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Forums - Movies & TV - The Box-Office Thread.

 

Can Disney beat Universal's record 2015 domestic gross - $2.445 billion?

It will fall short of tha... 4 13.33%
 
Finding Dory, Doctor Stra... 20 66.67%
 
It's going to be very cl... 6 20.00%
 
Total:30
Mordred11 on 04 October 2011

Fast Five beat everyone's expectations.



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Mordred11 on 04 October 2011
1 3 Dolphin Tale WB $13,912,419 -27.4% 3,515 +8 $3,958 $37,183,796 $37 2
2 2 Moneyball Sony $12,031,592 -38.3% 2,993 - $4,020 $38,000,130 $50 2
3 1 The Lion King (in 3D) BV $10,615,645 -51.6% 2,340 +10 $4,537 $79,209,794 - 3
4 N Courageous TriS $9,063,147 - 1,161 - $7,806 $9,063,147 $2 1
5 N 50/50 Sum. $8,644,095 - 2,458 - $3,517 $8,644,095 $8 1
6 N Dream House Uni. $8,129,355 - 2,661 - $3,055 $8,129,355 $50 1
7 4 Abduction LGF $5,608,053 -48.7% 3,118 - $1,799 $19,097,241 $35 2
8 N What's Your Number? Fox $5,421,669 - 3,002 - $1,806 $5,421,669 $20 1
9 5 Killer Elite ORF $4,916,839 -47.4% 2,986 - $1,647 $17,501,286 $70 2
10 6 Contagion WB $4,907,154 -41.9% 2,744 -392 $1,788 $64,569,619 $60 4


I LOVE GIGGS on 07 October 2011

Forecast: 'Real Steel' Aims to Claim Title

For the first weekend of October, robot boxing movie Real Steel squares off against political campaign thriller The Ides of March in what appears to be a lopsided fight.Real Steel enters the ring on around 4,700 screens at 3,440 locations (including 270 IMAX screens), which is the eighth-widest opening ever for an October release. The Ides of March targets a much lighter debut on 2,700 screens at 2,199 theaters. With the holdovers all set to drop to single-digits, Real Steel will almost certainly take first place, marking only the second time in the last eight weeks that a brand-new movie (not The Lion King re-release or a holdover) has claimed the top spot.

Starring Hugh Jackman and set in the futuristic world of robot boxing, Real Steel has in some circles been dubbed the "'Rock 'Em Sock 'Em Robots' movie." It's unclear if that's an affectionately nostalgic designation or if it's something a bit meaner, but it at least shows the movie's central concept is fairly easy to understand. Beyond that, things get a bit more confusing. Why has robot boxing taken the place of human boxing? Are the robots controlled by computer or by shadowboxing? What role does Jackman play in these fights? The trailers did a decent job clarifying some of these points, but commercials only seem to have enough time to position the movie as a sports drama with robots. Still, these more nitpicky issues aren't going to matter much to the core audience of younger males who have driven past robot movies like the Transformersseries to substantial grosses. Barring a catastrophic start,Real Steel will take first place, though it's hard to see it reaching the family audience that it will need to truly break out.

Adapted from the play Farragut North, The Ides of March marks George Clooney's fourth outing behind the camera. It's also the third Ryan Gosling movie in as many months following Crazy, Stupid, Love. ($82.9 million) and Drive ($28 million). Given the relentless primary coverage right now, The Ides of March could benefit a bit from its topicality, though that should be off-set by the fact that it won't provide the escape that going to the movies is supposed to deliver. Also, while reviews are solid, they aren't spectacular enough to get discerning adult audiences out to theaters in a noticeable way. Clooney's recent Fall thrillers The American and Michael Claytondebuted to $13.2 million and $10.4 million, respectively, while Gosling's Drive opened to $11.3 million last month. An opening in that general range seems within reach, though it won't go much higher.

In Box Office Mojo's "when will you see it" polling, 30 percent of voters are opting to see Real Steel on opening weekend. That's a bit up from last October's Red (28.6 percent) but obviously way off from the Transformers andX-Men movies. The Ides of March tallied a solid 17 percent opening weekend score, which is behind March's The Adjustment Bureau (23.5 percent) but ahead of Clooney's Michael Clayton (15.7 percent) and The American(13.4 percent). 

Forecast (Oct. 7-9)
1. Real Steel - $24.3
2. The Ides of March - $12.1
3. Dolphin Tale - $9.8
4. Moneyball - $7.2
5. The Lion King - $5.6
6. Courageous - $5.5
7. 50/50 - $5.4

Bar for Success
With a barrage of robot-focused marketing, Real Steel needs at least $25 million to get a pass. Considering the openings of past Clooney movies, The Ides of March can settle for a low-teen-millions debut.



Mordred11 on 07 October 2011
spurgeonryan said:

Can you please only post the top 10 from now on?And just leave the link to the complete list for those that are interested in other movies.Thanks.



Mordred11 on 08 October 2011

Real Steel won't hit $30M..
Decent Ides of March numbers.



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Mordred11 on 09 October 2011
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 N Real Steel BV $27,300,000 - 3,440 - $7,936 $27,300,000 - 1
2 N The Ides of March Sony $10,400,000 - 2,199 - $4,729 $10,400,000 - 1
3 1 Dolphin Tale WB $9,160,000 -34.2% 3,478 -37 $2,634 $49,070,000 $37 3
4 2 Moneyball Sony $7,500,000 -37.7% 3,018 +25 $2,485 $49,253,000 $50 3
5 5 50/50 Sum. $5,500,000 -36.4% 2,479 +21 $2,219 $17,300,000 $8 2
6 4 Courageous TriS $4,600,000 -49.5% 1,161 - $3,962 $15,892,000 $2 2
7 3 The Lion King (in 3D) BV $4,552,000 -57.1% 2,267 -73 $2,008 $85,962,000 - 4
8 6 Dream House Uni. $4,500,000 -44.6% 2,664 +3 $1,689 $14,500,000 $50 2
9 8 What's Your Number? Fox $3,050,000 -43.7% 3,011 +9 $1,013 $10,306,000 $20 2
10 7 Abduction LGF $2,900,000 -48.3% 2,591 -527 $1,119 $23,369,000 $35 3

Weekend Estimates for October 7-9.

You can view the full list here



Mordred11 on 09 October 2011

Real Steel did in line with expectations.



Mordred11 on 09 October 2011
axumblade said:
50/50 was such a great movie....I'm glad the drop off wasn't as steep as the rest of last weeks new releases.

I was hoping Ides of March would have a better debut but at the same time, George Clooney may be an A-lister but his movies generally don't do well unless they have Oceans in the title...

I've heard lots of good things about it.What do you rate it?



Mordred11 on 10 October 2011

Weekend Report: 'Real Steel' Wins Middleweight Bout

Real Steel fought its way to the top of the box office this weekend, though its debut didn't quite reach heavyweight levels. The Ides of March was the runner-up with a standard George Clooney opening, while Dolphin Tale and Moneyball continued to hold well in their third frames.

Real Steel scored an estimated $27.3 million, which tops Rocky IV's $20 million for highest boxing debut ever (though it obviously lags in estimated attendance). It was also the second highest-grossing opening for a sports drama behind The Blind Side's $34.1 million. Still, Real Steel had an average start for movies involving robots, and even wound up behind A.I. Artificial Intelligence ($29.4 million). According to distributor Walt Disney Pictures' exit polling, the audience was 66 percent male and 70 percent under the age of 35, and the movie earned a strong "A" CinemaScore ("A+" for the under-25 crowd).

Read the rest of the report here.



Mordred11 on 10 October 2011
spurgeonryan said:
So Real Steel beat rocky....did rocky cost over 100 million to make? How about the series all together?

Rocky IV cost  $28M to make