Forums - Movies Discussion - The BOX-OFFICE Thread

What will be the biggest movie for the remainder of the year?

Ender's Game *1st of November*
Thor: The Dark World *8th of November*
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire *22nd of November*
Frozen *29th of November*
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug *13th of December*
I LOVE GIGGS said:

 

Their Contagion prediction is close to mine.Hopefully we're wrong and it does more than that,it looks like a great movie



                               

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Its matt damon though. I will stick with the 23 million. He is a big star, but sometimes it just happens that way. At least hereafter made its money back over seas, and his adjustment bureau did well as well, just not too well.

 Bananaking was right, I was wrong. Like he always is. About the 3DS not selling at least 19.999 million in 2013...

http://www.gofundme.com/4uyups

'Help' Posts Longest Daily No. 1 Run Since 'Sixth Sense' As of Thursday, The Help has topped the box office for 25 days in a row. That marked the longest uninterrupted streak since The Sixth Sense spent 35 days in first place in late summer 1999. Meet the Parents had the previous best post-Sixth Sense run at 24 days. With Contagionopening today, The Help's streak will almost certainly come to an end.

In the nearly ten years that Box Office Mojo has comprehensively tracked daily data, only three other movies have held the top spot for over three straight weeks. The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring was in first from Dec. 19, 2001 to Jan. 10, 2002, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King took the crown from Dec. 17, 2003 to Jan. 8, 2004, and The Passion of the Christ reigned from Feb. 25, 2004 to March 18, 2004. Each of these movies opened on a Wednesday and was in first for 23 days. 

While all of these movies were extremely successful, streaks like this are more connected to the time of year and competition than the performance of the movie in question. For example, if it hadn't been for strong opening days from Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel,Sherlock Holmes and The Book of EliAvatar would have held on to the top spot for 49 straight days. In The Help's case, it can thank anemic performances from late summer releases like Spy Kids: All the Time in the WorldConan the BarbarianFright NightDon't Be Afraid of the DarkApollo 18 and Shark Night 3D

The Help has tallied $128.4 million in 30 days. It led its first two days before yielding to Rise of the Planet of the Apes each day of the Aug. 12-14 weekend. Its current streak began on Monday, Aug. 15, and continued through Thursday, Sept. 8. 



The Help is a beast! I was totally thrown a curve ball when that movie did that well!

 Bananaking was right, I was wrong. Like he always is. About the 3DS not selling at least 19.999 million in 2013...

http://www.gofundme.com/4uyups

The help is a box-office freak

                               

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Forecast: 'Contagion' to Grip the Box Office

This weekend, Contagion spreads onto over 3,700 screens at 3,222 locations (including 257 IMAX venues) and is poised to end The Help's reign. Warrior trains to be a slow-burning crowd pleaser on close to 2,100 screens at 1,869 locations, while Bucky Larson: Born to Be a Star and Creature should be contenders for the worst opening title, hitting 1,500 and 1,507 single-screen locations, respectively.

With a rash of familiar faces (Matt DamonGwyneth PaltrowKate WinsletJude Law, etc.) and deadly disease thriller storyline, Contagion recalls Outbreak, only with a darker, grittier, more global bent. Back in 1995, Outbreakdebuted to $13.4 million or the equivalent of nearly $25 million adjusted for ticket price inflation. Contagion's infection and potential end-of-humanity angles also echo the recent zombie craze, and the movie's even opening in the same mid-September slot that the Resident Evilfranchise is known for. Contagion's diffuseness, though, may not make it a threat to September's record books.

Mixed martial arts drama Warrior looks like the type of movie that people need a lot of convincing to see, and that's been reflected in its marketing campaign that has included extensive screenings, sneak previews, audience testimonials and more. Distributor Lionsgate believes that people will like Warrior if they see it, but such belief doesn't always translate to box office, as the distributor found with Peaceful Warrior, another sports drama with Nick Nolte that grossed $4 million from two releases. Outside of The Fighter and the Rocky franchise, the box office history of comparable fighting movies (Gladiator (1992)Streets of GoldPrice of GloryPlay It to the BoneAnnapolis, etc.) doesn't bode well for Warrior.

Bucky Larson: Born to Be a Star is the latest comedy from Adam Sandler's Happy Madison Productons, but it's more Grandma's Boy than Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo. Its television ads feature some guy telling the audience that the movie is funny, but it doesn't even convey that the movie's about a porn star. With a title nearly as generic as Warrior's, Creature was a last-minute addition to the nationwide schedule and seems more amateurish and less appealing than the similar, sub-$1-million-grossing Venom from Sept. 2005.

In Box Office Mojo's reader polling, Contagion ran rampant, scoring 27.5 percent for opening weekend, which was stronger than The Adjustment Bureau (23.5 percent) but weaker than The Happening (32.5 percent) among past titles. Warrior sported just under 11 percent for opening weekend, trailing The Fighter's 16.1 percent.Bucky Larson logged a pathetic 2.1 percent for opening weekend, which was worse than such lows as The Virginity HitThe Brothers Solomon and Let's Go to PrisonCreature wasn't polled.

The Forecast, Sept. 9-11
1. Contagion - $24 million
2. The Help - $10 million
3. Warrior - $8.5 million
4. The Debt - $5.5 million
5. Rise of the Planet of the Apes - $4.7 million
Bucky Larson: Born to Be a Star - $1.6 million
Creature - $0.4 million

Bar for Success
Taking into account that it's a high-profile, all-star thriller but without the glamor, Contagion needs to break into the $20 million range. Warrior needs to get close to $10 million to firmly establish itself. Same goes for Bucky LarsonCreature has no shot at justifying its nationwide release.



I wouldnt be surprised if Help does more than $10M

                               

Rank*TitleFriday
9/9

(Estimates)
Saturday
9/10
Sunday
9/11
Monday
9/12
1 CONTAGION
Warner Bros.

3,222
$8,030,000

-- / $2,492
$8,030,000 / 1

N/A

N/A

N/A
2 THE HELP
Buena Vista

2,935
$2,672,000

+104.9% / $910
$131,074,000 / 31

N/A

N/A

N/A
3 WARRIOR
Lionsgate

1,869
$1,800,000

-- / $963
$1,800,000 / 1

N/A

N/A

N/A
4 THE DEBT
Focus Features

1,874
$1,445,000

+120% / $771
$18,542,000 / 10

N/A

N/A

N/A
5 COLOMBIANA
TriStar

2,354
$1,165,000

+157.1% / $495
$26,944,000 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A
6 RISE OF THE PLANET OF THE APES
Fox

2,887
$1,100,000

+181.9% / $381
$165,061,000 / 36

N/A

N/A

N/A
7 SHARK NIGHT 3D
Relativity

2,848
$1,006,000

+263.1% / $353
$12,270,000 / 8

N/A

N/A

N/A
8 APOLLO 18
Weinstein / Dimension

3,330
$875,000

+151.4% / $263
$12,963,000 / 8

N/A

N/A

N/A
9 OUR IDIOT BROTHER
Weinstein Company

2,396
$835,000

+124% / $348
$19,494,000 / 15

N/A

N/A

N/A
10 CRAZY, STUPID, LOVE.
Warner Bros.

1,310
$700,000

+190.3% / $534
$76,949,000 / 43

N/A

N/A

N/A

 

Friday estimates are in.Expected #s for Contagion & The Help.

You can see the full chart here



                               

The Help has the smallest percentage increase (from the top 10).

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I LOVE GIGGS said:
The Help has the smallest percentage increase (from the top 10).

I doubt that it's going to cross 10M for the weekend with this friday number