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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Pachter says the Wii U optimistically will sell around 40- 45 M units LTD.

phenom08 on 13 January 2013
Mad55 said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
PlaystaionGamer said:
How the hell can anyone know yet? The WiiU isn't even doing that bad. give it 2 years on the market then start to predict its future.
If the PS3 should have taught the Gamemedia anything its don't announce something selling poorly because you never know. (although 40-45mil is a huge and great amount)


Things could change  but the launch of a console is generally a good prediction point. People made predictions about the Xbox 360 and PS3 based on their launches. Predictions are generally adjusted after the first two years (or for those who spend the time from year to year). This is how it always goes.

If thats the case the Wiiu should sell better than the 360 and 0s3 did worldwide then right?


Correct!



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S.T.A.G.E. on 13 January 2013
NintendoPie said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
NintendoPie said:

If your predictions line up with Pachter's you shouldn't be happy about it. I suggest changing your prediction to at least 50 Million so we can all laugh at him when he is wrong.


If the Wii U was a mass market item, I would raise my expectation. I predicted the Wii would sell 80 million in 2009 and so far it passed it. The Wii U will be the hardcore Nintendo console, which means it will not sell anywhere near the Wii.

50 Million isn't anywhere near the Wii.


Yeah, but neither is the Wii U in casual appeal.



sethnintendo on 13 January 2013
S.T.A.G.E. said:
NintendoPie said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
NintendoPie said:

If your predictions line up with Pachter's you shouldn't be happy about it. I suggest changing your prediction to at least 50 Million so we can all laugh at him when he is wrong.


If the Wii U was a mass market item, I would raise my expectation. I predicted the Wii would sell 80 million in 2009 and so far it passed it. The Wii U will be the hardcore Nintendo console, which means it will not sell anywhere near the Wii.

50 Million isn't anywhere near the Wii.


Yeah, but neither is the Wii U in casual appeal.

If Wii U Fit flops then you might have a point.



S.T.A.G.E. on 13 January 2013
Mad55 said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
PlaystaionGamer said:
How the hell can anyone know yet? The WiiU isn't even doing that bad. give it 2 years on the market then start to predict its future.
If the PS3 should have taught the Gamemedia anything its don't announce something selling poorly because you never know. (although 40-45mil is a huge and great amount)


Things could change  but the launch of a console is generally a good prediction point. People made predictions about the Xbox 360 and PS3 based on their launches. Predictions are generally adjusted after the first two years (or for those who spend the time from year to year). This is how it always goes.

If thats the case the Wiiu should sell better than the 360 and 0s3 did worldwide then right?


Its probable. We'll see how it goes because we can only go off of the Wii U launch. Without the casuals the Wii U's demand will most likely not be as much as Sony and Microsofts multimedia functions. I am eager to see what they've added to their respective consoles to increase community and the multimedia shift.



S.T.A.G.E. on 13 January 2013
sethnintendo said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
NintendoPie said:
S.T.A.G.E. said:
NintendoPie said:

If your predictions line up with Pachter's you shouldn't be happy about it. I suggest changing your prediction to at least 50 Million so we can all laugh at him when he is wrong.


If the Wii U was a mass market item, I would raise my expectation. I predicted the Wii would sell 80 million in 2009 and so far it passed it. The Wii U will be the hardcore Nintendo console, which means it will not sell anywhere near the Wii.

50 Million isn't anywhere near the Wii.


Yeah, but neither is the Wii U in casual appeal.

If Wii U Fit flops then you might have a point.


Who said it was going to flop?



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sethnintendo on 13 January 2013
S.T.A.G.E. said:
sethnintendo said:

If Wii U Fit flops then you might have a point.


Who said it was going to flop?


No one but if you are claiming Wii U has very little casual appeal then Wii Fit U sales would drop massively compared to Wii Fit and Wii Fit+.



S.T.A.G.E. on 13 January 2013
pezus said:
I would say that's probably my low end (40m). This won't come near 100m though like Wii. So I'll say 40-80m, depending entirely on Nintendo games.


Did you factor in third party support? Nintendo was only the market leader because of casual appeal. Pachter said himself, the majority of the people who initially bought the Wii U judging by game sales were core Nintendo gamers. The rest own other consoles, which resulted in low support for games like Call of Duty.



J_Allard on 13 January 2013

Pachter saying it will sell that many means it'll probably sell 120 million.

Remember, according to this guy, the WiiU should not even exist. This generation was supposed to be the end of home consoles according to him.



Solid-Stark on 13 January 2013

WiiU successful confirmed.

I think it'll do 50-60m lifetime.



e=mc^2

Gaming on: PS4 Pro, Switch, SNES Mini, Wii U, PC (i5-7400, GTX 1060)

brendude13 on 13 January 2013

I think all consoles will be less successful this generation. Still, 40-45 million is pretty pessimistic.