know that. but so far wii is 25M ahead, and the only way for ps3 to have a slight chance to close that gap is selling well for a long time. ps3 is selling moderately now, it will sell little next year and nearly nothing the 1 or 2 years after if it isn't discontinued before. ps2 is still on the market because it was still selling well, it got 7M on 2009, it's 9th year. ps3 is gonna sell 8M on it's 7th year (2013) so considering the decline it should have a smaller life than ps2 so i'm guessing 10 years. it won't be enough to pass the wii.

Quit posting such garbage. The 360 shipped 1.3mil this quarter. Ps3 will easily match that. You are claiming that the Ps3 won't be able to sell another 6.6mil in 9 months with 3 of those months selling nearly half of the entire year totals. What you are suggesting means the Ps3 will sell 3.6mil in Q4. That is utter nonsense. It's not going to go from 5.9mil to 3.6mil YoY.

current ps3 weekly sales: 120k. that's about 500k a month and 6M a year. I predict 8M total for 2013 wich is 6 + holydays boost.

So we are ignoring the Ps3 was selling higher than 500k a month for the first 3 months already?

ignoring my first point its 6mil... plus another quarter mil... lets just round down a quarter mil because that's not significant at all /rolls eyes.

So you think the holidays will just boost the Ps3 by 2mil? And... why exactly? 360 and Ps3 shipped about 5.9mil consoles last holiday... thats a lot more than 2mil.

I mean, according to VGC the Ps3 has already sold 2.57 mil in less than 4 months and we know from NPD and others that is undertracked. In your estimates the Ps3 only needs another 5.43mil in 36 weeks... heres a hint. In the last 12 weeks the Ps3 will sell nearly all of that

bolded1: it's not higher right now. bolded2: LAST year. bolded3: did you even read read my post? 6M equals what ps3 is selling weekly x 48 = 1 year/ 12 months. then I added an EXTRA 2 million for holydays. I'M NOT SAYING IT WILL ONLY SELL 2M ON THE LAST 3 MONTHS. it's a regular quarter + 2M.

About 1.5 million the first 3 quarters then 1.5 + 2 on the last = 8M the year. Is it clear now? because you can't use lack of explanation as an excuse anymore.



platformmaster918 said:
JakDaSnack said:
platformmaster918 said:
JakDaSnack said:
Daisuke72 said:
Zero999 said:
Lawlight said:
Zero999 said:
Lawlight said:
Nintendo fans are eager for this gen to end because the only way they can claim that Nintendo won. Of course, when you look for a winner, you look for the one which sold the most - not the one who sold the most in an arbitrary period of time.

it's actually the other way around, sony fans are eager for the generation to last as long as possible because that's the only way they have a slight chance to say that sony "won".


I'll spell it for you - it doesn't matter how long a gen lasts. The winner is the one who ends up selling the most. And you and me know that it's not going to be the Nintendo Wii.

neither me nor you know that. but so far wii is 25M ahead, and the only way for ps3 to have a slight chance to close that gap is selling well for a long time. ps3 is selling moderately now, it will sell little next year and nearly nothing the 1 or 2 years after if it isn't discontinued before. ps2 is still on the market because it was still selling well, it got 7M on 2009, it's 9th year. ps3 is gonna sell 8M on it's 7th year (2013) so considering the decline it should have a smaller life than ps2 so i'm guessing 10 years. it won't be enough to pass the wii.


But the PS3 is selling at a $249 price point, where as the PS2 was selling at $149 or something close to the figure. Can't crunch numbers like that until the PS3 gets an overdue price cut, which will drastically effect its sales.

Here is the issue with that, when the ps2 was selling at 150 whichwas half of it's initial launch price, the ps3 is currently selling at 250 which is less than half of it's launch price, do you really expect Sony to bring the ps3's price down to 150?

But honestly, I really don't care if the ps3 sells more than the wii, sure sony fans may start bragging about how the ps3 sold more, but all you have to do is point out how much more money the wii made than the ps3.

So you'd completely change the subject?  Seems like a good strategy I guess.  Funny how sales mattered when Wii was dominating.

Change the subject, yes, completely change it no.

I argued your point, then gave a new point.  That is how debating works, and i never said that sales mattered when the wii was dominating, don't put words in my mouth.  

I didn't say you specifically.  Don't be a hypocrite.  Just a generalization.  Most people (especially Xbox fans) wanted to talk straight sales until PS3 started getting so close that it became inevitable that it would pass 360.  Now that it looks like it may pass Wii I see man Nintendo fans (which I am) people are starting to talk profitability.  People should at least stay consistant.  If sales is what we're talking about then we're not talking about profit.  Nintendo wins in profit that's obvious.  Hell even when their home consoles aren't going so well their handhelds make a killing (see GC and GBA).  There's no debate there so no reason to talk about it other than to pat Nintendo on the back.

How am I being a hypocrite?  Anyways, fair enough, we don't have to talk about how much money they make, but i still made a point about the ps2 being 150 and the ps3 being 250, which you never mentioned:P



Something...Something...Games...Something

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Max King of the Wild said:

I don't think you remember clearly. First of all the Wii lacked 3rd party support from the very begining because the ps3 was suppose to win from the start again and Nintendo had damaged their relations with 3rd party due to N64 and GC. As for most of the 3rd part titles the Wii did get they werent quality titles. They were either niche (the game maybe quality but not the title) or the game flat out sucked.

And that's a clear hater speech. then every third pary title ps3 got weren't quality games( the title maybe but not the game).



JakDaSnack said:
goopy20 said:
RazorDragon said:

It won't outsell both and it won't be the 1st most sold console. The console with the best hardware never wins, I guess after 8 generations of gaming consoles people would already know that.

Your saying the best hardware never wins like it's a universal law. Your forgetting that it's Sony we are taking about. They have been dominating the console market for 2 decades lol. Sure they made some mistakes this gen which MS could capitalize on. Great for MS, but there is a reason why Sony has always been on top and managed to survive the current gen when everything was against them. Next gen they aren't going to make the same mistakes. They got the 3rd party support, the best exclusives, the best hardware and no doubt a kickass online service that will be at least as good as what MS will come up with.

http://i.imgur.com/zYw1A.jpg

For a game company that has been "dominating" the last 2 decades, you'd think they wouldn't have taken so many losses, i mean, at the very least you'd think they would have made at least a little more money than their direct competitor(Nintendo), but no.  In fact sony only made more money in 2 of those years, that's weird, cus you just said they had been dominating, I guess I misread what you said.

People always need to bring money and profits into the equation as some kind of defence mechanisme. Fact is ever since Sony entered the console market they crushed the competition for a reason. This gen they definetly messed up though, mostly because of arrogance and a clumsy architecture that allowed the competition to have the better looking multiplatform games, a better online service and a pricepoint that was almost half of Sony's console for a long time.

Sony won't make the same mistake twice though and this it seems like MS is getting cocky: forcing Kinect, always online, subscription fees etc. At the same time Nintendo is already out of the race before it even started if you ask me. It's selling like 30k units a week now, let alone when the real next gen consoles/ game engines hit the market. LEts be optimistic and say Wii-U sales remain as they are, then we are looking at around 8m units sold over a period of 6 years... 



Max King of the Wild said:
maxnyc said:
Max King of the Wild said:
maxnyc said:
Max King of the Wild said:
maxnyc said:
Max King of the Wild said:

You need to identify what fail people are talking about. For marketshare wise it's less likely Sony will fail.

As for how they can pull it off? I think you are underestimating Sony's engineering and overestimating specs.

Sony is already failing "marketshare wise" with the Vita. And you think Sony's engineering genius will be able to make 8gb ram really cheap all of a sudden? How exactly does that work?

my head is dizzy from the spin. The Vita? come on.

Really cheap? Does it need to be really cheap? No, I don't think I claimed it does.

If your head is dizzy from the spin, then it's your own brainwashed spin that's doing it. Simple fact- Sony is failing badly with the Vita "marketshare wise". Another simple fact- 8gb DDR5 Ram is not cheap, no matter how great Sony's PS4 engineering is. Sorry to burst your bubble. And, if Sony expects to sell the ps4 for over $400, which seems likely, then i'm smelling massive failure. Pull off your blinders and tinfoil hat, and just own up to reality.

Im brainwashed beacuse we are talking about the Ps4 and Wii U and you bring up the Vita which is the same price as the Ps3 and is in a market along with a company that had a monopoly before its predecessor came out for nearly 20 years?

No, my head is spinning because of the nonsense spewing from that notion.

Now your speculation is fact and since I don't agree with it I have a tinfoil hat on?

I can see we are done here

You're obviously done here, because you don't have 1 legitimate counter-point or argument.

You want one good counterpoint? I want one good point to start with.

But, I guess... if I have to counter the argument that I've been present with then...

MY HATS MADE OUT OF CLOTH! Take that!

Ok, let's start over & maybe you can follow me this time. Sony is in awful shape as a company, they've literally had to sell their NY & Tokyo headquarters to stay afloat. They simply CANNOT afford to sell the ps4 at a loss. Yet they also CANNOT sell the ps4 for a very high price point (just look at the ps3 launch or vita as examples of high price point = low sales). Sony has stated they will have 8gb DDR5 RAM in the ps4, which will be expensive (no matter how great you think Sony engineering is). Therefore, i'm failing to understand how Sony will successfully launch a powerful system, that will be priced reasonably for a mass market (in a declining economy)? How does that somehow work out for them? Either they take a massive loss on hardware sales (& literally risk going out of business because of it), or ps4 will be very expensive, which i believe will lead to very low sales.

The reason i brought up Vita is- First, you claimed that Sony won't fail "marketshare wise", but if you look Vita IS failing quite badly actually. And Vita shows a strategy on the part of Sony to make a powerful, but expensive system, which seems likely to continue with the ps4. If Sony is following the same path with the ps4, then how will it work out differently than the Vita?



Zero999 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
Zero999 said:
Max King of the Wild said:
Zero999 said:
Lawlight said:
Zero999 said:
Lawlight said:
Nintendo fans are eager for this gen to end because the only way they can claim that Nintendo won. Of course, when you look for a winner, you look for the one which sold the most - not the one who sold the most in an arbitrary period of time.

it's actually the other way around, sony fans are eager for the generation to last as long as possible because that's the only way they have a slight chance to say that sony "won".


I'll spell it for you - it doesn't matter how long a gen lasts. The winner is the one who ends up selling the most. And you and me know that it's not going to be the Nintendo Wii.

neither me nor you know that. but so far wii is 25M ahead, and the only way for ps3 to have a slight chance to close that gap is selling well for a long time. ps3 is selling moderately now, it will sell little next year and nearly nothing the 1 or 2 years after if it isn't discontinued before. ps2 is still on the market because it was still selling well, it got 7M on 2009, it's 9th year. ps3 is gonna sell 8M on it's 7th year (2013) so considering the decline it should have a smaller life than ps2 so i'm guessing 10 years. it won't be enough to pass the wii.

Quit posting such garbage. The 360 shipped 1.3mil this quarter. Ps3 will easily match that. You are claiming that the Ps3 won't be able to sell another 6.6mil in 9 months with 3 of those months selling nearly half of the entire year totals. What you are suggesting means the Ps3 will sell 3.6mil in Q4. That is utter nonsense. It's not going to go from 5.9mil to 3.6mil YoY.

current ps3 weekly sales: 120k. that's about 500k a month and 6M a year. I predict 8M total for 2013 wich is 6 + holydays boost.

So we are ignoring the Ps3 was selling higher than 500k a month for the first 3 months already?

ignoring my first point its 6mil... plus another quarter mil... lets just round down a quarter mil because that's not significant at all /rolls eyes.

So you think the holidays will just boost the Ps3 by 2mil? And... why exactly? 360 and Ps3 shipped about 5.9mil consoles last holiday... thats a lot more than 2mil.

I mean, according to VGC the Ps3 has already sold 2.57 mil in less than 4 months and we know from NPD and others that is undertracked. In your estimates the Ps3 only needs another 5.43mil in 36 weeks... heres a hint. In the last 12 weeks the Ps3 will sell nearly all of that

bolded1: it's not higher right now. bolded2: LAST year. bolded3: did you even read read my post? 6M equals what ps3 is selling weekly x 48 = 1 year/ 12 months. then I added an EXTRA 2 million for holydays. I'M NOT SAYING IT WILL ONLY SELL 2M ON THE LAST 3 MONTHS. it's a regular quarter + 2M.

About 1.5 million the first 3 quarters then 1.5 + 2 on the last = 8M the year. Is it clear now? because you can't use lack of explanation as an excuse anymore.

It's going to sell more than 3.5mil in the 4th quarter. I don't know what to tell you other than that. It will probably sell 5 million.



platformmaster918 said:

So you'd completely change the subject?  Seems like a good strategy I guess.  Funny how sales mattered when Wii was dominating.

funny how sales stopped mattering after the ps2 and magically mattered again when ps3 FINALY started doing better.