| ethomaz said: I predicted 88.9m for March 2014... we know at least 83m was shipped without Q4... so close to 85m is not impossible that means 4 million off. Still on track to over 110m... I expect the PS3 to be at $199 right now but Sony didn't drop the price. |
How on earth is it in any way, shape or form on track to sell over 110 million? It sold about 7 million in 2013 and is set to be down at least 50-60% for 2014, you think it will either stop the yoy drops altogether or that it will keep selling a few million per year for almost a decade more? Another 25 million + is just not doable, even the PS3, Wii and 360 between them won't sell that amount.
110 million is incredibly unrealistic, hell; it won't even catch the Wii at this rate. The 7th gen is collapsing completely, I'll be shocked if the PS3 sells more than 3.5 million this year and 2-2.2 million in 2015. This is impossible, simply impossible. It's down about 120k (about 66%) yoy for the week ending March 1, 120k down (again, about 66%) for the week ending Feb 22nd, down about 120k (yet another 66%) for the week ending Feb 15th, down almost 110k (and over 60%) for the week ending Feb 8th, down 100k (65%-ish) for the week ending Feb 1st, and so forth and so on, it's crashing completely and will only keep on crashing, it might very well fall below 2 million for the CY 2015.
Software and price cuts won't do much at this stage, the 8th gen is already long overdue and there's a reason the 7th gen is crashing totally. This is not the PS2, it will not sell another 50%+ on top of the lifetime sales after the new gen has started. This is ridiculous.
You're gonna have to show us how this will happen.
