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Forums - Sales Discussion - How much will Wii U sell lifetime?

After the epic fail of some Nintendo fans who predicted that Wii would outsell not only the PS2 lifetime, but also reach 300(!!!) million units(lmao!), I can't take them serious anymore.

I say, Wii U will do something like 50 million lifetime. Its like the 3DS, I have the feeling its like an add-on for the Wii, just like the 3DS doesn't seem to different than the DS.



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Id say around 60 million. I think releasing so long before the other competitors will damage there sales greatly at there release. I think many normal consumers are going to treat the wii as a current gen console.



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Conegamer - I say that the PS3 will beat the DS next week in Japan  (for hardware sales) Forfeit is control over others avatar for 1 week.

75M



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Acevil said:
Seece said:
Metallicube said:

I see it ending up similar to the dropoff from NES to SNES. Since I think Wii will end up with around 110 million, I'd guess about 70-75 million for Wii U.

They will alienate much of their mass market audience they captured with Wii, but some of this will be offset by the stronger third party support and more support by core gamers from the Sony and MS camps.


No. There is Nintendo core, which like the Ninty franchises, who jumped on board this gen, and will likely jump on board every gen, and then the core.

Friend codes are still in tact, and having multiplatform games isn't exciting for the core, especially when PS360 will be vastly cheaper than WiiU, and 720/PS4 will be much more advanced than WiiU.

Couple that with the whole Wii family friend image in tact, they're going to go with Sony/MS offerings.

They can achieve, at best, 5 - 10 mill core, and that's being generous.

I think if they can make their own Nintendo Core games better, they might gain some Sony and MS camp individuals (individuals that might have left Nintendo since SNES/N64). However I agree with you in general, in the end next e3 will be telling for Nintendo. 

Honestly if they can Super Smash Bros Perfect Online experience, they will gain a really big core (assuming it is more appealing like Melee more so than Brawl) (My non-wii friends, would buy that in a instant). 

Agreed. It's strange how Nintendo can make everyone hyped up E3, nearly 12 months away

A Smash Bros. game with HD graphics and excellent online would make the console fly off the shelves, and bring over these self-=proclaimed 'core' gamers from the PS360. In the end, it comes down to 3rd party support. They can't use the blue ocean as much as they did this gen, sadly. But as long as it's affordably priced and has great 1st party ghames like this gen, it'll do fine.

One more thing- is there really a difference between 'Core' and 'Nintendo Core'? I know a lot of people who migrated to the PS360 this gen due to a weak showing by Nintendo. Most of them are wishing for an early, affordable release of the Wii U so they can play the Nintendo games. If you get the best of both worlds, you'll see at least 15mil of the 'core' gamers migrating back to Nintendo IMO.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

Gonna go with 60-65 mil.
Dunno whether I'll stick around in 5-6 years from now, haha.



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i dunno yet, whats gona happen when 720 and PS4 comes out 2 years later?



Chevinator123 said:
i dunno yet, whats gona happen when 720 and PS4 comes out 2 years later?

1 year later*

surely?



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my prediction 55 mln
I think that one controller,technological inferiority and high price will kill the idea.and if they won't show games to compete with Halo,Gears,God of War,Uncharted,GT,Forza etc. than they are doomed. Casuals already can play Wii mote and if they can't hook Sony and MS fans than that's a loss for them.I believe Sony with PS4 will make the same thing as with PS@2: true next gen console with appeal to the core and casuals with impressive capabilities for low price.



Someone should create a table with these predictions. Some of them go from the insanely low to the ridiculously high...

Each generation, the size of the market increases, right? So it seems almost impossible to me that the Wii U will sell anything less than 80mil LT, and that'll be giving away a LOT of market share, and likely finishing last, so...

And don't compare it with the 3DS, it's different. The 3DS is difficult to market, and doesn't look immeditely different enough to warrant a purchase. The Wii U won't have this.

And if you reckon the casual audience won't lap it up, think again. They'll just get it down the line, is all. Smart advertising, great games for all, awesome free online and 3rd party support, and Nintendo should walk the next gen as well IMO. But, it's too early to tell. We know next to nothing about the console, and actually NOTHING about it's rivals...



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

70-80 mil