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Forums - Sales Discussion - I Believe PS3 Will Be The Number One Console This Gen With 115 Million Shipped. And You? (Sales > My Prediction Right Now)

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Im late to this and while I agree PS4 will be best seller it will not hit near that number sold. This will be due to this gen having fairly weak hardware that is much easier to tap into than previous gens. The PC architecture will allow devs to max out the machines much earlier in their lifespans, making consumers want new machines earler than previous generations.



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I predicted 88.9m for March 2014... we know at least 83m was shipped without Q4... so close to 85m is not impossible that means 4 million off.

Still on track to over 110m... I expect the PS3 to be at $199 right now but Sony didn't drop the price.



AZWification said:

Sony should drop  the PS3's price to $99. It's just that easy.

They don't care about the fanb-, fans war (sadly). They don't care about Wii neither. No need to drop the price when is selling at profit.



kowenicki said:
sales2099 said:
Always thought Ethomaz is waaaaaay to optomistic. Didn't take into account current gen sales dropping after the next gen. tsk tsk.

Still only 1 million ahead of 360 globally, with their 2008 pricing no less :P


no it isnt.

it isnt ahead at all.  they are level.

Because the earlier launch doesn't count XD



ethomaz said:
I predicted 88.9m for March 2014... we know at least 83m was shipped without Q4... so close to 85m is not impossible that means 4 million off.

Still on track to over 110m... I expect the PS3 to be at $199 right now but Sony didn't drop the price.


How on earth is it in any way, shape or form on track to sell over 110 million? It sold about 7 million in 2013 and is set to be down at least 50-60% for 2014, you think it will either stop the yoy drops altogether or that it will keep selling a few million per year for almost a decade more? Another 25 million + is just not doable, even the PS3, Wii and 360 between them won't sell that amount.

110 million is incredibly unrealistic, hell; it won't even catch the Wii at this rate. The 7th gen is collapsing completely, I'll be shocked if the PS3 sells more than 3.5 million this year and 2-2.2 million in 2015. This is impossible, simply impossible. It's down about 120k (about 66%) yoy for the week ending March 1, 120k down (again, about 66%) for the week ending Feb 22nd, down about 120k (yet another 66%) for the week ending Feb 15th, down almost 110k (and over 60%) for the week ending Feb 8th, down 100k (65%-ish) for the week ending Feb 1st, and so forth and so on, it's crashing completely and will only keep on crashing, it might very well fall below 2 million for the CY 2015.

Software and price cuts won't do much at this stage, the 8th gen is already long overdue and there's a reason the 7th gen is crashing totally. This is not the PS2, it will not sell another 50%+ on top of the lifetime sales after the new gen has started. This is ridiculous.
You're gonna have to show us how this will happen.



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ethomaz said:

[...]

Still on track to over 110m... I expect the PS3 to be at $199 right now but Sony didn't drop the price.

Seriously, we've all made silly predictions before.

Also, did you mean you expected the PS3 to be at $199 right now?  Because the 12gb model is currently.



Lol no



115 mil wouldn't have been a crazy prediction, but Ethomaz could not have accounted for 3 things.

1. People are adopting next gen at a faster rate than most expected (not me of course, because my prediction skills are godlike).

2. Sony haven't had a meaningful price cut on the PS3 since 2012.

3. PlayStation Now would be launching and effectively let people play PS3 games on non PlayStation 3 hardware.

There's no way Ethomaz could have predicted any of these in 2012.



Figgycal said:

115 mil wouldn't have been a crazy prediction, but Ethomaz could not have accounted for 3 things.

1. People are adopting next gen at a faster rate than most expected (not me of course, because my prediction skills are godlike).

2. Sony haven't had a meaningful price cut on the PS3 since 2012.

3. PlayStation Now would be launching and effectively let people play PS3 games on non PlayStation 3 hardware.

There's no way Ethomaz could have predicted any of these in 2012.

Very true.  But I guess we have to let them hate on Ethomaz.  They can't really hate on Sony and the PS4 ever since it entered God Mode in Nov.  Besides, I think Ethomaz is enjoying PS4's sales so much, him being wrong about PS3 sales is like water off a duck's back. 



It still amazes me that people thought the ps4 wasnt going to come out until the end of 2014...